Comments from Piers
WeatherAction
- Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach!
Jan 10th and ongoing Comment post. Extra points from Piers Jan 12th
Breaking News snips (newest on top)
=> Tue15/Wed16 FEBRUARY 2013 - A month of Wild Contrasts - 45d Brit+Ire Forecast is now loaded
NEWS CONTENT: http://twitpic.com/bvms3x/full Piers says "BBC-MO credibility is near a tipping point"
=> Tue 15 Jan 05.00am SPECIAL UPDATE on WHAT WE EXPECT in R5+ 17-20th Jan and QV5+ 16-19th & Sudden Stratospheric warming event has been loaded into Forecast Services: B+I 45d, Euro-maps and World Red-warnings/Thunder-Tornado/Quake trials (Extreme Events Rest Of World)
1. WeatherAction News Release and Public Warning 10 Jan 2013
- SUMMARY PUBLIC FORECAST issued because of the importance of what lies ahead for the UK and Ireland - part carried on Daily Express front page 10 Jan: http://bit.ly/ULznvo
http://images.dailyexpress.co.uk/img/covers/257x330front/2013-01-10.jpg
- SUMMARY PUBLIC FORECAST issued because of the importance of what lies ahead for the UK and Ireland - part carried on Daily Express front page 10 Jan: http://bit.ly/ULznvo
http://images.dailyexpress.co.uk/img/covers/257x330front/2013-01-10.jpg
Full detailed forecast B+I (and equally important forecasts for USA and Eu) available via: http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
NB: Substantial discounts for 6months (charged as for 5) and 12 month (charged for 9) subs
Extreme cold, blizzards and snow drifts "many feet deep" to bring chaos to England and Wales for at least three weeks - into early Feb
· WeatherAction forecast issued ahead of all others
"Our solar-lunar based forecast predicted generally increasingly cold and very cold weather from around Sat 12th Jan for Britain and Ireland. Next, waves of major Arctic blasts and blizzards with many feet of drifting snow are likely in places from around 20th with another major blizzardy blast around the begining of February.
"England and Wales including the South are likely to get the deepest snow, while Scotland and Northern parts of Ireland will probably be very cold rather than very snowy. Some of the SouthWest of Britain and Ireland will probably get rain rather than snow at times.
"Our solar-lunar based forecast predicted generally increasingly cold and very cold weather from around Sat 12th Jan for Britain and Ireland. Next, waves of major Arctic blasts and blizzards with many feet of drifting snow are likely in places from around 20th with another major blizzardy blast around the begining of February.
"England and Wales including the South are likely to get the deepest snow, while Scotland and Northern parts of Ireland will probably be very cold rather than very snowy. Some of the SouthWest of Britain and Ireland will probably get rain rather than snow at times.
· Sudden stratospheric warmings forecast breakthrough
"Although there is something of a 'stratospheric warming' developing now 10 Jan", said Piers, "we expect more intense 'sudden stratospheric warmings' and related cold blasts around quite well defined dates to come. We are 85% sure of this general picture and further details of the weather and stratosphere forecasts can be found via our website www.weatheraction.com ".
WeatherAction expect snow amounts to be as bad or worse than the record-breaking December 2010 - which they also predicted.
"Dr Richard Wild, snow-expert at Weathernet advises that previous significant snow blasts in the last 10 years before Dec 2010 in England and Wales were: begining Jan 2010, 8-9 Feb 2007, Feb 1996 and Jan 1993", said Piers.
WeatherAction expect snow amounts to be as bad or worse than the record-breaking December 2010 - which they also predicted.
"Dr Richard Wild, snow-expert at Weathernet advises that previous significant snow blasts in the last 10 years before Dec 2010 in England and Wales were: begining Jan 2010, 8-9 Feb 2007, Feb 1996 and Jan 1993", said Piers.
What to Look out for in coming events
The Brit+Ire 30day forecast carries key dates of WeatherAction predicted SUDDEN polar stratospheric warmings and expected key surface pressure and weather events.
Further detail is in Eu pressure forecasts & commentary and RTQ (Red Warning, Thunder/tornado and Quake (trial) (Extreme Events Rest Of world) Forecasts
=> These are available as part of the Eu 30day service and B+I 45d service on
http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
Note subscriptions NOW to B+I 45d service get these December pdfs AND on 15th Jan also get the B+I 45d forecast for Feb. Seize the time!
INFORMATION: Standard moving model smoothed record and projections of 30mb temps - showing temp of Stratosphere: http://twitpic.com/bsk4gb/full There are various measures around. WeatherAction forecast was issued Jan3, before these models had forecasts for the dates of WeatherAction SSWs.
Note Jan 14. The standard projections now show a rapid increase in Stratospheric temperature 17-21st with the red area in two halves spreading to roughly the whole of Asia and the whole of Canada plus the northern half of USA. We are monitoring this as well as Pressures especially Greenland High and Scandinavian High. Solar Active regions AR1656 to AR1654 are near Earth facing 14th and AR1654 is very large http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?month=01&day=14&year=2013&view=view
(added Jan 12) BBC-MetO opportunism on Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) could begin their terminal decline as scientifically credible institutions.
says Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeatherAction.
"The pathetically opportunist public 'revelations' by the BBC-MO of the importance of (polar) sudden stratospheric warmings in the advent of cold blasts after WeatherAction's explicit prediction (Jan 3) of such events to come; and their failure to acknowledge WeatherAction and associates of their work, shows they will stop at nothing to try to shore up their failed 'weather drives weather', warmist, approaches to medium and long range forecasting.
