Comments from Piers
WeatherAction

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They are produced using scientific advances in understanding predictable aspects of particle-magnetic effects from the sun which, along with lunar factors, change world weather systems in ways which have generally happened before. Through this approach WeatherAction can predict many key changes on the sun and associated changes in circulation, the Jet Stream and weather events with independently proven skill and unrivaled reliability (See Forecasts/ Accuracy button).
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IceAgeNow  http://iceagenow.info/ - Superb exposes of CO2 delusions!
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Wunderground Tropical Cyclones http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/
NationalHurricane Centre http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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Sunspot numbers and Solar Activity
Last 6 cycles up to now (19-24 inc) http://sidc.oma.be/sunspot-index-graphics/wolfmms.php
Plot since 1700 http://sidc.oma.be/sunspot-index-graphics/wolfaml.php
General SIDC (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center) Link 
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NEW WeatherActionTV: UN Climate Report a disgrace to science. 
Piers Corbyn trashes CO2 delusion - conclusively showing CO2 warmism has no place in the rational world and should be swept into the dustbin of history =>  
Released on Trafalgar Day 21 Oct.
Also see Piers' pdf 'A Cowardly cover-up and a disgrace to science' => http://bit.ly/19QbrvY
WE URGE all fighting FOR evidence-based science and against the robbery of the public in the name of CO2 delusionism to Email both Piers' NEW "Brill" POP VID and his pdf, TO The Minister of Climate Delusion daveye@parliament.uk Links above

As warned by WeatherAction in detail mid-Sept (15-45d forecast)...

 DANGEROUS "Wild October" Weather is here
=> And it doesn’t stop in October
=> Mini-Ice-Age (MIA) - "Wild Jet Stream Age* (WJSA) circulation patterns confirmed.
=> Trafalgar Night 21/22 Oct & more, storms coming Europe and USA - major snow hit Great lakes & MidWest 
* A trend WeatherAction warned of during the last 2 years - See p10 of pdf "Piers Corbyn rips UN-IPCC" http://bit.ly/19QbrvY

 ARE YOU READY FOR THIS DANGEROUS WEATHER?

=> All (rest of) October forecasts Brit+Ire, Europe, USA, RTQ (Red weather periods etc) IS HALF PRICE [=Br+Ire £6; Euromaps Eu12.50 (£10.70); USA $7.50 (£4.83p) for special action there too; RTQ $5 (£3.22p)]. UNTIL 22nd Oct (all months) switch-over***from which Subscriptions are taken to start from Nov at normal price and OCT is Free.
 
=> The "WOW" November 45d Br+Ire forecast is available in the 45d service (and which includes Oct 30d, RTQ and Euro pressure maps Oct).
On 18 Oct 2013, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote in Reader Comms on previous blog  http://bit.ly/1fSdyFJ  "Piers, If 70%-75% of your November forecast proves to be accurate; that should go down in history as extraordinary long-range forecasting. If anyone else had produced this I would have called it ....."
 
=> The essence of B+I December (to be soon more detailed) is available on 75d/60d service which includes all of B+I 45d and B+I 30d content. "Single access" to this 75d service is open to 14th Dec, hence it's increasing popularity.

TODAY - from SWITCH-OVER*** on 22nd inc - OCTOBER is included Free in ALL (B+I, Eu, USA, RTQ) subscriptions which are taken to Apply starting November (for which 30d forecast is loaded on 31Oct, and 45d forecast is already available) 
***Prices indicate which applies
 
Serious Irish storm 18th Oct confirms WeatherAction detail issued mid-Sept (30d update identical).
A WOW NOVEMBER COMING! Reader Comm http://bit.ly/1fSdyFJ <GET W-A 45d or 75d fc Service NOW. Irish taster?:

WeatherAction warnings of;
"Deep Atlantic Low attacks from W/NW.." and
"Wet and windy (gales) in most of Ireland with FLOODING were well confirmed.
On 19 Oct 2013, Sue (Ire) on last blog http://bit.ly/1fSdyFJ wrote:
"What a day here in Ireland yesterday {ie 18th - Rain deluges map above} but predicted by Piers so I knew what to expect. Unfortunately we had some serious road crashes and two fatalities countrywide. This sort of thing could be avoided with WA forecasting."
WeatherAction forecast graph well captured top level rain in the 17-18th period for Ireland.

