WeatherAction
Monday 22 Dec 2014
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Welcome to WeatherAction 
- world leaders in Long Range Weather & Climate Forecasting

Embedded image permalink 
Piers Corbyn, Managing Director and founder of WeatherAction presenting at #ElectricUniverse Conference 2014 

Welcome to WeatherAction! On our site you can keep up with the latest news, videos, comments and reports of weather and related solar activity and give your own observations and comments via the Latest Comment blog (Right) and read WeatherAction news-pdfs in the 'Latest' tab. Our twitter feed - @Piers_Corbyn and facebook page  also carry leading weather and solar activity forecast reports and news.
 
We sell web-accessible long-range monthly forecasts for Britain & Ireland, Europe, USA and special forecasts of 'Red Weather periods' and related increases in Thunder/tornado and EarthQuake risk (called 'RTQ' / World Extreme Events forecasts). These are available monthly with normally 8 weather sub-periods per month via the web - up to 30 days ahead (45days for UK & Eire). For more details and to subscribe click here 
.
Longer ahead forecasts up to 12 months ahead are also available - enquire via piers@weatheraction.com  .
 
Our forecasts, which have independently proven peer-reviewed significant skill - unlike all others in the field (see forecast accuracy ) - are based on our revolutionary Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT) which is increasing in scope and skill as our researches advance. Useful presentations on SLAT and WeatherAction forecasts are in the
- See VIDEO of Piers Corbyn presentation to 'The Greenest Event', Johannesburg South Africa June5 2012 and more recent Video Links (Electric Universe conference USA March 2014) listed on Right.
Presentation pdf submission to the UK Parliamentary enquiry into the supercold and snowy Dec 2010 - the coldest December for 100 years - which WeatherAction predicted ahead of all others -
 

WeatherAction is involved in the Global Warming /Climate Change debate where we point out that the world is now cooling not warming and there is no observational evidence in the thousands and millions of years of data that changes in CO2 have any effect on weather or climate. There are no scientists in the world who can produce such observational data. There is only effect the other way, namely that ocean temperatures control average CO2 levels. Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London has expressed interest in what we say: see article 
 
Thank you, Piers Corbyn, MSc (astrophysics), ARCS, FRAS, FRMetS
Director WeatherAction

Forecast Subscription access details - ensuring you get your updates
30d forecastsAccess is to 28th of last month subscribed (uploads ~29-31st)
45d (BI) forecasts: Access is to 14th of last month subscribed (Uploads ~15-17th)
- so that next month which loads 15th onwards is excluded. 30d for that month is also loaded.
75d (BI) forecasts: Access is to 14th of month before last month subscribed
- so that next 75d month which loads 15th onwards is excluded. 
100d (BI) forecastsAccess is to 21st of 2nd month before last month subscribed
- so that next 100d month which loads 22nd onwards is excluded. 75d loads on ~15th
AND 45d access is given to 14th of last month subscribed
so 45d, 30d forecasts for the months load.
AND 45d access is given to 14th of last month subscribed
so 45d, 30d forecasts for the months load.
WINTER ONLY (BI) (started as up to 200d) forecasts: Access is fixed to 28 Feb 2015
First updates + extra detail for all months Dec, Jan, Feb and all normal updates around 15-17th, 22nd and end month will get 100d, 75d, 45d, 30d updates. 

 March Br+Ir 2015 and beyond Forecasts 
are available directly via WeatherAction office 02079399946 piers@Weatheraction.com . March (3pages) is issued 19Sep


Pinned Comment 12 Nov 
re WINTER 2014-2015 Britain & Ireland (and implications for Europe)

Piers Corbyn Says Met Office Winter Forecast is "Foolish babble from deluded charlatans and should be ignored absolutely".

"All the Met Office warnings of extreme winter or summer seasons since 2007 have been the oppsite to what took place - recall the 'BBQ'/fine summers which turned out as floods (2007, 2008, 2009, 2012) or the mild near-snow-free winters (in line with Co2 warmist catechism) for 2009-10 and 2010-11 which in reality had record cold and snow - and so the list goes on", said Piers at WeatherAction's London Bridge Office 12th Nov.
"The problem for the public is that because this cabal of charlatans (as far as long range forecasts go) are shovelled so much money from the public purse they feel a need to say something. In reality the public are being robbed to be misled and the recent abomniable announcment of £97Million on more Met Office super-computing means the public will be misled faster. 
In terms of the actual MO forecast we must first be clear that whatever they say has no statstical merit or in their case they have a record of negative skill  (whereas WeatherAction has a proven success record and got all the extremes listed above correct for example).
For this particular winter the "milder (at least till New Year)-wetter and windier than normal" prognosos has we would estimate only a 5% chance of being confirmed. 

Weather Action is 95% confident that the MetO forecast will fail.
The winter extra money to NHS will not be enough. Govt reliance on #MetOffice misguided Co2-warmist-nonsense 'Forecasts' will cause more suffering and deaths which could be avoided if politicians had the guts to lance the boil of the #Co2Con .

One must ask is the Govt using MetOffice forecasts to advise on how much extra cash the NHS needs this winter, and if so WHY?

