On 29 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
Norwegian and other standard north European models suggesting another mild wet winter ahead ( sent Piers the details) GFS going for a markedly cold mid November period, but as this is based on a PM outbreak from the north, then doubts remain, bearing in mind their past errors on this.
On 26 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
1˚C at 7.30, had been 3˚ overnight as we had cloud cover, so frost was less hard than expected this morning, brilliantly sunny day with a SW’ly wind, less cold than yesterday but the seasonal change is happening, max temp 9˚, clear evening with 3˚ at 9.30pm.
On 26 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
C VIEW: Aye been snow on the higher hills up here since last Monday. Yesterday's flurry here was at 140 metres. Another sharp frost this morning. It's got that early winter feeling.
On 25 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
0˚C at 7.30, wham bam, first proper ground frost of the autumn, nasturtiums looking the worse for it and likely even worse tomorrow as temp now at 9.30pm is already down to 1˚ under a clear sky. Sunny for a while in the morning with a max temp of 5˚ and a keen SW’ly wind of returning polar air, then cloudy until evening, warmer clothes on the programme for tomorrow. We’ve had it mild for so long that we’ve gone all soft and are now waking up to what is to come, bracing stuff.
On 25 Oct 2019, C View wrote:
Further to to your comment Ron ther was a good coveraing of snow down to about 700m on Ben Ime this morning
On 25 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
first dusting of snow on the slates this morning when I peeked out the curtains just after 0700 hrs
On 24 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, SW’ly wind all day, tuning into the W by evening, cloudy start & brightening up by 11 to leave us a sunny if windy day, max temp 12˚, cooler as the wind began to turn, 4˚ at 9.30pm under a starry sky.
On 23 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, overcast & strong wind from the SW all day, light shower early on but otherwise dry, 12˚ max temp, cloudy and mild feeling, 10˚ at 9.30pm.
On 23 Oct 2019, Fred wrote:
As we progress Piers October now coming to fruition...late....but its now on track and early Nov projection is really looking good so get the forecast. I’ve noticed how Piers doesn’t change his forecast even when it doesn’t initially develop as expected....as he sees the path forward overall which I believe is right to do. I’m very interested by what is coming, models looking colder and colder
On 22 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, SSW’ly wind all day, fairly cloudy with occasional sunshine, max temp 13˚, still plenty flowers in the garden in spite of all the rain we’ve had, 8˚ at 9pm.
On 21 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, cold but no frost, cloudy at first but then a lovely sunny day with a max temp of 10˚ and light winds that gradually changed from NW to SW, tonight it felt like frost at first but then clouds moved in from the west and it looks less likely now, 3˚ at 10pm.
On 21 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
We had a -4/5 frost this morning with huge cascades of leaves falling over a very short period. Went shopping in Aviemore and the bus ride up was through a gloriously boreal autumn landscape with snow above 700 metres in the Cairngorms. Oddly both GFS and the Norwegian forecast are in a fair bit of agreement over a fairly substantial outbreak of Polar Maritime air from Thursday through to Halloween, so should be more frost and snow on the hills. Still suspect a volte face from GFS in short course.
On 21 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
We have had more rain some sunnier dry intervals to plant spring bulbs followed by a dry weekend and our first visable frost last night looking pretty across the garden early this morning with a band of mist/fog. Possibly -1 overnight but 2 deg by 8 a.m 6 deg and sunny with blue sky approaching midday, beautiful Autumn day. 5 deg in the tunnel at 9.30 a.m and glad I covered a few things with fleece, the cucumbers though have had their final moment for the year as I believe last night may have finished them off. Weeding the last flower beds this week and then to set to adding some cow manure to the veg plot. No s#%t Sherlock winters coming :-)
On 20 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚C at 7.30, overcast with a fresh N’ly wind and some rain during the morning, brightening up by midday with a bit of sunshine in the afternoon, max temp 9˚, 6˚ at 9pm under a cloudy sky, promise of sunshine tomorrow.
On 19 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, overcast, fresh NE’ly wind increasing in strength during the day, wet from overnight rain but turning into an intermittently sunny day with towering clouds streaming in off the N Sea, max temp 11˚, a few stars out tonight, nice to have had a dry day, 7˚ at 10pm.
On 18 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, overcast with a light ENE’ly wind, dry until 10, then pretty continuous rain for the rest of the day, some of it quite heavy, max temp 9˚, back down to 8˚ by 9pm and still raining. At least it is not cold but the ground is now truly soggy.
On 18 Oct 2019, Tony ex sub wrote:
Ron I know that I was a member for a while ....what I'm say ing is at the time I was trying to promote piers including his timescales but with such a poor return I had for our region it was hard to get people to get excited about a possible lia never mind subbing.....I'm.not knocking piers effort far from it I still promote that global warming is bs......I would be happier with less drama like has been predicted and a better accuracy
On 18 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
More heavy showers late in the night and in early afternoon means October rainfall for NW London now stands at 110mm, nearly 50% above monthly average.
Very early cold snap in Canada and northern mid West means major losses of strategic agricultural crops: it has happened before, but this is absolutely contrary to the ER nonsense about climate heating. Roger Harrabin should be similarly highlighting as a wilfully lying parasite being paid for by taxpayers.
On 17 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
1˚C at 7.30, harder frost than on Sunday but followed by a lovely sunny day with a max temp of 12˚ and a mostly SW’ly light wind, damp though, typical October weather, 7˚ at 9pm. Real cold has spared us so far.
On 17 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
oops, since last night GFS are now predicting cold PM coming in from the east for Halloween, followed by a cold period extending into early November. Expect a prediction of warm SW winds by this evening.
On 17 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
TONY & ANDY: Piers makes his forecasts weeks and months ahead. For comparison GFS yesterday morning were predicting for Halloween,a sharp polar maritime outbreak with temps on the higher Scottish peaks down to -5C, By evening time this had switched to mild/warm southerlies--the diametric opposite in about 12hours
On 16 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, light SW’ly wind, damp but no rain until midday and then drizzle of varying intensity throughout the afternoon, max temp 13˚, drier towards evening, beautiful sunset as the cloud cover moved eastwards and the wind had changed into the NW, 7˚ at 9pm.
== Tony postie, I understand your disappointment, I’ve been in a similar situation with family & friends, so now I keep quiet and just watch developments; as I always say, sometimes the predicted pattern shifts 100 miles east or west and then it seems all wrong, we’re dealing with a complex system that not many of us really understand. However, Piers sticks his neck out, which is why I support him, and is one of the few lone voices calling the climate change emperor naked against the herd of bleating repeater sheep who see that emperor in resplendent garments.
On 16 Oct 2019, Tony ex sub wrote:
Rhys ,I had read about the bad weather in the east and north of europe so I.guess all is not lost ....I just feel our island will always be a maybe maybe not bad winter ....even now nothing untoward in uk .....thx for your reply as well ...I tempted to rejoin but the last 2 winters I was a member were for my area very poor and as I was promoting the site at work ...I'm a postie ...i got a lot of egg on my face ....
On 16 Oct 2019, Lorraine L NZ wrote:
@ Rhys Jagger - What about Rouge d'hiver lettuce, it is very cold tolerant?
On 15 Oct 2019, Andy B 45D wrote:
I see your snow forecasts are going a little haywire this month after a very good forecast last month, I hope this doesn't follow last years poor record for snow 112 mm of rain here so far this month
On 15 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, foggy & very damp with variable light breeze from E’ly & N’ly direction, off & on drizzle from late morning, max temp 12˚, occasional glimpses of the sun, 8˚ at 9.30pm. == Rhys, I have also grown Valdor in the past, if I’m not mistaken it is originally a French variety called Val d’Orge; Winter Density and Winter Gem are also quite nice, they are cos varieties, welcome in early spring when grown in a tunnel.
On 15 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Tony, there have been plenty of extremes in Russia this year going under-reported in the West. Very cold spells in summer and a very cold snap end September/early October.
It is hard to judge the reality of how extreme weather balances out when western reporting is so biased toward western locations.
Typhoon Hagibis being so strong and so late does suggest plenty of oceanic heat remaining in the tropics though.
There have already been two significant snow events in the European mountains this autumn, and still six weeks to go before the average date for lasting snow at 12-1500m altitude.
There is currently more snow than normal in Scandinavia, SE Siberia, western China and western Canada.