 
 A Trafalgar Night 208th anniversary storm is on it's Way
The Battle of Trafalgar on 21 Oct 1805 was immediately followed by a tremendous storm immortalized in Thomas Hardy's "The Night Of Trafalgar":-
In the wild October night-time, when the wind raved round the land,
And the Back-sea met the front-sea, and our doors were blocked
with sand,
And we heard the drub of dead-man's bay, where the bones of thousands are,
We knew not what the day had done for us at Trafalgar.
Had done,
Had done,
For us at Trafalgar! ..................
And for a superb animated map of Nelson's battle plan of genius itself go to:
 
Subscribers have noticed WeatherAction's SLAT9A R5 period 21-23rd Oct (in detailed forecast issued 17 Sept) and Dangerous seas, and damaging winds on land warnings (gale/storm force in Scotland). More details and other events in Half-price forecast.
 
Standard short range forecasts have been expecting - from a few days ahead - a rain and wind storm system on the same dates but the winds they (eg on 18th and 19th) suggest don’t appear very high. The winds in the R5 period will be notably stronger than short-range suggestions from a few days ahead.

22 Oct : AND IT CAME 
A Precursor to the main period - a tornado Hayling Island Portsmouth 20th Oct: 
"Over 60 heart-stopping seconds, a ‘giant grey wall of wind’ tore along streets, uprooting trees, smashing down fences and ripping apart roofs" Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2468876/Hayling-Island-tornado-Damaged-houses-brings-trees-Portsmouth.html#ixzz2ib7FQtVe  Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
A tree was ripped from its bed in Hayling Island. Police and the council are now working to clear up the damage

A tornado hit Brabant South Netherlands (an area under threat in WeatherAction map) also on 20th

Widespread very heavy rain and flooding hit Scotland and much of North England early on 22nd and much of England later on 22nd.  This was excellent timing and relative intensities, Scot > Most of Br+Ir  > SE, as predicted by WeatherAction with graph below in 45d forecast issued 17 Sept. The main action was in the centre time of the 21-23rd R5 period.  
Severe gales hit parts of Scotland. Hail and thunder came in many parts of Scotland and England/Wales. The Low pressure general track centre was heading just North of UK / touching Scotland which although a bit further South than the detailed LongRange forecast was in line with the general expectation [as distinct from 'THE BIG ONE' forecast for further South around end Oct - see next blog   ] NB In comparing maps note different map projections and allow for time developments.  
The outcome pressure map was slightly deeper than MO forecasts of a few days before as expected under R5s. MO issued a yellow warning for rain in the period.
 WeatherAction Br+Ir 45d service graph (same as 30d) Grey w-end is 19-20.

WeatherAction Possible Pressure scenario Forecast (above) as available in Br+Ir 45d, 75d and European 30d forecasts. (Prices reduced for 6m and 12m of forecasts). 
GET THESE MAPS TO SEE WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR 'THE BIG ONE' END OCT AND SUBSCRIBE FOR 6m, 12m to see what FURTHER DANGER is coming in NOVEMBER and beyond .See next blog for early model projections and subsequent reportage of 'THE BIG ONE'. 

~OBS (12hr ahead) below is heading to ~positions on forecast map for Oct22Trafalgar~Night 21-22nd +22nd TorrentialRain+sev gales confirm WeatherAction fc 33d ahead http://bit.ly/19rwAPN
Joshua Drake took this photo of lightning over Weston in SouthamptonThe "Trafalgar Night+" storm over Weston Hampshire on night 22/23 Photo by Joshua Drake see
This storm system and the Associated R5 period 21-23rd was a quite long duration event evidenced first with some tornado development on Sun 20th, hitting West Scotland and NW+N England on the 'Trafalgar Night' proper (21-22) with severe gales and torrential rain and hitting the South on 22nd and 22-23 night with some continuation on 23rd. 70mph winds were recorded on ~the South coast on 22nd.