Peter Gibbs video on the matter http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/20992173 is well explained and informative but the intro "Forecasters have found a link between sudden warming in the stratosphere and unusual weather patterns" conceals their own (effectively admitted in the vid) failure to know which SSWs will cause cold blasts or when SSWs will come or where they come from shows 'the forecasters' could not have originally been the Met Office. The piece and (less so) Paul Hudson's earlier piece http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2012/10/a-step-forward-in-forecasting.shtml in the matter was produced to make it look as if the MO might have a grip of the matters when they ONLY started talking about them after we at WeatherAction stated the cold blast to come (which they didnt expect anyway) would be 'SSW creatures'. Their opportunusm will however bite them back.
Ask from where do SSWs come?
The intellectually challenged 'science' that holds a change of atmosperic CO2 concentration from ~0.03% to ~0.031% (the 0.001% being Man's contribution) could cause Hurricane Sandy to take a left turn and head for New York and trigger all manner of other extremes in 2011 and 2012 (many of which were in fact predicted using solar activity weeks and months ahead) is delusional enough. The idea that SSWs at 10-50km above the Earth are also driven by trivial changes in concentrations of a trace gas - CO2 [which MUST be the case if CO2 is the father of all these extreme] is stupid beyond imagination. And what of the Earth-facing extreme events on the sun when major SSWs happen? Are they put there by Peter Gibbs driving his car past some tipping point?
SSWs are driven by solar activity and we at WeatherAction are predicting the major ones, and their solar drivers, which cause NH winter important cold blasts; whereas standard Met has no such long range predictive skill on SSWs or anything. This shows two things:
(i) The fundamental tenet of standard meteorology that weather primarily drives weather and all external influences are minimal - which means SSWs are driven from below - is past its sell-by date.
(ii) SSWs are nothing to do with CO2.
WOULD THE BBC-METO CARE TO DISCUSS THESE MATTERS WITH US ON TV WHEN MUCH OF BRITAIN IS SUFFERING UNDER EXTREME COLD BLASTS AND/OR HUGE SNOWDRIFTS?
(Recall They expected a mild January)
CO2 warmists in double whammy retreat
· UKMetO bends towards WeatherAction cold forecast! Standard Met can't cope with new reality of coming new LittleIceAge Superb graph from Joe Bastardi: http://bit.ly/Vf8Vtr
FACT: Met Office data is still fraud THE WORLD IS COOLING http://bit.ly/UkErVX
For the facts of CO2 warmist fraud by MetO-BBC-CRU (Uni of East Anglia) see http://twitpic.com/bu5bw1/full
2. Latest News / Recent Regular WeatherActionTV reports:
● Jan Forecast news B+I, Eu, USA, Quakes/thunder - Extreme Events world http://bit.ly/Vf8Vtr
http://bit.ly/U63E6a
NEWS REPORTS IN news sections of WeatherAction 30day JAN 2013 forecast pdfs
Europe WeatherAction Dec forecast won through - Report twitpic.com/brwxlq/full
2a Breach of copyright on WeatherOutlook site (posting/link since removed).
2. Latest News / Recent Regular WeatherActionTV reports:
● Jan Forecast news B+I, Eu, USA, Quakes/thunder - Extreme Events world http://bit.ly/Vf8Vtr
http://bit.ly/U63E6a
NEWS REPORTS IN news sections of WeatherAction 30day JAN 2013 forecast pdfs
Europe WeatherAction Dec forecast won through - Report twitpic.com/brwxlq/full
2a Breach of copyright on WeatherOutlook site (posting/link since removed).
2b Recent WeatherActionTV VIDEOS
http://www.youtube.com/WeatherActionTV
Green Isn’t Working – Accountability now!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i09WTST80Rs&feature=plcp
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i09WTST80Rs&feature=plcp
BBC invited to ‘Climate Fools day event' 31 Oct 2012
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm_S8mCHZrI&feature=plcp
http://www.youtube.com/WeatherActionTV
Green Isn’t Working – Accountability now!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i09WTST80Rs&feature=plcp
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i09WTST80Rs&feature=plcp
BBC invited to ‘Climate Fools day event' 31 Oct 2012
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm_S8mCHZrI&feature=plcp
WeatherAction Forecasts include news items related to forecasts and forecast advances
To go straight to Subscription shop link (Brit+Ire, Europe, USA, Quakes and Red Weather warnings):http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
For a handy guide to WHAT YOU GET AS A WeatherAction Web SUBSCRIBER and subscriber link, see: http://t.co/JkFE1F9M
3a) Relevant links for comments on models and what they are up-to
To go straight to Subscription shop link (Brit+Ire, Europe, USA, Quakes and Red Weather warnings):http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
For a handy guide to WHAT YOU GET AS A WeatherAction Web SUBSCRIBER and subscriber link, see: http://t.co/JkFE1F9M
3a) Relevant links for comments on models and what they are up-to
(i) http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/weathercharts?LANG=en&MAPS=vtx&CONT=euro&LAND=__&ZEIT=201212070600
(ii) ecmwf Pressure.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=euro&MODELL=ecmwf&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=240&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
(iii) GFS Pressure. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=euro&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=240&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
(iv) Netweather JetStream forecast report - Recommended
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=jetstream;sess
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