On 15 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paddy, agree with you about lettuce normally not standing winter frosts. I am growing a strain called Valdor this autumn and it is yielding very well after bulking up in the rains of the past three weeks. They market it as one to keep over winter and harvest in early spring, but I will harvest the majority before end November and just keep two or three to see how hardy they are. Grenoble Red did survive a winter here, but it was not a cold snowy one. As leaves from March sown lettuce rarely harvest before May 15th here, an overwintering strain has definite value if six weeks of harvesting prior to spring crops were possible.
On 14 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, very light breeze from a generally S’ly direction, another splendid autumn day with lots of sunshine and a max temp of 13˚, a little more hazy by evening, 7˚ at 8pm. == Maria, kohlrabi are good and you can grow two successive crops if you like them, nice nutty flavour, can be eaten raw, need to be peeled, don’t let them get too big or old as they get woody bits in them. Regarding sugarloaf, my aunt used to soak it in water with a bit of milk before eating, takes the bitterness out but is more work, can be delicious with the right dressing but isn’t a patch on witloof.
On 14 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Was going to say so much rain! But compared to Japan after seeing pictures today I'd like to re-word and say it was a bit of a rainy day today with a few big puddles about the place and a lil soggy. Dry for a time in the afternoon then more showers though not as heavy. 11 deg at 10pm
On 14 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
C View
It is quite normal for the first snows to arrive on Scottish Munros in October and not unusual for it to occur in September on Ben Nevis. Of course, it usually melts again but it does tell you that freezing temperatures in October is entirely normal at 3000ft+ in Scotland.
On 13 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
A grey start clearing to give a pleasant Autumn day with some nice sunny spells at times, the tiny one helped me replant some spring bulbs that were taking up shed room, Stayed nice in the afternoon so took the finished runner beans out. Rhys Paddy good info thanks, my timing a lil better this year as less time for garden sentimentality!-) plus trying to adopt CD no dig approach, saves time too, have not tried endive or chicory sure I said to Paddy was going to years ago but still not got to that yet, thinking of trying kohl Rabi in spring what does it taste like? Glad you mentioned sugarloaf as was going to try but not keen on too bitter. Have Savoy parsnip turnip Swede Kale garlic on the plot, spring cabbage just out, Autumn Kings stored also trying Eskimo carrot good to -10 under fleece with broccoli sown early Sept as experiment then the same radish, corn salad spring onions mizuna spinach valdor lettuce turnips just up a few weeks ago in tunnel more garlic, veg obsessed :)) 7 @11
On 13 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
1˚C at 7.30, frost on car roof and on exposed grass patches but only a couple of hours of brightness, after which cloud started moving in and it stayed grey all day, very light and variable winds, W’ly at first & gradually turning into the NE, max temp 12˚, light rain in the evening and temp staying at 9˚ by 9pm. Still saw a couple of butterflies yesterday. == Maria & Rhys, lettuce at our latitude is hostage to frost, can stand a bit but not too often, also by this time we’re not quite so keen on it anymore. But corn salad is starting and shortly I’ll be digging the first witloof chicory roots for forcing in a dark box, so great to have that all winter, we always grow masses of it; stopped sugarloaf for being too bitter, scarole & endive can’t stand much frost, overwinter lettuce in tunnel.
On 13 Oct 2019, Tony ex sub wrote:
Agree fred another disappointing month ......I really try to understand the thought of a lia but just dont see it happening certainly not here in the uk ......I definitely dont see global warming as I've been arguing with many over that bs ....I realise the stratosphere and jet stream ..sun play a huge part but over the last few years on here it's been next year will start etc etc ....not as bad as madden and his worst winter ever forecast each year ....I read iceagenow a lot and the usa always seems to be the centre of the extremes ....any thoughts anyone ???as I know there are many on here who are more informed than me
On 13 Oct 2019, C View wrote:
This text taken from the Mountain Weather Information Service........ With emphasis added ..... Wind speeds varied, sometimes
gale force; typically from the south or southwest, but the air mass NOT WARM. Temperatures tending to be BELOW AVERAGE;
persistently NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING point on higher Scottish Munros from midweek onward into the weekend
On 13 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Maria, I have never gardened in Ireland but here in NW London you can harvest fennel in October and November, turnips in November, Spanish Round winter radish in December and January, chicory and endive in November, spinach in October and November and this year I think my lettuce will last well into November as it is marketed as a winter lettuce. That is excluding all the traditional winter veg like parsnip, leek, cabbage, sprout, swede etc.
All those highlighted things are sown after the solstice and some up to early September. Many go in the ground ideally after the first lettuce for leaf picking go to seed in the last ten days of July and the second early potatoes are just finished at the start of August.
On 12 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Fog across the fields early this morning looked beautiful, looking across at the garden with all the autumn colours made me ditch the duvet and get outside, pulled fresh beetroot to cook for lunch leaving enough left for the next week or 2 and then across to the webs wonder lettuce under the fleece, they were late going in but quick to catch up. Felt fresh n cold, showing 5 deg in the tunnel @ 8.30 also picked one of the last 6 or so cucumbers as I know their days are numbered now and a few firm fresh tomatoes as the plants too are losing the will. Great to have fresh salad still in October and the winter salad n crops are off to a good start in the tunnel, never had the energy to grow much by this point in the season but did some reading and was surprised by what you could sow in the late summer and Autumn for laters. Chuffed even have garlic in this year 😊 Mostly dry all day some light scattered showers then heavier rain for a short while early eve. 9 deg dew point 7 @ 11pm
On 12 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, sunny from the word go and right through the day, light SW’ly wind, nice clouds, max temp 14˚, clear moonlit evening, full moon tomorrow, 6˚ at 10pm. == C View, here is a short 10 min video which includes a graphic that shows the financing connections of Extinction Rebellion, it is entitled ER’s Real Agenda Exposed https://bit.ly/2VA38VE
On 12 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Enormous amounts of wormcasts appearing on our lawn after the 6 inches plus of rain the past three weeks. ER need to scream louder, the worms are not listening. Harvesting perfect nine week old lettuces, despite Saint Greta saying we are doomed. How dare the lettuces thrive?! Pulling up perfect autumn king carrots every week despite the summer drought: someone tell the carrots they are not allowed to grow any more!
Humans are credulous and do what they are told. Seeds listen to the natural signals and ignore human blethering....
On 12 Oct 2019, Fred wrote:
My concern re forecasts of extremes that ‘relies’ on pM air is that the air is never cold enough for record or near record cold. This month is looking disappointing......if we have pM air as our source....expect average temps and above average in the south.....disappointing.
On 12 Oct 2019, C View wrote:
I see one of the funders of Extinction Rebellion is the oil heiress Aileen Getty. This hypocrisy needs to be exposed
On 11 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, brightening to another mostly sunny day with a fresh W’ly wind, so not quite as warm feeling as yesterday, max 14˚, nice moonlit evening, 6˚ again by 10pm. Can’t believe our luck with this warmth, back in our lettuce growing days this was usually the time when the first serious frosts came down and the season petered out, whereas now we still have unscathed flowering nasturtiums, they are usually the bellwether for frost. == Richard Bruce, where are you located?
On 11 Oct 2019, Richard Bruce wrote:
Overnight on the 10th October we experienced a cloudburst with 30mm of rain in an hour causing flash flooding. Since 24th September up until 10th October we have experienced frequent heavy rain and very unsettled weather. Total rainfall in my rain gauge for that period is 242mm which is exceptional.
On 10 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Another mostly wet day with showers on n off max 13/14 deg felt a bit milder than yesterday, ground getting soggy now, I wonder is this going to be like the lead up to 2010. 10 deg feeling like 6 tonight.
On 10 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, sunny with a light SW’ly breeze that got a little stronger during the day, amazingly sunny and warm morning with a max temp of 15˚, no jacket needed, clouding over and cooling in the afternoon, rain starting up at 5pm for about 3 hours, 10˚ at 9pm.
On 10 Oct 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Cold start today but by 8am any ice on the windscreen had melted. Football called off due to a wet pitch I would think as there is a lot of water visible in the fields. The ground has gone from being very dry to wet quite quickly. An interesting period in the forecast coming up. Lots of earliest snow, heaviest snow, cold records being set in places. Without stating how long records have existed, a statement that something is '..since records began' is a bit meaningless. But you would expect it if you believe that there is a strong 200 year cycle and there are hardly any records that long.