We wish we had the public funding to release our forecasts for free. We cannot do that, neverthless we are now releasing:-  The whole winter package of all winter months forecasts for Britain + Ireland now and all updates of more detail as they are issued for only £90, a 55% reduction (see below).  

The reasons why the Met Office long-range prognoses will continue to fail and the BBC will never have an honest informed scientific debate involving WeatherAction on the matter is:-

(i) They are tied to the CO2 warmist view of weather which can never accept solar activity drives it, so hey are unable to even consider what is needed to put forecasts right in medium and long range.

(ii) Their back-data and models are warped by CO2 warmism and data fraud and cannot cope with the wild Jet Stream behaviour now dominating world circulation and which will continue for two more decades as the world goes further ino 'Mini-Ice-Age' type circulation. The wild Jet Stream behaviour is understood and was predicted by WeatherAction but is completly 'out of the box' as far as standard meteorology and Co2 delusional warmism is concerned.

(iii) The BBC will suppress honest debate on the matter because they are wedded to CO2 warmism and support for the Govt and BigOil desire to have a high energy price economy which subsidises stupid money-wasting activity such as wind-farms.

Link: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/11220184/Met-Office-says-winter-will-be-wetter-and-windier-than-usual.html



 The fight for Evidence-based Science - 
- Exposing the Lie of 'Man-Made Climate Change' 

For more recent specific comments on this vital issue see News on RHS this home page.This news piece gives a good summary on why the 'theory' of so-called Man-made Climate Change is delusional nonsense  

BBC Science-Deniers Lie again on Climate Change & Extreme weather
On Sept 10 In keeping with their deluded stance that all weather extremes are CO2 extremes and their Goebbels-esque approach to hit the public with the biggest climate lies as often as possible Roger Harrabin (BBC Environment Correspondent) gave a predictable double whammy of dishonesty on the extreme weather events in Asia and around the world.  
He said on BBC TV News that As the the world continues to warm the incidence of extreme events such as in recent days will increase.

FACT  The world - using real data - is not warming  
- and has not been doing so for 18 years. Even under fraudulent UN-MetO-NOAA manipulated data the world is not warming. See http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No11.pdf and links in Article about BBC-MetO charlatan John Hammond's Science Denialist claims, in WeatherAction blog  http://bit.ly/1xKYPrJ (sec3).
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted global warming would impact winters. "Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms,” IPCC stated quite plainly   in its 2001 Third Assessment Report. IPCC’s prediction has two components: (1) global warming will cause milder winters and (2) global warming will cause a decline in heavy snowstorm events. These two predictions are clear and unequivocal. BOTH HAVE FAILED TOTALLY

FACT  Changing CO2 has no effect 
The Models used by the Met Office and UN's Climate Committee (the IPCC) show CO2 levels have no effect on the Jet Stream or extremes which come from the Wild Jet stream changes they fail to predict. 
It is standard meteorology that the recent wild weather extremes and contrasts follow from the wild Jet Stream behaviour. THAT Wild Jet Stream (Mini-Ice-Age) behaviout was and is regularly predicted by Piers Corbyn's Solar-Lunar approach and is nothing to do with CO2. See http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No06.pdf & Piers' video http://bit.ly/QS0k34 The claim that these extremes are driven by CO2 / man made Climate Change is a brazen lie for which there is no evidence or scientific paper which demonstrates a link in the real world. 
    
Harrabin is a Science denier and we challenge him - along with BBC- MetOffice's John Hammond to justify their case in public debate on their misleading claims which are a disgrace to the BBC, Met Office and world science.  
Useful information + Links 

( i ) RECENT TOP VIDS + PDFs by Piers Corbyn - short links
- Electric Univ Pres http://bit.ly/1nJecee 22,465 hits Dec4
- CO2 Scam Nailed http://bit.ly/QS0k34 16,755 hits Dec4
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No11.pdf 
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No43.pdf

(ii) BigOil backs the CO2-Climate Change Scam all the way because it ensures high energy prices and massive value for much of their otherwise worthless assetts in less accessable oil and gas fields. 
See these BP links as an example
http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/sustainability/the-energy-future/climate-change.html 
http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/sustainability/issue-reports/CDP_2013_questionnaire_response.pdf

(iii) Other links on data massaging / fraud:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/10916086/The-scandal-of-fiddled-global-warming-data.html 
http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/08/23/australian-met-office-accused-of-manipulating-temperature-records/
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/thermometers-show-that-the-us-has-been-cooling-for-nearly-a-century/    (re United States Historical Climatology Network  )  
WATCH USHCN FRAUD SWITCH BELOW (For 'Final' read 'Fiddled')
Read artcle(s) for glaring evidence of fraud perpetrated by data 'selection/de-selection', and 'adjustments'/ 
modifications/'corrections' to make past processed 'data' colder and present warmer than objective honest records.

