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WeatherAction Delta House, 175-177 Borough High St, London Bridge, SE1 1HR (London Bridge/Borough tubes).
July 2008
30 day main detail issued 28 June 08. V.similar to 45d ahead forecast. 80% Confidence.
Often very wet with flooding probably widespread. Sunny spells (espec 4th week) but often cloudy with stark temperature contrasts and many cool days.
# 80% probability this will be one of the three wettest July's on record* in parts, especially Central areas.
# Major thunderstorm deluges, dark skies and violent tornado or waterspout events in certain periods.
# Days cooler than nights relative to normal,
* for many parts of England and Wales previous wettest July was 1879, 1936 or 2007).
The most extreme weather events with major thunderstorms, including posssible river flooding and enhanced risk of tornado or waterspout type events will be in periods: July 1- 2nd, July 5-6th, July 13-15th, July 19-20th and July 27-31st (start month, mid month and month end periods most extreme).
Distruption of public events is likely; notably Wimbledon tennis at the start of July and around Bastile Day celebrations in Britain and France July 13-15th.
The essential weather type development (details, maps and graphs are available in the full forecast that is available for purchase):
July 2008 will be often dominated by Cyclonic thundery systems with the Jet stream often - but not exclusively - further South than normal and Northerly flow at times.
1 - 5 July will be dominated by slowish moving cyclonic systems over the British Isles with the Jet stream shifted South over Britain and with partial blocking by Higher pressure in West Sweden/ Central Baltic.
6 - 11 July will have the Jet stream more normal and more mobile flow into Scandinavia.
12 - 18 July will be often Cyclonic or have Northerly flow over the British Isles as 'Lows' move into Europe
19 - 26 July will have some Atlantic High pressure blocking and more N'ly flow over E. Britain.
27 - 31 July will have Jet stem shifted South & tropical air poss., with "remnants of tropical depressions or storms heading from the SouthWest into Britain and Scandinavia".
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Media Policy
Media or web users who wish to quore from the forecast must check what they have in mind with Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction and preferably use his issued summary (above) which is written to give an accurate rendering of essential points without disclosing the detail which subscribers have paid for.
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Extreme events 5 - 20th July 2008
Piers Corbyn speaking at WeatherAction's press conference on 27th June said their successes earlier this year and so for the Summer represented significant advances which with new work on Typhoons now made release of 7 more public forecasts possible (while longer ahead forecasts are available to customers).
Around 5 July
Tropical Storm/ Hurricane formation 75% probable - most likely in Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean &/or South Tropical Atlantic (Likely tracks: N,NW, West respectively). Landfall 20%
One or two Typhoons 80% probable to form - most likely in mid Pacific and heading in curved track NW > N > NE with 30% chance of Japan landfall hit.
Around 14th July
One or possibly two Tropical Storm/ Hurricane formation 75% probable (or/& enhancing of existing storm), probability to reach hurricane higher than 5th July possibilities. Similar tracks to forecast for 5th July. Landfall 60%.
Two typhoons likely similar tracks to 5th July Forecast, 80% likely, with 30% risk of a Japan hit.
The combined probabilities of typhoons above means there is a 60% chance of a Japan typhoon hit from typhoon formations which start in first half of July.
Around 18th/ 19th July
Two typhoons 80% likely to form which will hit Philippines &/or Taiwan &/or China.
Tropical storm formation 75% likely in South Tropical North Atlantic and heading North. NO USA Landfall.
New York area heatwave/ hotspell 80% likely with Max temps over 95F in period 18 - 20th July.
Reminder of Media Policy
Media or web users who wish to quore from the forecast must check what they have in mind with Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction and preferably use his issued summary (above) which is written to give an accurate rendering of essential points without disclosing the detail which subscribers have paid for.
UN Climate Committe (IPCC) challenged by 'gang of 4' scientists. Is UN Officialdom split?
The UN's Climate Committee (IPCC) leadership and policies have been challenged by an international group of 4 scientists, including Piers Corbyn and one Nobel Peace Prize winner, to admit CO2 centred Global Warming Theory is now disproved by observations and to renounce that theory and associated 'devastating policies' which are weakening the world economy and increasing food prices, food shortages and destruction of forests.
The letter (links below) by Hans Schreuder (Netherlands), Piers Corbyn (UK), Don Parkes (Australia) & Svend Hendriksen (Greenland) includes a graph by Joseph D'Aleo (Certified Consultant Meteorologist & Member American Meteorological Soc) based entirely on official figures which show that while CO2 has risen dramatically for the last ten years world temperatures have been falling - contrary to the UN (IPCC) predictions.
The letter has received very wide circulation across the world and very significantly it is carried on the official United Nations CAPSA site (Centre for Alleviation of Poverty through Secondary crops development in Asia and the pacific). For details goto:
April's issue of BBC Focus magazine - the world's best science & technology magazine carries a great feature on Piers Corbyn and Weather Action
Its great to see BBC Focus - a world journal - asserting its independence from the BBC's web reportage and main broadcasting, which is brimming with unbalanced Man-made Global Warming & Climate Change propaganda. The magazine is available from newsagents and the article by Stuart Clark can be found on pages 68 - 72.
Award of AMEME Hopley Shield 2008 to Piers Corbyn speaking on 'Is it you or is it the Sun' ('Global Warming' debate and presentation about Long-range weather forecasting).
Minerals Engineering Society - Thursday 17 January 2008, 7.30 pm at Willesley Park Golf Club, Ashby-de-la-Zouch, Leicestershire.
Piers Corbyn was awarded the AMEME Hopley Lecture Shield for his Presentation on 17th Jan. This prestigious annual award was started by what was then the Association of Mining Electrical and Mechanical Engineers in 1975.
Piers was especially pleased and proud to receive this shield and his associated engraved glass not just for the recognition of the subject matter - Piers' revolutionary long range weather forecasting and challenge to global warming orthodoxy - that this award represents; but also because Piers' father David B Corbyn was a very accomplished Electrical Engineer, his elder brother the late J Andrew Corbyn was a very experienced radical Mining Engineer and geophysicist and his eldest brother David E Corbyn is a very accomplished Mechanical -turned Safety - engineer.
* Copies of the PowerPoint Presentation are available - email back with a request.
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The forecasts for each month are constructed in time windows of just a few days, and include:
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