On 09 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Wet n windy continued, some brief sunny spells gradually a bit warmer by early afternoon max 16 deg but temp dipped away with showers again by early eve. 9 deg at 11pm with a dew point of 7 and real feel of 4 deg. Feeling on the chilly side, even the tiny one felt a little cold at 5 a.m this morn. Heating officially back on low. Despite the leaves on the grass the trees are holding onto some leaves at the moment giving a nice colour show. Fab sky tonight too with some amazing night cloud highlighted by the moon.
On 09 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, SW’ly breeze & shaping up to a fairly sunny if hazy morning, max temp 13˚, same veiled brightness in the afternoon, 8˚ by 10pm.
On 08 Oct 2019, C View wrote:
Tony Heller will be smiling as his home state gets a mention on the BBC lunchtime forecast. The forecaster happened to mention how Denver Colorado will see temperatures drop to -2c with snowfall by the end of the week. It's a funny old thing this global warming.......
On 08 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
At a time when absolutely ludicrous suggestions of Greta Thunberg getting a Nobel prize are being bandied around, it is nice to hear of someone more worthy actually getting one. Sir Peter Ratcliffe, whose research group were two labs down the corridor from the one I worked in in Oxford 25 years ago, has been rewarded for his seminal research into oxygen sensing mechanisms and how organisms respond to hypoxia, whose presence is found in many diseases including cancer, ischemia and kidney diseases amongst others, thus rendering the topic suitable for Nobel consideration.
Top, top man and you could not meet a nicer bloke.
On 08 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
yup, GFS backtracking again on PM outbreaks
On 07 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overcast with a beefy S’ly wind, rain from 10 - 4pm, max temp 11˚, remaining cloudy and only breaking up in the evening with the moon peeking out between the clouds, 9˚ at 8.30pm.
On 07 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Rain mostly!-) A little ice on the car window early morn. around the 1st or 2nd Oct some cool clear evenings with fab starry sky. Storm was only a really blustery day here starting on the Thurs. morn a bit windy then fairly chilled all day picking up a bit overnight & more lively around 4 a.m Fri here and then we got allocated our 2nd yellow wind warning for the Friday morning after the Thursday till 6pm one was non event but it went on windy and very wet a bit more into the afternoon than forecast but thankfully not a bad one. Another round of rain yesterday and rivers around very full now, but dry and sunny spells today 6th to get some ground mulched with homemade compost where we had pulled up carrots in the last dryish spell, lovely good sized carrots stored for winter was a good year for them. Back to rain tonight 10 deg feeling like 4 just after midnight..
On 06 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, rain all morning to about 1pm, some of it very heavy, the river Dee was really swollen this afternoon, haven’t seen it like that for a while. Really sunny afternoon with a max temp of 12˚, very pleasant to walk in it even with the strong S’ly wind, 10˚ again at 8.30pm, so far we have not had any real frost.
On 06 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Another heavy rainfall overnight in NW London brings October rainfall total to 65mm already and 150mm in the past two weeks. Rather nice weather pattern actually, still plenty of pleasant sunshine too. The rain is doing wonders in recharging soil moisture to depth. There is some similiarity in this rain episode to the breaking of the 1976 drought...
Glad to see Dutch farmers showing green nutters that blocking roads is pretty easy with enormous tractors and 89% public support. 'No food, no life' is a more cogent slogan than those of warmistas...
On 06 Oct 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
Cold enough on Friday night to light the first fire of the season. Just a little bit warmer last night. I wonder if Piers has any thoughts to share on where the sun is going as we have passed 200 spotless days? Currently at 202 and 72%. 2018 ended at 221 and 61% but with the current spotless runs I would think 2019 will exceed that number but is that the minimum? 2008 was 268 days and 2009 260 days but will we see more low years ahead?
On 06 Oct 2019, out_east wrote:
The winter Siberian high pressure is well into place now.
Temps are already quite low in Scandinavia, northern Russia and Baltic states, as well as northern China.
Time to get out the winter tyres, seems like a month or so early this year...Trees are all losing rheir leaves.
After the amazing indian summer of September in Italy and France, it comes as quite a shock to the system to come down from 30C every day, to more like 14-16C with masses of rain!
On 05 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
5˚C at 7.30, overcast with a light SE’ly breeze which strengthened somewhat during the day, light rain from 10 onwards with a dry afternoon but returning in the evening, max temp 11˚ and still that at 10pm.
On 04 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
5˚C at 7.30, cloudy start, fresh E’ly wind, but brightening up by mid morning and turning into a fairly sunny day with a max temp of 13˚, wind turning into the NE, clear and still evening but 5˚ at 10pm, so a frost is not expected. Great to see the stars again, one of the compensations of the dark season.
On 04 Oct 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
latest wheeze from the warmists is to try to associate some of the major Holocene climatic changes since the Younger Dryas eg Minoan and Romam warm periods and the LIA to human activity..
On 04 Oct 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Ice on the windscreen and white frosty fields yesterday morning. Chilly north wind in London. Warmer today as there was cloud cover last night. Nothing from the ex hurricane seemed to reach my area. Looking at the forecast this month there seems to be almost constant R activity.
On 03 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
5˚C at 7.30, bright start in a light NW’ly breeze but clouding over from the W very soon, some light drizzly showers in the morning, max temp 13˚, wind turning into the SE after midday and quite a bit of sun then, cloudy evening with 9˚ at 9pm. No more swallows...
On 02 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
5˚C at 7.30, windy from the get go, mostly from a N’ly direction with some powerful gusts, quite sunny overall apart from a few light showers but feeling quite cold in the wind, even if the sun still has some power, max temp 12˚, fairly clear evening with 7˚ at 8.30pm.
On 01 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
1st October and wham! 2˚C at 7.30 and frost on car roof. Barely a fortnight ago we were still sweltering in 30+˚ in Provence. Strong N’ly wind all day, sunny morning with a max temp of 12˚, squally afternoon with some hefty gusts and showers but sunny in between, down to 4˚ already by 9pm, stars visible among the racing clouds. Still saw a bunch of swallows today at the usual assembly place.
On 01 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Having caught a couple of thundery showers today, 20mm of rain has fallen on October 1st by 4pm, bringing the cumulative total here in NW London since last Monday to 105mm or a smidgen above 4 inches in old money. Today was the first day in two years when 20cm+ length maincrop carrots could be pulled out without needing aid from a spade to loosen the ground, saying that moisture has penetrated to depth after the prolonged summer droughts.
On 30 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, fairly clear with a NW’ly breeze, turning into a reasonably sunny if cool day with a max temp of 14˚, the breeze turning into the NE by evening, 7˚ by 9.30pm. Getting a little more used to the darkness again. == Here is a good critique of the abused child and what she is made to represent https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Jpk8Ix1CCg
On 30 Sep 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
I see the unusually heavy snow in Montana and other parts of the USA, actually got a brief mention on the main BBC news last night
On 29 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overcast but not raining and staying dry all day with a max temp of 12˚, N’ly wind, 10˚ again at 10pm.
On 29 Sep 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
A lot of rain the last week providing quite a contrast between last Saturday's ploughing match on the very dry South Downs to yesterday's with some standing water on countryside near Eastbourne. Much needed rain providing good conditions to plough with lots of sun but a strong wind. Early furrows could be seen to dry in the wind. Lucky with the weather both weekends as the Sundays have been wet and today very windy. Rumour is the Extinction morons are going to try to disrupt Smithfield Market. Yes, why not stop people making an honest living who have lots of sharp knives and meat cleavers to hand. I am sure they will soon be detached from anything they glue themselves to....
On 29 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Rainfall this week in NW London now up to 70mm, making it a just above average month despite drought until the last week of the month. Still plenty more rain required to restore moisture to depth.
First significant harvest of carrots this week saw 20cm+ roots being harvested, showing that despite drought and no watering after 4 weeks old, carrots will thrive on fertile undug soil.
Two years similar data tells me that bedwetting climate alarmists need to be told to grow root crops if their disaster starts occurring: carrots, parsnips, late beetroot all do fine through long, hot, dry summers to provide plenty of nutritious food from October onwards. My potatoes and squash both did fine as well.
Plants are far more resilient than whining warmista winos...
On 29 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, still some light rain which had been going overnight, NW’ly breeze making it feel cooler than of late, then further rain for most of the day, some of it very heavy & drying up only late evening, 10˚ at midnight.
On 27 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, bright morning, cloudy afternoon with the wind still coming from a generally S’ly direction, max temp 16˚, rain by 5pm, still going on now at 8.30pm, 10˚ again.