CURRENT-RECENT Top Solar and Weather data Links 

Geomagnetic & Solar wind Monitors {Geomag Rises likely in R5, R4}
Geomagnetic Activity (Kp) link: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Kp.gif
Proton Flux link:  http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/Proton.gif
Solarwind impact predictor http://www.hamqsl.com/solar1a.html
Solar Wind Links http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html 
Space Weather + Solar Activity News http://spaceweather.com/
Geomagnetic & Electrical links http://www.global-providence.info/

Other Useful Links
WeatherAction News Room+Feature-reports http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/
Jet Stream, Standard Met http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=jetstream;sess= 
IceAgeNow reports+News http://iceagenow.info/
FirstHandWeather+News(USA) http://firsthandweather.com/
AccuWeather (USA, World) http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news?page=2 



Continuously Updating Solar related & Solar Wind data

From http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/

Aurora forecasts:

Solarwind impact predictor Solar System Map:  http://www.hamqsl.com/solar1a.html


Solar Wind properties  REDTRACE(below) Magnetic Field Bz negative = strong SolarWind-Earth connection



Electron & Proton Flux


           


     
              



 WeatherAction RED WEATHER WARNINGS 
WeatherAction Red 'Solar-activity Effect'  / 'RedWeather' periods* 
- of weather & solar-geophysical activity warnings are the world-leading predictive parameters in LongRange Sun-Earth relations.  *These are uniquely predicted by WeatherAction and no others using Piers Corbyn's Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique.


WeatherAction Top/Major Red (R5/R4) periods* warning of possible extreme weather events have received acclaim for reliability and timing in the last year.  

Red Solar-Weather Periods -  Special interest to Airline polits and crew and frequent fliers
  • WeatherAction TopRed, R5, periods show greatest risk of dangerous thunderstorms and turbulence in airflight. 
  • The 2 most serious thunderstorm caused air disaters since 2009 were in WeatherAction 'TopRed' R5 periods...
    • 20014 24 July ~01.55am Air Algerie AH5017 (MD83) All 118 killed* in thunderstorms Sahara in WeatherAction R5 24-26 July. *http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-28460625 +PIC ABOVE. Recall there was 'mean looking storm cloud' London 25th. See PIC above.
    • 2009 Jun1~2.10am Air France AF447 (Airbus330) All 228 killed* in thunderstorms which went to height of 50,000 ft over Tropical Atlantic in WeatherAction R5 May29-Jun1 (then just termed Red Weather). *http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1282367/Air-France-crash-The-truth-disaster-killed-228-people.html
  • There is increased interest in WeatherAction 'RTQ' (RedWeather, Thunder/tornado. Quake(trails) Risk) forecasts for air travel and activity. RTQ forecast are published as a monthly table with a news page which is available alone as a forecast and also included with Eu-Full and BI 45d,75d,100d forecast services. 
  • WeatherAction R5,R4,R3...values are included in ALL forecasts 30d, 45d, 75d, 100d ahead and some indications further ahead along with associated solar / aurora / geomagnetic events.
  • The next serious Redweather periods are available in all Foreacasts
 

 WeatherAction 
The LongRange Forecasters Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR
+44(0)2079399946 +44(0)7958713320 http://twitter.com/Piers_Corbyn , www.WeatherAction.com

FOR LINKS ON THIS PAGE It is is often best to highlight and use '(Google) Search for......' or 'Go to.........'

WeatherActionNewsRoom - Feature News-articles and Extra reports for this blog
=>http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/

Latest Reader-User Comments - superbly informed => Foot of Latest Comment Blog, below

Useful & Popular at appropriate times!  http://uksnowmap.com/

Sun 21st

SEASONS GREETINGS TO ALL WeatherAction Supporters!!

AMAZING SEASONS OFFERS TILL XMAS DAY 25th 24:00 For Your special Gifts!
Sudden Strat Warms+JetStream+Snow 1/3 OFF post Xmas price 
Br+Ir WHOLE-WINTER-NOW      HALF PRICE => ONLY £ 27.50p  
Br+Ir WHOLE-SPRING-NOW      HALF PRICE => ONLY £121.50p  
Br+Ir 15-45d ahead forecasts   1/3 OFF => £15 JAN, 6/12m x 5/9
Eu FULL Forecasts                     1/3 OFF => £12, 6/12m x 5/9
USA ALL AT FLAT RATE $6 per month, 6m $36, 12m $72 

SUBSCRIBE =>  http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=
  • ALL OFFERS ARE NO LOSS ON EXISTING SUBS - Subs which overlap with any Xmas offer will be extended by the number of subscription-months overlapped. Eg Sub to BI 30d through Jan and Feb extends by 2m with winter offer.

Sat 20th / Sun 21st
NEW  WeatherAction Spring NOW Forecast released!
Will Spring 2015 be warm and early or diabolically late like 2013 (pic Burnley Snow 21 March 2013)? This is a very important forecast and a GREAT possible special Xmas Gift for those who need to know.   Get  => VIA http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

 Embedded image permalink  Embedded image permalink


Sat 20th
NEW  Special Latest Commentary from Piers Corbyn
It is important to understand that WeatherAction Long Range forecasts (starting with 100d ahead and staying so to 30d forecast) for December never were for snow and cold blasts all through the month but included wild variations in temeratures and precipitation.

The significant snow periods we forecast of 5-8th(+/-1d) and 12-16th(+/-1d) did produce the most snow+blizzards but not as far south as we had expected. Despite the Arctic blast (eg) on 12-13th it then became impossible (because of extra mobility) for extensive snow or cold in the South in Weather periods 17-18th and 19-22nd although there have been falls in the North in line with our long range forecast. 