USA ~Simultaneous Trafalgar Night and onwards snowstorms confirming WeatherAction 3 weeks ahead forecast for FIRST MAJOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OF SEASON
AccuWeather Report-Forecast above 
GreatLakes+MidWest snow hitting (above) on WeatherAction 3week ahead cue (below)

CO2 - standard models clueless - Piers says:
"As in the last two years and more, these extreme events both sides of the Atlantic and dramatic contrasts across regions (eg 19 Oct mild in England snowing in Scandinavia) and rapid changes are a direct consequence of the Wild Jet Stream Age (= Mini Ice Age) the world is now in the early stages of (to last two decades at least) - and of which WeatherAction warned 6 years ago.
 
Interestingly presenters at the Royal Society 'Discussion' 2-3 Oct Reporting on the IPCC Vth Global Warmist Report bemoaned the fact that whatever they did with their CO2 models they could not get the Jet stream to do anything more than gentle undulations.
I stood up and introduced myself from "WeatherAction successful Long Range weather and climate forecasters, as opposed to IPCC unsucessful forecasts" and pointed out that the wild jet stream behavior and mini Ice Age conditions in recent years (especially 2012 and 2013) are a direct consequence of our Solar Lunar Action Technique in this prolonged period of low solar activity. The presenters gave a mumbled response about model inputs and moved on. 
Comments submitted - 35 Add your comment
On 23 Oct 2013, Fred wrote:

Folks....make that ALL models this morning show an impactual storm on southerly track for Sun/Mon. MetO now mentioning potential....6 weeks after Piers.....it may be longer but I read the Oct 45 dayer which Piers put out 16th Sept. Piers, I have to say the likely pressure patterns you drew up way back then for now is astonishingly close to what we are seeing. Any musings re winter? More extremes?
On 22 Oct 2013, Fred wrote:

Looking at the Canadian GEM model and the GFS model they are both currently signalling a significant storm to track over the southern UK on 29th of the month. It is exactly what is envisaged by Piers. We ain't there yet but all the models show strong activity in the Atlantic whereby very deep and strong storms can quickly develop. We are still a week away but its very interesting to watch...and very disturbing because areas not normally exposed to gales and severe gales will get hit...and that is a problem! The projected jetstream patern is maintaining the theme of southerly tracking low pressure systems...be ready.
On 22 Oct 2013, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Piers You've obviously got a lot right the past three years, but one thing which went spectacularly wrong was your forecast for the UK this summer (as opposed to the spring which you got spot on). Have you worked out why that didn't pan out yet??
On 22 Oct 2013, Rob wrote:

Typical confusion from the UKMO that happens in an R5. This is the text of their Strathclyde forecast. "Cloudy with outbreaks of rain but gradually becoming drier and brighter with warm sunny spells developing in the afternoon. A few showers will also develop, these mainly over the Argyll hills" However they also have a yellow warning in force for rain so that will be all bases covered then.
On 22 Oct 2013, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Sun was out this morning at just before 9 AM. Took the dog fpr a walk wearing only a wind breaker. Bad mistake! Inside the house it's just beneath 17 Celsius but you can see your breath. Outside it's 15 Celsius with dew point of 12-13 Celsius at the stations Lauwersoog and Kollum; we're somewhere inbetween, closer to Lauwersoog than Kollum.
On 22 Oct 2013, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Talking of rain....we have rain! We also have floods. The moors are surging through every tributary, stream, river, and standing water everywhere. I do hope that our local farmer (the one with all the bad luck), hasn't jumped the gun again and planted too early. If he has, then several of his neighbours have done the same. If this rain keeps coming then they are all in the poop!
On 22 Oct 2013, Piers_Corbyn (twitter) WA Forecaster wrote:

THANKS ALL FOR QUALITY COMMS === Trafalgar Night storm; keep up obs citizens - LEE, PADDY etc. Timing - mid of 21-23rd good. UKMO 6pm BBC admitted severe gales coastal regions (Brit) Scot (West) + Irish sea. This is more than they said 1 or 2 day(s) before. We said Sev gale / storm force 34days ahead and "torrential rain, thunder, hail in Scot" (eg on Graph) so already we can say our warned range of winds has been reached to the day and winds (and prob rain) are / will be more then they had been saying a day or 2 ahead which is in line with R5 effects. There could well be severe local developments in this frontal system as it crosses Scotland, Wales and England REPORTS WELCOME. - ALSO FOR FURTHER EVENTS BRIT+IRE+EU+USA later in month + Next month === CRAIG M Dew points I too like dew points and am amazed at the number of independent stations which do not bother to work them out and report them. Thanks Piers
On 22 Oct 2013, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

@Craig M - Current dew point (station Lauwersoog/Kollum) is 12 Celsius, a little colder the days before. A huge influence on how we 'perceive' the weather is the fact that we live in an uninsulated 1900 house, where the inside temps are usually colder than the outside temps. At least when temps get above 15 Celsius or so :-\' @Carl - All our animals do indeed act as if the weather will suddenly dip down. Can't get them out of the house, except to catch harvest mice. Poor little buggers, they thought they had found a good place to stay in our bramble bushes. I now have an infant harvest mouse residing in a small indoors propagator, as one of our cats still hasn't gotten the hang of killing them. I think I raised up to 10 mice already, some even still pinkies, as I just can't put the little buggers down if they're still 'in working order'. We even have had one living in our living room inside a terrarium for almost 2 years. And we have 3 of them 'free ranging' through the house. Cats ..
On 22 Oct 2013, BLACK PEARL wrote:

How many times did Ed Davy use the phrase 'tackling climate change ' in his short interview at Hogwarts on the TV today ? This is his email..... daveye@parliament.uk if you want to educate him with the latest climate data. Been doing so for some time with little response. Maybe a flood of communications from you lot might be more irritating.
On 22 Oct 2013, Lee barrett wrote:

Hi Piers terrific October forcast so far but just wondering whens southern scotland going to see the winds weve got heavy rain. Iv also lit alot of people know about ur warnings for this dangerous weather too and keep up the great work Piers :)
On 21 Oct 2013, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

A mild & moonlit start to the day, quite still on the ground but low clouds racing across the sky from a SW quarter, temp overnight and at 7.30 was 10˚C, rising to 14˚. Practically no wind all day, looked at the rainfall radar from time to time to see how fast it was progressing northwards, trying to get digger work done before it arrived, which it did by 6pm, including some wind, still feeling mild. R5 starts today, certainly plenty rain for the whole country, no storm yet but knowing Piers, it will still come one way or another, apparently severe gales in Irish Sea tonight. Only MO warning is yellow for rain tomorrow in Perthshire & Angus. Not much going on in terms of clouds, mostly grey stratocumulus & stratus.
On 21 Oct 2013, Carl T 45 sub NE Wales ele 1m wrote:

Cats do not have political agendas nor gravy train funds to justify, they simply observe the weather in ways we can not. And act accordingly. It is getting colder. Well done Piers on the latest Vid, the science is solid the agument is clear, I would say some higher production values ( closed micing for sound, white balancing etc) would help to fight the pretenders who can't begin to master the science or argument have managed only to well (high production values shoddy science). To master the fluff which is higher production values. it will come I am sure.
On 21 Oct 2013, Lorraine wrote:

So UK is going to build nuclear plants because climate change is the biggest threat facing humanity. Groan!
On 21 Oct 2013, Craig M (Berks 45d Sub) wrote:

@Saskia - any ideas what the dew points were? I've noticed they make a massive difference to the feel of temps, so two days with 16C feel v differnt. Wunderground may have a fairly local station to give you an idea? === Lorraine, thanks. When I heard about Christchurch quake (initial reports of M6) I didn't think much but once reports came in of the damage...it does look like the fault has awakened. Like volcanoes they can lay dormant for a long time outside of human memory, although that is often just 'western memory'as Māori tradition refers to rū whenua, which means ‘the shaking of the land’.=== "European settlers arriving in the Wellington region from 1840 onward soon became accustomed to a distinctive feature of the new land: the numerous small earthquakes. Because these minor tremors caused no damage, people were ill-prepared for the severity of the quakes that were to follow." === http://bit.ly/15y7sDC
On 21 Oct 2013, Steve,Dorset,UK wrote:

Hi all what a weird feeling in the air today, when I walked out of the house to do things in the greenhouse I was amazed to see the temp the thermometer read 17C and the temp in the house was 17.5 C for this time of year odd but helping with this lunatic governments Green taxes i.e. no heating on. sad to see that the Government has now sold all our family silver and now have to BEG at the door of a communist country s door, How Low will they stoop to get there nose in the trough, As you say Piers in your You tube piece the first party to promise they will ditch the green grab warmish tax will get power and I for one will vote again for UKIP; P.S Wet and windy today.
On 21 Oct 2013, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Weird weather, like I said. Feels muggy and cold at the same time. I was thinking earlier today that these were perfect conditions for(small) tonadoes. And yup! Not in our area but in the southern part of the country. https://tinyurl.com/small-tornado-in-Brabant
On 21 Oct 2013, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Must say that after 3 months odd of drought in the summer, all this rain is most welcome. It'll fill up the reservoirs, increase the levels of ground water and seep beautifully into lower soils in gardens. By the way Piers, did you predict the record heat in Australia?? The bush fires are all due to Global Warming according to Guardianistas!!
On 21 Oct 2013, Jimmy wrote:

Has the orbit/rotation of the moon changed recently? If so did you expect it? There is some comment on the net, and you'd be the man to know. Thanks
On 21 Oct 2013, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Can't get over the fact how, even when temps are above 16 Celsius like today, a pervasive chill seems to remain in the air. Even the cats have opted to stay inside all day, curling up next to the heater which now runs for several hours per day. On the other hand, we've observed young mice much later in the season than normal, as well as baby birds. Nature has indeed discarded all rules from the previous decades and seems to have initiated a new schedule. Now it's up to us to learn to live with it.
On 21 Oct 2013, Fred wrote:

October forecast is going very well indeed. Have folk looked at the model outputs recently showing Pier's 'unusual' development of a southerly tracking deep low pressure attacking from the SW end of the month. Not only is the timing of the current much more active/stormy period spot on, but also the track of the storms. Watch out halloween and Guy Fawkes celebrations folks...it ain't going to be pretty. I have no doubt that it wil be a major talking point after its all done. But of course the media and MetO will say they expect this due to AGW. Well if they expect it why don't they forecast it....because they can't. But we all know a man who can.
On 21 Oct 2013, Wendy wrote:

Weather in the High Peak really miserable today.Heavy rain,low light ,lamps on in the middle of the day! I too wonder about what is to come in December.I read the informed comments on weather action most days and am amazed how many people appear to have been brainwashed about global warming etc.Well done Piers for such accurate forcasting.
On 21 Oct 2013, Helen dolan wrote:

I look at this wonderful page every night, I remember back in last December that the year 2013 would go down in weather history as the year we won't forget , and it has been true every season in this mixed up year so far god knows what we will get this December , and what was predicted for October has been predicted spot on well done piers and thank god you tell the truth I just wish the so called weather men on tv would learn from you and tell us the truth Thanks again piers for a brilliant forcast
On 20 Oct 2013, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Blue sky visible this morning, temp 8˚C at 8am, then misting/greying over and staying that way all day with no discernible cloud shapes. Light SSE breeze all day, max temp 12˚C, a very mild autumn day. I must say I am waiting with bated breath to see how the next three days will develop as we are entering the R5 period, still no warnings on MO's 5d forecast.
On 20 Oct 2013, Steve,Dorset.UK wrote:

Nearly 100 houses had their roofs damaged by the high winds and rain and several cars have been damaged by fallen trees and broken fences, in Hayling Island, Portsmouth. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2468876/Hayling-Island-tornado-Damaged-houses-brings-trees-Portsmouth.html
On 20 Oct 2013, Shaun wrote:

Interesting, didn't see any warnings from the MO. 45 to 50 mph winds reported, well according to Wiki a gale force wind is 38mph+ and when I worked for an insurnce company their definition of gale force for insurance purposes was similar. So why didn't the MO have a wind warning?
On 20 Oct 2013, Ron Greer wrote:

Highland Perthshire---Mid, muggy, calm, misty and damp-----well boring actually! Still got more of my tree and shrub seed into the seedbeds. No danger of frost heave in the week ahead then according to the Mobeeb, though a bit cooler up here Thurs-Friday. Exacta still going for a more severe spell later and goimg into November---that'll be a big turn round. Instinct and experience says-----trust Piers.
On 20 Oct 2013, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

>> http://iceagenow.info/2013/10/quietest-sun-dalton-minimum-190-years/ << Oh dear! .... The perfect punishment for Mr Gore and his crimes against humanity? A Siberian Gulag prison camp should be damned near perfect in my opinion! He could share a cell with Mr Mann....
On 20 Oct 2013, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

Storms crossed London around 9am and gave our newly repaired roof a run for it's money. Thankfully it held out. Now it's 1:30pm and there's a more ferocious band of thundery downpours heading up from the SW again. October forecast going very well and the November one makes interesting reading. Wild fluctuations go hand in hand with Piers' analogy of the Mini Ice Age. There's no denying it now folks - we're at the cusp of decades worth of extremes...
On 20 Oct 2013, Sid wrote:

Mini tornado in west sussex north of chichester. About 8-8.30am (ish) rain horizontal, plant pots and wheel barrow blown over, lightning with out thunder, tremendous wind lasted a couple of minutes (not saturday's curry as didn't have one!). Not that unusual - Selsey often gets them. Sid.
On 20 Oct 2013, paul wrote:

tornado hit hayling island this morning made the news??? does this include what october is warning us about! i wonder if this storm was a tip of the iceberg!
On 20 Oct 2013, Shaun wrote:

http://iceagenow.info/2013/10/polar-bears-doomsayers-predicted/ Hmm, interesting that. I bet that will be more AGW contradictions that wont make main stream media in the western world. Must be really over populated with all that melting ice huh. Maybe they will be suggesting a cull next otherwise this over populated patch of ice might get nasty, oops. Sorry I'm being silly, but sometimes that's exactly how daft the AGW theories are.
On 20 Oct 2013, Steve,Dorset,UK wrote:

Christopher Booker: 'Mini-nukes’ beat monster wind farms on every count http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/windpower/10389434/Mini-nukes-beat-monster-wind-farms-on-every-count. Well worth a look.
On 19 Oct 2013, Sue (Ire) wrote:

It's 23:20 and we have some very violent thunder storms passing over us. Reports on @AAWeatherWatch Twitter feed of impressive lightning over Dublin bay right now.
On 19 Oct 2013, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Cont... Practically everything in the public domain is fraud, be it weather or vaccines (just reading 'Dissolving Illusions' http://www.dissolvingillusions.com/): we are brainwashed into believing that it was the vaccines that overcame all the deadly diseases when in fact vaccination came in when the diseases were on the wane anyway because of improved sanitation, working conditions etc. Like saying that dramatic weather events are man-made when the underlying trend is the approaching MIA. This is not ignorance but wilful obfuscation in order to protect the golden goose egg business model.
On 19 Oct 2013, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

A very damp day today with pretty constant rain most of the day, occasionally heavy, and it had clearly rained quite a bit overnight, as could be seen from the radar and from the much higher level of the river Dee which had been low for months. Grey indeterminate nimbostratus overhead, quite mild though at 10 – 11˚C all day with a light SSW breeze, a real autumn day with leaves lying damp and compacted everywhere along the roads, very restful. Tonight the full moon could be seen through the veil of cloud, terribly rrrrromantic :-) Still not a peep out of the MO regarding the upcoming R5, see above.