On 27 Sep 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Just had a rather intense squall pass through that caused localised flooding and gave me a massive headace! Solar wind has in the past few hours ramped up to 620 km/s. Interestingly Gabrielle (@ClimateRealists) noted on 22nd
"Countdown for Earth Facing Coronal Hole Experiment: There are currently five Tropical Storms without any forecast of them being developed into a higher category..."
Philip Klotzbach @philklotzbach, Meteorologist at CSU specializing in Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts, tweeted today "Lorenzo now has max winds of 145 mph - the strongest #hurricane east of 45°W in the Atlantic on record...Atlantic #hurricane records in the eastern tropical Atlantic prior to the satellite era (since 1966) are likely somewhat underestimated due to a relative lack of observations." Karen however has powered down.
On 26 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, torrential rain for an hour, still a S’ly wind, brightening up by 11 and giving us enough sunshine for a max temp of 18˚ to be produced, heavy showers in the afternoon, clear evening with starry sky and 9˚ by 9pm. Airflow is set to be from the NW by the weekend so this may have been our last warm period. We have a swallows’ gathering place in the neighbourhood, today they seem to have left.
On 26 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
What the Extinction Rebellion nutters need is a journalist like Nick Ferrari to flay their complete ignorance about climate science in the way Ferrari flayed Danne Abbott about Home Office matters.
I bet most of them have never heard of a Hale Cycle; have no clue what the Dalton minimum was nor when it occurred; have never heard of the Minoan, Roman and Medieval warm periods; and have no clue what a Milankovitch cycle is.
They will know nothing of how radiosonde balloons measure atmospheric temperature, know nothing about isotope dating mechanisms and the chances of them knowing what the Madden-Julian Oscillation is will be virtually zero.
They should be asked about energy audits in the production of components for wind turbines and solar panels. That will prove they know nothing about true sustainability.
Ignorance is not a basis for influence. World expertise is not required, but basic factual inowledge is.
Show them up for the ignorant charlatans they are.
On 25 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, foggy again but with not much rain, max temp 14˚, strong SE - E’ly breeze, 13˚ at 9.30pm. Oh how different from the South of France, but at least it’s not cold. == Yes, Mark Hall, spot on, the crazier they get, the more people they will wake up but not for their cause. Anyone see the abused pigtailed child speaking at the UN, cringingly embarrassing. == Go for it, Maria :-)
On 25 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Lots of showers some heavy some lighter passing on through for the last few days max 17 deg a bit humid at times and a bit soggy out. Glad u had some good sunshine to see you through the winter Paddy, the curiosity is getting to me now I may have to subscribe :)
On 25 Sep 2019, Joe wrote:
Mark Hall, your comment is spot on.
On 25 Sep 2019, Mark Hall wrote:
The Extinction Rebellion crowd are planning to cause disruption during the middle two weeks of October. "Don't go to London that week" one of their vicars told me in August.
They share their logic with that of the 1970s Bader-Meinhoff gang. Provoke the authorities into a harsh crackdown that will impinge on ordinary people and swell the ranks of the righteous crusaders.
Apparently the public are not listening and the government is not acting. So these narcissistic stunts are going to wake everyone up.
These guys have never played chess and many of us know there will be an outpouring of revulsion against them sooner or later.
On 24 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, foggy and wet all day with a strong S - SE’ly wind, max temp 15˚, down to 14˚ by 9.30pm, that’s it. Forgot to mention yesterday that it was autumn equinox at 8.50am.
On 24 Sep 2019, Steven wrote:
Before I sound like I'm moaning I would like to say how good the forecast has been in the last six months or so even beyond that maybe the December outlook looks very interesting to say the least now the moaning part lol has the 45 day October forecast been released as I haven't got it yet many thanks
On 24 Sep 2019, Steve Devine wrote:
Hi Rhys. Yes indeed about this summer being one of sunshine and deluges. From my own personal records...8th May = Atrocious driving conditions with torrential rain, hail and thunder...10th June = Major flooding across London & Kent as more rain falls in 24 hours than the whole summer of 2018...29th July = Major flooding across N England...33.8c on Bank Hol Monday...
On 24 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
A much needed 50mm of rain overnight breaks the second extended drought in NW London this summer. Should mean the end of watering the garden this year if the predicted rain continues on and off until the weekend.
Around six and a half weeks since the previous heavy rainfall.
People looking merely at 2019 precipitation totals in 50 years will not get the story of the summer. Precipitation days will tell the story there.
2019 was a growing season where the term drizzle was not mentioned. Sunshine and deluges has been our fare since mid April.
On 23 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, foggy and dripping wet from overnight rain, strong S’ly breeze all day, clearing up by 11, followed by an intermittently sunny period with a max temp of 18˚ again, foggy again by evening and still windy, 13˚ at 8.30pm, so far so warm.
On 23 Sep 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
GFS going for a PM outbreak at end of month/ beginning of October. Their track record however suggests this will go further east and the UK will be in a southerly air stream..
On 22 Sep 2019, Fred wrote:
This Climate Emergency is being carried out by buffoons whom haven’t a clue what even the % of CO2 in the atmosphere is. I’m getting responses of 30-40%....when i tell them it’s 0.04% they are stumped and stunned. Buffoons, let’s all walk to Japan to watch the RWC!!!🤔
On 22 Sep 2019, Harris K wrote:
You escaped the rain that is now heaving it down in PACA Paddy. Still warm in France though the North of Sweden is officially in winter - at least above 1000m,
having had 5 consecutive days with an average temperature below 0c. As the Swedish weather service said, September 13th is a bit early.
On 22 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, foggy & very damp but clearing up by mid morning and turning to a warm 18˚, we had the same kind of set up yesterday, first full day back home, catching up and resting from the holiday :-) We had some hot days in Forcalquier, 35˚ max, most enjoyable, I’m always surprised at how quickly we adapt to the heat, when it was 24˚ in the evening we thought it a bit cool! Very dry in the area but not as dry as in many other regions of France. Having to get used to the humidity again since we’re back but also appreciating the freshness, mostly good veg growing this summer, 13˚ at 8.30pm. Maria, as for Piers’ winter forecast, elasticated waistbands and thermal undercrackers definitely look like desirable fashion accessories :-)
On 22 Sep 2019, C View wrote:
Somebody in government at some point is going to have to put there head above the parapet and push back on the "climate emergency". The climate strikes look like the start of a neo Marxist revolution and with protesters determined to stop traffic and disrupt airports the economic effects will be keenly felt and pissed off people will start to demand something is done about the protests rather than demanding climate action.
On 21 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Well we had a good week of weather since last post, the first half stubborn cloud took a while to clear before the afternoons became warm n sunny then Tues. Wed. Thurs. were really nice blue sky and sunny around 19/21 deg. Friday you could tell the change was coming quicker than met predicted as was breezy and sunny spells with cloud already moving on back in and that storm approaching feeling intensified a little today and we had showers by midday instead of tonight as first predicted, breezy tho continuing warm today but dropping down to 17 feelin like 14 @ 8pm. Adiós summer 2019 you weren't the best but you def. was not the worst weather wise. Gr8 harvests from the garden, kids all claimed their pumpkins today and a fab year for teaching the tiny one where the majority of her good nutrient dense food comes from and proud of how much veg she eats as a result, looking forward to harvesting from the autumn and winter garden with her too and kicking bk a lil bit 1st time since Feb!-)
On 19 Sep 2019, Rich wrote:
Having read the comments, look like most are getting excited about a cold snowier winter again. hope the forecast works out better than last winters! Summer in SE Cambs while not quite as hot as last year but has been warm. What is the same is how dry it is, just as dry as last summer now- hope we have a wet winter as next summer could be interesting. UK Cet traking 1 deg above average, arctic ice very low again...LIA conditions haven't yet resulted in cooler UK, perhaps this will be the start?
On 19 Sep 2019, out_east wrote:
Interesting stuff.
Ural forecast down to -3C in the next 5 days, early snow forecast for early next week, first frosts in Baltic states..
This is only just getting to equinox, at least 2-3 weeks early this year!
If we start communal heating early, it costs a fortune in Autumn.
Not good news!