WeatherAction scenarios for the later part of 19-22nd and for 23-27th and 28-31st look like being BACK ON TRACK especially later. Specific important points are.

Our specific statement about SNOW at Xmas produced mid Nov and repeated start Dec:
"Snow (in some places) likely Xmas Eve but mostly rain Xmas Day"
still holds. Specifically we say at THIS time (moring 29 Dec):
The risk of snow on Xmas day (0-24z), apart from being high on Scottish mountains, is, at low levels where bets can be placed, ~55% in parts of Scotland and unlikely in the rest of Br+Ire.

The standard model talk of blizzards and snow deluges on 27th (the specific date we have been asked about) never was in any WeatherAction scenario.

Our forecast details for the interesting 28-31st (and into NY day) still stand.


Br+Ir WHOLE WINTER Now HALF PRICE to ONLY £27.50p in Amazing Xmas offer till 25th 24:00 (was £55)
includes:
=> Revolutionary forecast of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings & implications for JetStream+snow blasts Br+Ir, Europe, USA(more later) for Jan +Feb  
=> All monthly and interim Updates and special comms 
Subscribe now or UPGRADE at little cost now any existing Br+Ir Sub 
- details in Top Forecast News at foot of this Blog.
=> GO TO: WeatherAction OnLineShop http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

Thurs 18th + Frid 19th
WeatherAction's Revolutionary Forecast of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and associated JetStream & snow implications Jan+Feb is now available as a NEW stand-alone service only £14 ($22) - see below! Price goes up to £21 ($33) after Xmas

Tue 16th + Wed 17th

USA REPORT Great Success 12-16th Dec
NEW BlogPost started Dec 17th FOR USA COMMENTS - foot of page

On 15 Dec 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA subscriber wrote:
USA Dec 12-16 period has developed very well in accordance with Piers' forecast. 2" hail in Oklahoma and low pressure per forecast, thundery showers in California on cue, high pressure over southeast perfectly located, high pressure over Dakotas as forecasted with arctic cold spilling into western regions as forecasted. Low pressure over Lake Superior fixing to position itself by tomorrow into forecasted location. Very slow moving weather. Fog in MN, IA, MI, IL for several days as solar flux has ramped up again, yesterday at 166 sfu tracking SSN, up to 175, driving major warm moist flows off Pacific and Atlantic, setting up big precipitation events, some current, some soon. Solar wind picked up today, doubled in strength, on time for R3 today & tomorrow. Massive NE snow and disruption still pending as cold air moving slow. 
While solar activity is moderately high right now, we are poised for the dropoff into the minimum next year, when talk of "record" warmth will be stopped cold.
USA Forecasts are now at new Low price - See Subscription link below

WeatherAction's trail-blazing Stratospheric Warming and Snow implications forecast for (the rest of) Winter is proving popular. Here is the introduction extract to show what it is about.....


(.......Forecast.........)


Mon 15th
WeatherAction's revolutionary Sudden Stratospheric Warming Forecast fror the rest of winter with SNOW implications Brit+Ire, Europe & USA is NOW Loaded on SuddenStratWarms+JetStream+Snow NEW SERVICE;  B+I-Whole-Winter-Now; B+I 100d, 75d; All-Forecasts up to 100d Services

Get your copy by subscribing to:
=> B+I Whole-Winter-Now (inc all updates) where it is included OR
=> NEW SERVICE SuddenStratWarms+JetStream+Snow Jan&Feb-NOW ONLY £14=$22, 
goes up to £21=$33 after Xmas
=> VIA http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

  • January B+I 45d FULL DETAIL 6page forecast is LOADED (18Dec) 1/3OFF TILL XMAS 25th 2400   
  • It does NOT include the Stratosphere+Snow forecast which also involves Feb. 
  • As interim (16/17th Dec) Jan100-130d 3 page forecast is loaded for inormation in BI 45d access box.
  • Upgrades of BI 45d, 30d to Whole-Winter-Now are straightforward and LOW COST (only £4 if you are a 45d-er through to Feb) => Scroll down to 'TOP FORECAST NEWS' near foot of this home page.
  • The BI 45d and 30d forecasts (will) include any changes/implications arising from the 'SSW' forecast in each forecast month.
  • Feb 75d is now loaded into BI 75d service and other further ahead services (BI 100d and All Forecasts up to 100d ahead).