On 19 Sep 2019, Fred wrote:
Date Record low temps being experienced from Siberia, to Australia and very early onset of heavy snow in Sweden. Must be all that CO2 in the air
On 16 Sep 2019, Sou'wester (Border of Devon& Cornwall) wrote:
Yesterday was sunny, warm, and glorious - about 74F. Took a boat trip to Mt Edgcumbe Country Park where, it turns out, there was a "Big Doggy Day Out". So nice to see families with their children and pets interacting with each other out in nature - I don't think I saw or heard a single mobile phone!! Visited the Friends of Mt Edgcumbe bookstall, and there I spied "General Climatology" for sale, by Howard Critchfield, pub. 1960. Bought it for Ł2. Anybody know this author? Decided to buy it when I saw "Insolation: The single signigicant source of heat for the atmosphere is the sun." I think I'm going to enjoy finding out what they were saying in the 50s and 60s that can't get spun by anybody's website 'cos i've got the original. (First edition ex Wantage School Library!) .
On 15 Sep 2019, Fred wrote:
Sudden change to HP is happening, Big autumn and Winter beckons.....wet, mild, stormy, cold......LIA footprint is upon us
On 13 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
A chilly start 5 deg feeling like 3 this morning for the school run but a beautiful sunny day now in progress, not as warm as where Paddy is but fab autumn day nonetheless, talking of Paddy I hope he has remembered to switch out those thermal undercrackers else it may get warmer than he predicts 🤣
On 12 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen a lot South wrote:
28˚C when we arrived in Marseille on Monday afternoon, nice. We take Piers' forecasts seriously, so we're visiting friends in the Alpes de Haute Provence to tank up on sunshine & heat for the winter, max temp sometimes 32˚ according to the car thermometer. Our firsf full day was rainy & cool, very relaxing but it will be hot for the rest of our stay, so won't be reporting much, except perhaps 'ditto'. In Scotland at least the weather does change :-)
On 12 Sep 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
As Fred has been saying lI've now had a proper look at the Oct - Dec forecasts that Piers has released and this emoji sums up my response 🤯 I've been very pleased with the summer forecasts and Sept so far is well on course including the warmth I can feel in the air today even though its been mostly overcast so far. We are now in a time where the jetstream is meandering and omega blocks forming bringing the swings we've seen of late both hot and cool depending which airmass we fall in - zonality is not a big feature of late. We appear to be at solar min which should at least last into next year so as Fred says this could be a special winter and I think I may have a flutter on Xmas snow this year. If you want to know more then subscribe and be prepared ahead of time. It's worth every penny for what's heading our way in the months ahead. Even if the forecasts are even only 50‰ right it's still going to be special and memorable.
On 12 Sep 2019, michael wrote:
Wessex Mercia borders 600'asl
https://summit.news/2019/09/11/ship-carrying-climate-change-warriors-concerned-about-melting-arctic-ice-gets-stuck-in-ice/
i'm not laughing - much
yours
m
On 10 Sep 2019, Fred wrote:
Subscriber
Interesting report. They suggest a Scandi or Greenland HP bringing Easterlies....Beast from East is Easterly winds so needs that ser up. Nothing on what December will bring? Or Autumn?
For me we have entered a new long term cycle .....so last 30 years are of lesser relevance. Have a view if Piers Dec forecast, and indeed Autumn.....Let’s just say Sept is well in track
On 10 Sep 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Craig - thanks for the link. Looks to be a sound piece of work which is a bit unusual in the climate world. Rhys - the report says coldest since 2013, 7th coldest in last 30 years and 23rd coldest since 1953.
On 10 Sep 2019, Fred wrote:
Upcoming warm spell is showing as a ‘sudden rise and control of HP’ over the U.K. and Ireland from the weekend.....guess what exactly as forecast and timed by Piers.
I personally am convinced a matching of a 20th century Great will happen this winter.
On 09 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Gerry
Not sure what '30 years' means as 1989/90 was anything but cold. 1990/91 was very snowy in Scotland with 15ft high banks of snow to drive through on Rannoch Moor after a fortnight of continuous blizzards on the mountains and quite cold lower down. 1986/7 was the last really cold one I remember around that time: we were using ice axes to open the frozen River Orchy to boil water for breakfast tea in January that year. The two winters after that were very mild.
Extent of Siberian snow cover in late October is pretty indicative as to how cold things may get in Europe....
On 09 Sep 2019, Geof wrote:
I see UCL's recent cold Jan/Feb 2020 forecast chimes exactly with David Dilley's long-standing very cold 2019/20 & 2020/21 projections...(And thereafter his general warning of an increasingly rapid cold decent from approx 2027 into Piers' anticipated 2030-2050 LIA period).
On 09 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
News feed saying signs of possible high pressure close to Ireland bringing clear sky & warmer weather for 5 to 7 days end of nxt week, if it happens it would be perfect for some last seed sowings prior to the equinox.
On 08 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
The week improved slightly as it went on & after a breezy wet start Friday in the afternoon the sun came out temp spiked and was nicer than forecasted cooler quicker by eve. Saturday a little rain to start and stubborn cloud took a while to shift but it did clear and give some reasonable sunny spells in the afternoon warm but not as hot as mentioned in the Irish media, Last blast of summer 20 deg enjoy blah blah lol hardly beach weather but good enough to get excited enough to mow the law and rejoice in the break from the showers to get more winter crops planted. Sunday a beautiful misty start and sun came out earlier today so lots of activity outside again, tiny one helping to pick beans for the freezer and came across her first butterfly experience, not fast enough to catch it :) warmer but rain descended by evening. Swallows looking like they meeting up for the off here too.
On 08 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, first frost on car roof but nowhere else, sunny & still for a good bit of the morning, then clouds moving in on the strong S’ly wind getting up, brilliantly sunny again in the afternoon, max temp 16˚, cloudy evening, 11˚ at 9.30pm. == C View: Aboyne is a lovely country town, often but not always the hottest and coldest in this part of Scotland, only 40 mins away from us. Living near the N Sea has its advantages for growing stuff.
On 08 Sep 2019, C View wrote:
Temperature overnight in Aboyne Aberdeenshire last night down to -1.6c. A funny kind of warming that.....
On 08 Sep 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Gerry - it's based upon solar flux Aug-Sep + positive QBO values Apr-Jun. Some interesting years thrown up. Paper === http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/10080518/1/Saunders_Lea%20and%20Smallwood%20%282019%29.pdf
On 08 Sep 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
Had my CH been on this morning then judging by the click as I walked past the thermostat it would have fired up this morning. Ploughing match yesterday and motor show today where it was warm in the sun but with a chilly breeze noticeable when it clouded over. Electroverse.net has some news on record cold August in Victoria not mentioned by the BBC of course. Another cold winter has passed in S America but given the use of gridding NOAA et al will claim record warmth no doubt. NASA talk of lower solar minimum in 200 years but ignore what that means for weather & climate. A good example of anecdotal evidence is of heavy snow for Quebec in June 1805 and that is for the city not the mountains. UCL are claiming coldest Jan-Feb for the UK in 30 yrs in 2020 based on jetstream pattern. Of course if they use a model it makes their claim dodgy.
On 07 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚C at 7.30, sunny with a cold NW’ly breeze, continuing sunny all day with the occasional hint of a shower, max temp 16˚ and very pleasantly autumnal, clear evening wit 7˚, feels like it’s going to get a good bit colder overnight.
On 07 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
First snow in the alps below 2000m for this new season has been reported. Central Switzerland initially (already reported above Engelberg and in Saas Fee resort itself), moving to Austria through to Monday.
This will of course melt, but it is a normal feature that autumn is coming....
On 06 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, quite sunny overall with a NW’ly wind that picked up a bit in the afternoon, max temp 18˚, showers late afternoon with the wind strengthening, cloudy evening, 9˚ at 8.30pm.
On 05 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚C at 7.30, NW’ly breeze and feeling quite cold, rain off & on during the morning with sunshine in between, warming up to 18˚ with the wind turning more into the W and feeling quite mild, light rain in the evening, 12˚ at 9.30pm.
On 04 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, sunny with a SW’ly breeze, getting quite hot at times working in the sunshine in spite of the strengthening wind, dark clouds drifting in from the west from time to time but only getting serious about it by late afternoon. Max temp a respectable 19˚ but just after 5pm there was an abrupt change to a strong and gusty NW’ly wind that brought some really heavy showers, still going strong now at 8.30pm and intermittent light rain, 9˚ again. Today we heard and saw our first geese, that means two things: the swallows will be leaving soon, they’ve been assembling for the last few weeks, and thermal underwear looming :-)
On 04 Sep 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
A very welcome 20mm of rain overnight after a month without significant rainfall. First 0.5 cubic metre of compost laid down on 10sqm of cleared beds now soil below is damper.
Temperatures now normal for September, it will be interesting to see if leaf fall is earlier this year, as vegetable and fruit cropping has all been early this summer/early sutumn.
On 04 Sep 2019, C View wrote:
Enormous propaganda push on the BBC news last night and on their website today regarding Greenland melting . This despite that over the past three years, Greenland’s surface has gained 1.22 trillion tons of ice more than has melted. This is 140 billion tons above the 1981-2010 mean. Notably the Petermann has grown by around 30 square miles in the last 7 years.
On 03 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overcast & still, short appearance of the sun between 8 & 9, then clouding over & S’ly wind getting up & strengthening, dry until afternoon when we had some light rain, max temp 16˚, spectacular sunset, thou the sun itself remained invisible and clouds were illuminated from below, 15˚ at 8.30pm & feeling mild even in the wind.
On 03 Sep 2019, out_east wrote:
Temps in France stepped off the cliff on 31st august.
It's the end of the August heat, and the swallows knew it.
Vendanges this year is later than last year 2018, which is now known as an excellent year for Rhone wine.
This year was NOT so hot, but very dry, with inadequate rainfall.
Wines don't lie.
In Baltic states the temps held up an extra 2 days, now the same downwards jump
In western Ural it has been a freezing summer with non stop storms, cold temps and storms, driven downwards from arctic air around the periphery of western EU/scandinavian high pressure systems.
Last week it was down to snow and frost temps before august ended.
Looking at the forecasts for north and east Europe, the chances of an "indian summer" are looking poorer and poorer, so more likely a cold autumn which is already dominated by anticylconic dry but very cold aiir from the artic.
If this is the shape of things to come,severe drought conditions in France could continue well into Autumn & wi
On 02 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Continued a mixed bag of cloudy showery with some dry at times sunny spells and a light breeze Max 16/17 deg. Cool 11 deg now at 9.39pm Not sure if I'm being soft but I'm feeling the chill already. Leaves starting to fall on the grass with the recent wind. Yeah Paddy I finally got to do some worm research before the worms come in the post, they do like comfrey just not lots in one go, looking forward to experimenting with worm juice and castings in the garden, hope the tiny one doesn't take to trying to eat them :)
On 02 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, sunny with a light NW’ly breeze, however, clouds moved in quickly and the rain started around 9 and lasted to midday, wind changed into the S and picked up, max temp 18˚, sun breaking through the clouds occasionally, dry end to the day, 13˚ at 8.30pm.
On 02 Sep 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
First PM outbreak was a typical GFS fizzle out, but this next one (Wed) looks as if it could yield some snow on the highest Scottish summits
On 01 Sep 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C overnight, 10˚ at 7.30, sharp W-NW’ly wind with occasional stronger gusts, cloudy with intermittent bright sunshine, max temp 17˚, a few showers over the whole of the day & feeling rather cooler than of late, 8˚ at 9pm. Looking back at August, I’m glad to say that until a few days ago this was a month that didn’t quite turn out as cold as Piers’ forecast, good veg growth was assured.
On 01 Sep 2019, Istvan ilyes wrote:
WHAT IS AN INDIAN WINTER!
On 01 Sep 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Some sunny spells and humid to start felt warm enough in a t-shirt working, the breeze increased and a big downpour after lunch made the temp feel much cooler, a beautiful clear starry night earlier this eve with a real feel of 8 deg now at midnight feeling a bit chilly.
On 31 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, cloudy & windy from the S, mixed bag of towering clouds and sunshine throughout the day, occasional heavy showers but still a max temp of 20˚, dry afternoon, less windy by evening, 7˚ by 10pm, autumn. == Maria: I can’t answer the comfrey question specifically, but we put all our kitchen waste into a plastic compost bin (to avoid attracting pigeons & crows to exposed waste) and about 6” below the surface it is teeming with worms, so I would think they would eventually get to the comfrey as well.
On 30 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Ps Rhys quick question spurned on by your comfrey chat with Paddy :-) have made a wormery bin with the kids this holiday and have worms ordered, was wondering can you tear up comfrey and add it to their bin like you would the compost heap?
On 30 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Tues. Wed. Thurs was like a gradual deterioration but remained warm mostly cloudy and humid with the occasional few light short showers. Still good to get some work done outside, planting out veg and covering with net and row cover getting the garden winter ready, breezy yesterday but S'ly wind picked up more this eve. 15 deg feeling like 11 at 11.45pm possibility of rain tonight but hopefully the majority will stay out west the weekend :-)
On 30 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, strong SW’ly wind from the start, picking up during the day, increasingly cloudy but still a max temp of 21˚, drizzle off & on, some heavy showers, somewhat less windy at 9pm, 15˚.
On 29 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
Well Ron you might be right. Here is what the Mountain Weather Information Service has to say on the matter in their outlook from Saturday......Temperatures will be close to zero on highest Scottish tops for a few days -
showers falling at least temporarily as snow on highest summits.
On 29 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, cloudy but bright with an already strong S’ly wind which beefed up during the day, quite a bit of sunshine in the morning but by afternoon thicker cloud moved in, threatening rain, but this didn’t happen much, a respectable max of 20˚ in spite of the wind, down to 15˚ by 8.30pm. == Ron, definitely autumnal, quite a few leaves on the ground and the sharper contrast between warm days and cool nights.
On 29 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
If GFS does hold true, then there is just the chance that the highest Scottish hills might get their first dusting of snow during the first week of next month. Frost in the glens too------Autumn.
On 28 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, wet from last night’s rain, brightening up after 10, light S’ly wind in the morning, turning into the NW by evening, max temp 22˚, short shower early evening, 12˚ at 10pm. Amazing number of butterflies this year. == Rhys, thanks for the info on comfrey. Somebody gave me 2 potted Bocking 14 plants last year, I might now plant them out and use them as you do in future, I’ve got lots of room for them. Many years ago I visited a farm where they were growing acres of it, feeding it to pigs & cattle and making silage of it if I remember right.
On 28 Aug 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paddy - the comfrey is used to accelerate compost in spring and autumn; chop n drop to feed potatoes and tomatoes in summer (also helps retain moisture); I make two batches of comfrey tea (not in water, just weighing down leaves until concentrate leaches out), used to feed pole beans, potted tomatoes, prize carrots etc. The compost accelerating is probably the most valuable.
This years growth has been by far the best the past seven years - more warmth, more sun, but heavy rain often enough. Also leaving a couple of large leaves intact when cutting, so significant photosynthesis is never eliminated. I may do a sixth cut late September if October looks like growth will continue to provide surface mulch when frosts kill them off for the winter.
On 27 Aug 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
Like chalk and cheese. On the Sunday of our show last year the rain started at noon and set in for the rest of the cold day. Crowds were thin, the livestock parade was cancelled to spare the animals from getting cold and wet in front of very few people. The day ends with showjumping in the arena with only 10 horses and about the same number watching. I was home by 4pm. The Monday was dry and warmer. This year was a scorcher like we had in 2017. Big crowds but it does bring stress for the livestock. The parades were reduced this year with no sheep coming out. Terrier racing was cancelled. The birds of prey were limited by the heat. Our show is one of the few to feature coach and horses - a truly magnificent sight but they were reduced to one lap of the ring when they usually go round a few times once they have arrived from a 5 mile road route that goes past my house.
On 27 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Beautiful misty start and then sunshine lots of it all day and quite hot, intense at times. Max 24 deg. A beautiful evening with a smell of late summer that you just want to keep breathing in to see you through the seasons. Hoping for another dry day tomorrow but rain possible they say by late aft. Humid tonight 13 deg at 12.30 a.m
On 26 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, another amazingly sunny day, perfect weather situation for us: HP to the S, LP to the west feeding in warm SW’ly air, no haar, not sure how long it’ll continue like that but we’re making the best of it, this was our sixth consecutive day having lunch outside, feels like we’re on holiday. Especially with another top temp of 25˚ and a pleasant S’ly sea breeze, 15˚ by 9pm. == For those of you who haven’t seen Michael Mann getting his comeuppance from Tim Ball, here is a link https://bit.ly/2HDnZlt, enjoy! == Rhys J.: what do you do with your comfrey, mulch, liquid manure, fritters?