SAT 13th SUN 14th

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Top Weather Review
Britain & Ireland & NW Europe ICY ARCTIC BLAST ON CUE. UK WeatherAction expected snow came in North but snow for south largely shifted into Europe.
WeatherAction LongRange forecast and public warning for an Arctic (see info map below) blast into Britain & Ireland ~12-16th (normally+/-1day) was well confirmed from Scotland to the South with very low temperatures and a widespread very sharp frost under amazing starry skies with ground frost persisting*** all day in (the shade in) as far south as - for example - the South Midlands on 13th.
If there had been more dampness around on 13th this cold would have given more widespread snow we warned was likely for this period 12-16th expecially the early part of it.
As it turned out when there were weather fronts over England on 12th there was heavy snow mainly in North parts of England in line with our WeatherAction predictions for the most snowy areas (see pic below for Grassington Yorks 03.56z 12th and Snow scene Durham on 13th, above) and the South Midlands but we had not snow but heavy rain in South England on the 05.20z snow+rain radar map below. 
If temperatures had been a bit lower there would have been wads of snow in the South on 12th as well as the whack in the North.
Significantly at the start of the ~12-16th period the rain in the South on morning of 12th was accompanied by extreme winds in the Channeland transport disruption which if temperatures had been lower would have been blizzards and disruption by them.
The Germans took loads of our snow!
In Germany the weather fronts associated with this rain in South England were with colder air and gave massive snow in a short but heavy very disruptive blast in Hessen: -
http://iceagenow.info/2014/12/snow-brings-traffic-standstill-hessen-germany/
"Basically as many have noted our essential scenario for this period has so far worked out well - miles better then any others from more than a week ahead - except for it been not quite cold enough in South England when the fronts were there. For those obsessed with snow and wanting to build snowmen this is a downer but as a precipiation without snow-rain distinction this 12-16th period has so far been very good.
Put another way the whole pattern we forcast was shifted East - like it was for 5-8th (when we warned that was a risk) - so the Germans took our snow!", said Piers Corbyn.
"We can partly understand this shift of our forecast weather patterns East or NorthEast into Europe as an over-application of our SLAT11 which pulled initial patterns more South / SW. This is being investigated", said Piers "but this does not suggest any modifications to December beyond now, although further detail is being looked into (to be reported on 15th).
"On recent pronouncements by various sources in the media WeatherAction users should note that the fact that some others agreed in the media with our general scenarios for the first half of December does NOT mean we either agree or disagree with anything others may be saying beyond that for Dec, Xmas or next year and could be different.
  • The gales we forecast for ~5-8th+/-1d and ~12-16th+/-1d wind events started as predicted in line with forecast R4-R5 period 5-8th in the Atlantic and were confirmed in, eg most of England, especially the South and Channel on 12th. For an impressive map of Euro wind etc extreme events reported see Euro-Extremes Report: http://www.essl.org/cgi-bin/eswd/eswd.cgi
  • PERSPECTIVE re ~12-16 Dec  There have been a lot of comments on this interesting period. On 15 Dec 2014, Russ in/at/of/around Derbyshire put them in perspective. He wrote:..
  • The MO said,"warm & wet conditions throughout December"****  Piers told us that at the start of December, the temperature would drop sharply.    So went from warm & dry conditions to cold, icy, gales, freezing rain and snow on upland areas. If it were warm, sunny and calm, then Piers would be wrong.     He said it would turn colder..it did.      He said gales..there were gales.     He said blizzards..some people got blizzards.     He said wind & rain further south..there was.     He said ice...there was ice.     The only thing he got wrong was the big snow fall which passed over us and dropped on central Germany.      He even got the thunder-snow; snow and lightning were reported from Orkney, evening of the 11th.     So 80% confidence was more than accurate. Just because all UK subscribers didn't get all the forecast details happen in their local area does not make the man wrong!  **** NB what MO expected re Dec mildness in statement around 10/11/12 Nov is available via Daily Telegraph link also on LHS WeatherAction Home Page:-    
  • http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11220184/Met-Office-says-winter-will-be-wetter-and-windier-than-usual.html
  • "To get clear what WeatherAction is saying about the rest of winter anyone who is serious about weather needs our Br+Ir-Whole-Winter-now forecast inclusive of all updates as they are produced (see below).
  • This will shortly (on 14th/15th) include a forecast of "Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and detailed implications for Jet Stream developments and snow risk in USA, Brit+Ireland and Europe.
  • Following requests we will put - on 14th/15th - a little more on Snow at Xmas issues (which will also be included as update information in all BI+Eu 30d and beyond services). 
  • WeatherAction USA forecasts have been going very well and similarly to Europe are not affectd by SLAT11 changes either way later in the month.
**"Orion and Sirius were stunning early on 13th" said Piers Corbyn who was in Warwick Castle at a dinner event. "As others have also reported the ice needing scraping off car windscreens late morning on 13th was formidable and frost persisted all day on Chiltern railways embankments on the route Warwick-Marylebone London."
PRICE SLASHED IN THE PUBLIC INTEREST
Br+Ir WHOLE WINTER Now HALF PRICE  TILL XMAS 25th 24:00, £27.50p ONLY (WAS £55)
inc all updates and special comms 
Subscribe now or UPGRADE at little cost now any existing Br+Ir Sub 
- details in Top Forecast News at foot of this Blog.
=> GET NOW: WeatherAction OnLineShophttp://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

Britain & Ireland and Europe:
#Snow #ICE 1/3 OFF DECEMBER Forecast from 11th!
=> Br+Ir only £8, Europe only £12, BI-Whole-Winter-now amazing £60 
"If you care about what's going to hit, you must get this!"
Go to =>http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM

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FRID 12th
Snow Report BI 5.20am
There is snow shown in South Midlands and (had been) a lot Yorkshire-Lancashire (eg pic just below) and there appears to have been a small hit just North of Portsmouth. See also reader-Comm Reports via latest Comment Blog at foot of page. It has been said that some of the South Midlands radar snow fell as rain. This may be the case but we have to use something as a monitor and anyway it shows it was close thing where it was rain rathe rthan snow.