On 26 Aug 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
C View. I live about 10 miles from Heathrow and it has been a scorching hot weekend requiring salads and brassicas to be watered twice a day/covered with protective netting to stay healthy.
The red Kuri winter squash will be harvested on 29th and we have already eaten ripe sweetcorn. Potatoes will be harvested a week today after eight test plants were harvested and showed fine yields. A fifth cut of comfrey was harvested ten days ago and the glut of tomatoes and early apples continues.
All in all, a central European summer in NW London has seen very good harvests of most crops.
On 26 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
So the hottest Bank Holiday weekend in the world ever was achieved thanks to the UHI of Heathrow Airport. As pointless as saying it was the coldest day of the winter today... on the summit of Ben Nevis. Great video Paddy highly reccomend folk to watch it. Marc Morano nails it. See Paddy's last post for URL
On 26 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
GFS predicting quite a chilly start to September, but it's based on polar maritime outbreaks and of course we know their track record, so thermal undies can stay in the cupboard. Early autumn colours already here.
On 26 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
.. & I swear I said this to my partner when I collected some wood for the pile over a week ago that I felt a chill in the air and that Autumn would be felt this year, that was before I read Piers front page, now I'm going to have to try to subscribe 🤣
On 26 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
20th-22nd was wet mostly then a slight improvement on Thurs dry but very cloudy. Friday we took a chance and treked to Curracloe beach near Wexford, had a fantastic day warm but mostly cloudy, so fab for the tiny one to improve her newly acquired walking skills to explore the sand and sea, without getting burnt, so cute, bigger kids me included had so much fun and laughs and the sun came out by late aft. Slightly breezy like u would expect but warm. Saturday was cloudy to start but cleared by midday, also a few rain drops v.early morn. quite hot by lunchtime just outside Dublin def. helped by uhi, shoe shop for tiny ones first shoes then back to the solitude of home. Today was warm even hotish for a time, took to pulling onions and laying them out to dry, some good spells of sunshine today. Looked across the garden and then bam it hit me, the leaves I'm sure are starting to change Autumn is on the way..
On 25 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, sunny prelude to a memorably sunny day like we only get them rarely, light and mostly SE’ly breeze, hardly any clouds during most of the day, max temp 26˚, balmy evening & still 15˚ at 10pm. == Very happy to see that we have had a very successful swallow breeding season this year, I counted about 30 altogether, issued from 4 pairs, I think. The year before last we had none at all, just three single males or females.
On 25 Aug 2019, Istvan ilyes wrote:
To
Fred
Omg ? Oh, my, God ?
I also follow John Hammond on his weather trending forcasts
I am not a sub, may be soon.
On 25 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
Just bought the Sept Oct Nov subscription.......O M G.
On 24 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
C View
Weather Trending is John Hammond and his wife. He’s BBC/metO weatherman/meteorologist but he was always very good and always prepared to stick his neck out on longer range forecasts....and he likes the cold blasts....he’ll be forecasting more of them I fancy
On 24 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, cloudy but bright all day, light S’ly breeze that grew stronger as it turned into the sea breeze during the day, max temp 23˚, down to 15˚ by 9pm. == Here https://bit.ly/2ZrgpUU is a 1hr interview with Marc Morano, shows the mechanics of the AGW scam very clearly, recommended for beginners and intermediates :-)
On 23 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, sunny with the obligate SW’ly wind, another scorcher with a max temp of 25˚ (thermometer hangs in a sheltered spot), general temps around 23˚, cloud cover by evening but still a balmy 17˚ at 9pm.
On 22 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, feeling almost cold in the continuing but less strong SW’ly wind, sunny throughout the day with lovely fair-weather clouds until midday, max temp a balmy 23˚, a little more cloudy in the afternoon like on most sunny days, still 16˚ at 8.30pm.
On 22 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
At last some realism from the media. Listening to Talk Radio today the presenter was talking about the upcoming Bank Holiday weather with someone from Weather Trending, not an organisation I am familiar with however he described the expected hot spell as ''a flash in the pan''. He said this summer had basically been a brief hot spell at the end of June another brief hot spell at the end of July and then this next brief blast of heat. However looking at the summer as a whole it has ''been no great shakes, often quite cool and very wet at times'' No mention of the usual hottest ever stuff. How refreshing to hear.
On 21 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, fairly sunny but with a cool S’ly breeze, warming through the morning to a max of 22˚ around midday, wind strengthening and cloud starting to stream in from the west, looking dark and dramatic in the afternoon but staying dry, on beefy shower before 6pm, then dry and windy under the clouds, 13˚ at 8.30pm.
On 21 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
Record breaking heat predicted for bank holiday weekend. Be prepared for MSM bombardment
On 20 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, cloudy & still, sun coming out soon enough though and we had a pleasantly warm day with a max of 21˚, SE’ly sea breeze getting up in the afternoon, thicker cloud by evening with one light shower, 13˚ by 8.30pm.
On 19 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, cloudy start but barely any wind and therefore feeling milder even though a degree C down on yesterday morning. Brightening and warming up through the morning to a max of 21˚ early afternoon, light SW - W’ly breeze, a single shower later and then clouding over for the evening, 14˚ at 9pm. == Ron, re Icelandic glacier, do you think we should worry about the sea level rising in Aberdeen? My chips might get wet, if not my chops :-)
On 19 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
we can expect the melting of an entire Icelandic glacier to be much vaunted.
On 19 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Glad we enjoyed that sunshine as the last few days have been mostly breezy showery and switching between humid and cool, a few dryer interludes mixed in to give some chance to do stuff, cut back the already dying leaves on the potatoes today as they had succumb to blight at the last after looking fab all summer hoping I caught it early enough that the spuds are blight free. Starting to gather wood to the pile. Some showers again this eve. 9 deg at 12.40 a.m on the 19th
On 18 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, cloudy, beefy SW’ly wind blowing for most of the day but a mostly sunny one with a max temp of 21˚ out of the wind, brief shower around midday, blowing less hard by evening, 13˚ at 9pm.
On 17 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, brightening and warming through the morning, max temp 20˚, a few showers around midday but then sunny again, stiff SW’ly wind all day which felt quite cold in the evening, 13˚ by 9.30pm. == Glad you appreciated the video, Sou’wester, I’ll be putting it out to others as well. Didn’t know that Grungy Greta’s boat was called the Malizia, same root as Malice, rather symptomatic of the whole agenda, don’t they notice that?
On 16 Aug 2019, Sou'wester wrote:
Apologies for poor editing of my last comment below. Anyhow, Newsflash: After Thunberg and the Malizia II reach New York, crew will be FLOWN over to collect the boat and sail it back!! So that's more flights than if Greta had originally caught the plane.....Did they think we wouldn't notice? Paddy, many thanks for your link below on 5G. Saw many familiar faces & names - Mark Steele, Barry Trower, etc but the links between the hugely corrupt big charities, the mobile phone industry, and phony environmentalism are excellently drawn. I'll be sharing that elsewhere.
On 16 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
We returned from the mild Moray Firth to our very windy home this afternoon, apparently there was a gale blowing in the morning, the garden showed definite signs of that, new raspberry canes blown over, flowers looking bedraggled from the heavy rain, definite foretaste of autumn. But it was also quite mild here, more so than on Wednesday when we left, still 15˚ at 9pm with a lessening SW’ly wind. == C View & Fred, here is an 18min video on the pigtailed propagandist puppet (a new form of child abuse?) which goes behind the publicly presented mask, showing some creepy bedfellows https://bit.ly/2YTxUxS
On 16 Aug 2019, Sou'wester wrote:
CView and Fred, From my office window, I happened to witness the wunderkind's vessel slip its moorings window. She did so under engine power(!) Didn't get the mainsail up for about half an hour. We had had the press all over us the day before, trying to get camera positions etc. We also got asked for quotes on "how excited we were " and other extremely leading questions. I thought of commenting 2 I think she will observe that she is very cold on the trip", but refrained and went for "no comment". I actually don't think she is looking to be a celebrity, but it is being foisted on her. Her mother is an opera singer, her father an actor, her grandfather an actor/director. So no pressure there then.....and as for the politicians and press, GQ magazine and all, they are contributing to making her an abused child. Some are born global warmists, some become global warmists, and some have global warmism thrust upon 'em.!