WED 10th / THURS 11th

USA WeatherAction forecasts have been going superbly especially for loads of snow in N+NE parts and IceStorms in parts. The current standard forecast map for 15Dec is stunningly like our WeatherAction sketch for 12-16th Dec. This bodes well for what we are also saying about that important period for Britain+Ireland and Europe.
USA subscriptions at the new very low price (for 12m especially) have been going well.
"If you care about what's going to hit, you are daft not to get this!"

WeatherAction 97days ahead of the rest.
Standard model forecasts for 12th 06z issued 2days ahead with snow in Midlands were in line with WeatherAction general view 100d ahead - which was very different from the general mild December MetOffice view issued ~12 Nov. This comment is nothing to do with asessing final outcomes.
Piers says:
The general development*** has been going well so far this month in Europe (with cold+snow developing in NW and mild in S/SE) and Britain & Ireland where cold often snowy blasts have come to Britain & Ireland in line with what WeatherAction warned 100days ahead and UK Met Office and Irish Met Office got round to thinking mostly only 3days ahead.
Snow has not yet come to south England or south Ireland but as shown in the WEATHER ACTION PUBLIC TOP RED WARNING below and the related graph in the full forecast the high confidence period for most extensive and deepest snow this month in Britian & Ireland so far always was not until ~12-16th(+/-1d). Met Office forecast maps on a daily bais have been moving towards WeatherAction and we expect that trend will continue - ie snow will come to the south and be very substantial in parts of Britain and Ireland
***Note THAT is ALL our long range forecasts are designed for, they give a possible likely scenario (+/-1d) and are NOT substitutes for short range detail.

Piers warns Royal Society warmists to get gloves and shovels!
On Tuesday 9th at the Royal Society London Meeting on Feedbacks in Earth's Climate System (a deluded desperate warmist event which had a wierd defensive funeral wake feel about it) I announced this warning to the 150 or so attendees - none of whom can forecast reliably more than a week ahead yet claim to know what will happen to climate decades or centuries from now even though ALL their 'forecasts' (LOL!) for climate change so far have ignominously failed (fuller report coming) and there is no evidence in the real world for their theory.
I made the announcment as a comment on the Jet Stream and curiously they listened attentively even though the chairman said my information was off the speakers topic. I replied that I thought people would like to know about the need to get gloves - advice which I extended in conversations to shovels.

TUE DEC 9 at 00z
WeatherAction Current weather Commentary from Piers Corbyn
FREE
The weather peril warning the BBC REFUSED to release at the end of November
TOP RED PUBLIC EXTREME WEATHER WARNING
Damaging storms, extreme cold and blizzards coming
Piers Corbyn, astropysicist and chief forecaster for WeatherAction said (00hrs TueDec 9):
"The massive storm (map below for 10th 12noon) now heading for Britain and Ireland 9/10th bringing blizzard conditions for most parts and damaging gales or storms in all parts is essentially our top active period 5-8th extended a day or two.

"This will then develop to set up the more Northerly VERY SEVERE SNOW AND BLIZZARD BLAST WITH EXTREME COLD AND GALES for the following period Friday 12th to Tue 16th . This was always forecast by WeatherAction (from 100days ahead with detail 27days ahead) to be more extreme and severe then 5-8th and that looks like what is going to hit.

"This will probably be the most extreme 5 days of snow blizzards and and gales in Britain and Ireland for 100 years, being more severe than the worst events of December 2010 (which were also correctly forecast by WeatherAction).

"We are releasing this free to the public because of the serious danger. We offered the BBC the chance to issue this free at the end of November but they refused- preferring to believe the Met Office mild December forecast which we told them would be wrong.

"THIS IS NOT THE END OF EXTREME WEATHER THIS DECEMBER OR WINTER. To help the public and businesses we are now releasing our
Whole-Winter-Now forecast with all updates only 
£60   £37 TILL XMAS
(the price it was due to go down to 17th Dec).

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For BI Whole-Winter-Now or December only Br+Ir, USA, Eu foreacsts go to =>http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

SUN DEC 7(2230hrs GMT)

THE FIRST SNOW TRAVEL DISRUPTION (Pic below) of the first December forecast snowy period 5-8 Dec (+/-1d) is here - as warned by WeatherAction in general 100days ahead & in detail 22d ahead for 'during the period 5-8th (+/-1d)'.
This disruption period is a WeatherAction Solar Effect Double Red Weather period' (5-6th R4, 7-8th R5) where R5 is the most severe. Significantly geomagnetic activity twice reached the K4 (Red) level on 7th - see continuously updating graphs lower Left of this home page.
The typhoon (Hagupit/Ruby) currently (7th) trashing the Philippines is being powered-up by this R4-R5 period just as last November Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda was dramatically powered-up in an R5 period (see
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No49.pdf . The BBC's world laughing-stock propaganda dept of cretin-science however explicitly stated today, 7th, that these events were "CAUSED BY" mankind's CO2 'from elsewhere in the world'. We challenge the BBC to provide evidence of this nonsense claim.

WeatherAction warns THERE IS MUCH WORSE TO COME THIS DECEMBER. The Met Office charlatan forecasters have nothing useful to say in the long range and should be ignored absolutely (see last article of this blog page).

BBC Reports 7th Dec afternoon: Emergency services are dealing with a string of road accidents on the A9 as snow, ice and strong winds affect parts of Scotland.

Police said there were "several" incidents on the Perth to Inverness road near the Drumochter Pass. A statement said there were likely to be "significant delays" while clear-up work was ongoing.

 

  • THIS is the the first of the Snow BBC-METOffice first denied could happen - since the issue of the Met Office charlatan LongRange 'Forecast' ~Nov12th. (see WeatherAction comment down page)
  • Then when they grudgingly accepted there might be 'wintry showers' (about 4 days ahead) they explicitly stated on TV it would be 'nothing to worry about'
  • Then they said it wouldn't go South of Dumfries, then earlier today (7th) they had it (from ~1d ahead) going as far South as Birmingham. 
  • WeatherAction said and repeats IT WILL GO FURTHER and as we write this there has been talk of it reaching the M4 and Bristol. FOR LATEST GO TO TWITTER FEED @Piers_Corbyn and READER-USER COMMS at Foot of latest Comment blog which is via LATEST COMMENT BLOG (Dec7th....) link near bottom of this page.

 

  • WeatherAction offered, in the last week of November, the BBC EXCLUSIVE PUBLIC INTERVIEW REPORTAGE AT NO CHARGE of our December forecast so that the NHS and travelling public, ie just about EVERYBODY, could be forewarned and forearmed. THEY REFUSEDSee Below for Report of The Reality Check Protest at BBC Hq Dec1st. (leaflet: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No44.pdf )
  • The BBC-MetO and polticians prefer to mislead the public with their CO2 warmist babble charlatan 'forecasts' and impose unnecessary extra suffering and deaths on the vulnerable and unready rather than use the best available forecasts of dangerous weather which would implicitly be an admission of failure of their bankrupt delusional nonsense approach, ie: 'weather-begats-weather-pepped-up-by-Mankind's-CO2' .
BBC: PIC Snow has started to lie on higher-level routes such as parts of the A9 between Inverness and Perth
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-30359194
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(7th early am)
Piers says: "These reports below are great and confirm what we said in general terms 100days ahead, in detail to the day, 22days ahead and our specific WeatherAction warning that the Standard Model Short-Range view situation would move rapidly towards WeatherAction during our R4(5-6)-R5(7-8) double Top Red Solar Impact period. The blizzards warned below will, we are 95% sure, come FURTHER SOUTH and EARLIER

See https://twitter.com/WeermanAshoka/status/541390528676634624
"Snow Blizzard Scotland and possible Cumbria too ! No other definition for it ! +84 H ! "
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SAT DEC 6

Piers Says "ToldYa! We warned 1Dec and again 4 Dec that the period 5-8th(+/-1d) would see RAPID change of TV forecasts (standard UK MetOffice etc model short range) towards our WeatherAction long range forecasts (100d ahead in general, and map full detail over 21days ahead). This has happened and will continue to happen.
"Already the MetOfficeYellowWarnings issued 5Dec (BELOW FOR THE RECORD) have been surpassed by warnings of snow pentration to lower levels and further South.
"Now there is talk of substantial BI + NW Europe blizzards 9/10th (ABOVE). Given the 'Speed-Up' nature (old name for) of our 'Top Red Weather (solar effect) R4(5-6th) and R5(7-8th) (all+/-1d) periods these are likley to come earlier ~ 8-9th.

FOR superbly informed feedback & comms see COMMENTS below this page.

READ THIS ONE! :- On 06 Dec 2014, Richard Brown wrote:
Regards your comments Justin.....science can be manipulated to give results to suit. I was trained by the Met Office and took daily weather readings for over 20 years. I can tell you that all the data is adjusted for accuracy before being fed into their computers. The max and min temps were always adjusted upwards.... I don't subscribe....yet, but I do take a keen interest in many weather websites including met office. All other weather sites need to take a close look at Piers and his team, because they are falling well short of what gets forecast here.




THUR/FRID DEC 4/5
Piers says: "See twitter feed for Snow B+I (North first) news. Standard Models have been progressively moving towards WeatherAction forecast for ~5-8th since about Dec 1. We would expect most snow in the R5 part Sun/Mon ~7-8th(+/-1d) and models (eg above) are starting to show approx that or maybe a day or so later but, note, matters will develop faster and more severely than they expect now we are in the R4 (5-6) and R5 (7-8) Red Weather solar impact period heralded by the Solar Wind hit discussed below (but predicted by us long before it was expected in standard solar wind monitors). 
Notice also Solar wind and related monitors LHS home page - Geomag activity K4 just before midnight 4/5th and M flare (so far 12.45hrs) on 5th.


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PDF LINK http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No45.pdf 
GET FORECASTS NOW LINK http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM

WED/THUR DEC 3/4
LAUNCH BIGGEST EVER CLIMATE LIE CAMPAIGN


TUE DEC 2
Reality Check Protest at BBC HQ on fiirst Day of Winter! REPORT =>Scroll right down to Latest News Dec2 (for protest Dec1)
or leaflet is: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No44.pdf 

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MON DEC1

WELCOME! ALL to WeatherAction EXCITING2014-15 Winter Season Day 1 
And WELCOME to all the many new/recent and renewing Subscribers

TOP FORECAST NEWS

Br+Ir DECEMBER 30d - WOW! - Forecast is loaded in:
B+I 30d, 45d, 75d, 100d; BI Whole winter now; AND All forecasts to 100d ahead Services

USA DECEMBER 30d - Exciting Forecast is loaded in:
USA 30d; AND All forecasts to 100d ahead Services

Europe DEC Regions 30d - Exciting Forecast is loaded in:
Europe FULL, Europe Regions ONLY; AND All forecasts to 100d ahead Services

Europe DEC Possible Pressure Maps 30d - is loaded in:
Europe FULL; BI 45d, 75d, 100d, Whole Winter now; AND All fcsts to 100d ahead Services

Extended value B+I 45d & 75d ahead forecasts. [From 28th Nov, as every month]
=> BI 45d is for JAN (loaded) DEC inc NOW.
=> BI 75d is for FEB (loaded) DEC+JAN inc NOW

"Undoubtedly the most exciting weather month for some years!", says Piers

Br+Ir WHOLE WINTER Now => £27.50p ONLY XMAS DEAL (from 21Dec to 25Dec INC)
includes all updates: 75d, 45d 30d as produced to 28 Feb
FURTHER reduction due to popular demand and winter months underway

'No Loss For overlap'. If you already have eg BI 30d/45d/75d/100d through any winter months then we extend that service by that number of months beyond present expiry when you subscribe to B+I Whole-Winter-Now.

OR IF YOU PREFER 
Pay difference via 'Donate To Research' (= 'Upgrade/Donate etc...') Button:- (This route not reduced under Xmas offer)
45d subscribed for (Dinc)JF pay £4
45d subscribed for (Dinc)J pay   £20
45d subscribed for D pay    pay  £40
30d subscribed for DJF pay £55-36=£19
30d subscribed for DJ pay   £55-24=£31
30d subscribed for D pay     £55-12=£43
When you subscribe these amounts it should be obvious to us what the sum paid is for but if you have any doubts or need clarification please email  piers@WeatherAction.com or phone 02079399946 Thank You

To Upgrade from BI 30d to BI 45d go to Br+Ir UPGRADE 30d=>45d.... 

WeatherAction OnLineShop => http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM <=

FOR the follwing see Blog Post dated 14Nov re 11Nov etc postings
=> Tru News USA interview with Piers
=> Piers Quizzing Ed Davey at Energy Live 2014 on 6Nov
=> Report of 5 Nov Meeting with Roger Helmer MEP NOT in parliament

Latest Comment Blogs

DEC17...20th AMAZING! Monitor Reports of WeatherAction USA DEC 12-16 - USE THIS BLOG POST FOR USA COMMENTS. Use Next one down for others. Thank You
DEC17..."BRILLIANT!" Monitor Reports of WeatherAction USA DEC 12-16 - USE THIS BLOG POST FOR USA COMMENTS USE NEXT ONE DOWN FOR OTHER COMMS THANK YOU

DEC7..20th UPLOAD NEWS == Revolutionary STRATOSPHERE+JetS+SNOW FORECAST! == GERMANY TOOK SOME UK SNOW == TOP FORECAST DEALS == Short Range Fcsts tail WeatherAction both sides Atlantic
DEC7....Short Range standard Forecasts for BLIZZARDs now following WeatherAction LongRange both sides of Atlantic - 100days later for Britain+Ireland

NOV22..DEC6 Standard Met TAILS WA BI,Eu,USA ++ BI, USA,Eu 30d LOADED ++ BI WHOLE-WINTER-NOW ONLY 75quid ++ Piers EXPRESS ++ W-A BRILL hit SNOW CHAOS USA ++ UK MetO winter forecast warmist babble
NOV22...OnGo...WeatherAction BRILL success SNOW CHAOS NE USA == 10day ahead MODELS shifting to Piers' 100day ahead == MetO winter forecast warmist babble of no value

Latest news

4 DEC 2014 WeatherAction News No 45 Major NorEaster USA as warned by WeatherAction
WeatherAction Red Double period R4 5-6 and R5 7-8 Dec is on 4Dec showing in standard models both for snow BI+ NW Eu and a MAJOR NOR-EASTER USA which is likley to be very serious in the R5 7-8th. If you havn't got your astoundingly low-priced WeatherAction USA DEC forecast, GET IT NOW=> http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM

2 Dec 2014 WeatherAction News No 44 BBC HQ RealityCheck Protest Leaflet
On the first day of winter 2014 protesters distributed this leaflet at BBC HQ Portland Pl London calling on the BBC to accept Climate Reality & broadcast warnings of the Severe winter weather to come. PIC http://bit.ly/1wlvoey

24 Nov 2014 WeatherAction News No 43 Deluges & floods R4 period Superb forecast
Deluges, floods and Aurora confirmed R4 period warnings 22-25Nov from 40days ahead

23Oct 2014 WeatherAction News No 42 Amazing Pressure pattern forecast USA
WeatherAction Pressure pattern forecast Oct 19-23rd USA has amazing closeness to observations 3 weeka later.


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