On 16 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
Fred, As I said she is all about creating celebrity status for herself . She is now on the front cover of GQ magazine having been voted "Game Changer Of The Year" A 16 year old who dodges school and is now believed by many as a UN climate epert. It's pathetic.Hopefully the day will come when Piers and his iilk will get the same acclaim
On 16 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Today 15th August we had some sunshine :-) A few light scattered showers early on but a fab dry sunny even borderline hotish afternoon, around 19 / 20 deg. kids out playing and tiny one in the wheelbarrow while I went around and took out thistles in the new grass areas and filled back in with soil ready for some grass seed, her newly aquired walking skill and love for bare feet called for the task to be done. Great day to get stuff done as the last 2 days a tease with rain starting everytime u get into it. Cheers Rhys have been taking bottom leaves off and reducing water by at least half but didn't know they could go with hardly any water, have had lots of red tomatoes but still so many to ripen, hoping another sunny blat on it's way next week.. 14 deg with a real feel of 11 at 12.30 a.m looks like heavy rain overnight.
On 15 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
C View
About time, none of the ‘gushing’ politicians had the guts to hold her views to count. She clearly is a puppet and doesn’t actually have a clue what she’s talking about.
On 15 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
Paul
Re releasing dust into the air....it is very dangerous. There is already masses of global cooling ash way up from recent volcanic activity. I believe we are teetering on the edge of a rapid global cool down....Russia smashing low temp records with consummate ease....Greenland now ‘benefiting ‘ from a lack of warm Atlantic reaching its shores. Thus there is glacier growth....its all there and Piers is warning and warning of the consequences of the very quiet sun.
On 14 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South wrote:
A chilly 8deg C at 7.30 this morning and as we travelled up north via the Lecht & Tmintoul it only got about 3 deg warmer, but when we approached the Nairn area, Scottish Riviera, temps gradually moved up to 16-17 deg for a time. Light rain most of the way up, Cairngorm mountains in mist, dry in Nairn but slight rain later. Stopped on the road alongside Lochindorb, beautiful but got eaten alive by the midges.
On 14 Aug 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Maria - tomatoes ripen quicker through breaking off lower leaves and a relative lack of water. I learned the hard way several years ago not to water tomatoes in September! So I would pray for less rain if I were you! Or water less if they are in a polytunnel....
First August rainfall for NW London this week - not huge yet but welcome. Another inch by the weekend would prepare the soil well for autumn crops.
Raspberry harvest now in full swing, dwarf beans sown early June now mostly harvested, ditto beetroot sown early May. First apple tree harvesting 2-3 weeks early, fruit much larger than normal.
I can only speak for my little vegetable garden, but 2019 has seen larger harvests, shorter times to harvest and prospects for good autumn and winter crop harvests.
Plenty of heat, plenty of sunshine, heavy rainfall when it comes. Sounds like the Po valley!
On 13 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overcast with no wind, brightening up by 10 and warming up rapidly to a max of 20˚ - which inevitably triggered showers, some very heavy ones off & on all afternoon and into the evening, the light WNW’ly breeze made sure they stayed in the same place for a long time, 11˚ by 9.30pm.
On 13 Aug 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Andy B - No the gas plant shut down first under its supply contract when 23GB of supply was reached. This left the grid more exposed to windpower so that when Hornsea dropped out the frequency dropped with not enough rotating mass to compensate. With all rotating mass generation this is not a problem. The liars at the BBC et al will say it was a fault as the gas plant to cover up the role windmills played. Late afternoon yesterday it was 66F on my patio thermometer and damn well felt like it. Approaching 8am this morning on the walk to the station the words 'early' and 'September' came to mind.
On 13 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
Maybe there is hope. A report on the BBC one o'clock news today about the world's favouriite pig tailed propagandist sailing to New York had the guts to challenge her. The reporter said Greta is very good at telling us there is a fire but not so good at telling us how to put it out. Her answer was that it's not her job to do that ..... that's right ... her job is to enjoy celebrity status and free trips on ocean racing yachts sponsored by the Yacht club of Monaco whose members I'am pretty sure are no strangers to helicopters, private jets and large diesel powered mega yachts
On 13 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
This is one of the most evil, dangerous, insane, things I have ever read about https://mol.im/a/7350713 , they want to release large amounts of dust into the stratosphere to dim the sun, liberal billionaires are funding it.
On 12 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, overcast and feeling cold with a lesser NW’ly breeze than yesterday gradually turning into the SW. Expecting another dull day we were pleasantly surprised by the sun appearing by 10, followed by a stream of flat bottomed cumulus clouds that occasionally produced a light shower, max temp 22˚, going down to 11˚ by 11pm. Alright then, I’ll also say that there was a definite autumnal feel in the air today.
On 12 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
Aye, even the Scotbeeb are mentioning how autumnal it was today up here.
On 12 Aug 2019, Andy B 45D wrote:
Hi Gerry they have been quoting that the gas generator went off line 2 minutes before the North sea wind farm, it has to be the other way around as wind power always has priority over gas gen. Perhaps this coming winter will be a game changer with some larger power blackouts
On 12 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Well we have had a *%it ton of rain, windy here too :-) Feels like Autumn has started temp has dropped cooler and now I'm running around picking n drying herbs and saving some seeds, harvesting crops and sowing winter ones like turnips and spinach and lambs lettuce also spring cabbage, pakchoi more beets chard & carrots in the tunnel. So many tomatoes this year please tell me we will get some more sunshine to ripen them, lots more wasps the last couple of weeks but pleased to have seen more bees this year, pumpkins are loving the water looks like at least 10 good ones so far, keeping the tunnel ventilated by day without it cooling too much is a task and honestly a lil chilly indoors tonight, our well water freezing cold brushing teeth brrr now where are me hiking socks:-)
On 11 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, overcast with a stiff NW’ly breeze which kept going all day, no sun and a max temp of 15˚, light rain starting around 7pm still going at 9.30 and feeling cold in 10˚. Ah, the dog days of August :-)
On 11 Aug 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
Will we get the truth about the big power failure? Doubtful as the evidence points to wind generation being the cause. Javid was visiting National Grid at the time and you wonder if they were trying to get wind power up to 50% to make a point. That they unwittingly made a point about unreliable generation is amusing. The German RWE gas power plant is a red herring as it shut down because it was required to do so under its contract. So that leaves Danish Hornsea wind farm as the culprit. Proper generators have rotating mass that can hold the grid together by providing frequency stabilisation. When the frequency dropped the shutdowns began to protect the grid. There was then a mad rush to increase supply. The Dinorwig hydro plant kicked into action, the gas plant was brought back online and the diesel powered STOR fired up too. This was a warning that I expect will go unheeded. We need something worse.
On 11 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Hi Andy, it has been very dry so far this summer here in Beds. So far Aug 14.3mm, July 32.2mm.Where the thunderstorms have hit it has been much higher though.
On 11 Aug 2019, Andy B 45D SE Wales wrote:
Piers has been spot on so far for the north of UK but here in S wales it was supposed to be drier than average, so far we have had 82mm and another 40 mm forecast by end o this week puts way over av.
On 10 Aug 2019, Tony ex sub wrote:
Tornado rips parts of Luxembourg. ....surely that is rare and is a sign of an unstable period of weather? ??
On 10 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
And in the meantime much more ice has remained in Hudson Bay, most for decades, European Russia again and again recording record low temps for Aug, more ice around Svalbard......I stated to friends and on other sites in 2017/18 that we’ll see within 3 years a winter to match a 20th century great....the ingredients have been added and added and this year we have an awful lit in place. I think we are knocking on the door now
On 10 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
"Strong winds led to exceptional volumes of renewable power on the system, and fewer thermal plant generating as a result. That reduced inertia on the system, reducing the available resources to manage the outages, resulting in frequency quickly dropping to 48.9hz – well below tolerance boundaries.....National Grid has to maintain the power system close to 50hz to keep it stable. In the past, it has relied on inertia in the system in order to regulate frequency.
However, inertia has been provided by the large spinning turbines of big power stations. As coal plant shuts down and gas load factors reduce as more wind and solar comes on stream, there is less available inertia."
https://theenergyst.com/national-grid-two-generators-cause-big-frequency-drop/
On 10 Aug 2019, out_east wrote:
This big outage is the sign of things to come.
It's hilarious to see how fast panic takes over with even the smallest incidents.
So much for the Greenies,- "let's move to 50-100% intermittent sources of power" with no failover margin, and stupid little Greta Thunberg, & the"extinction rebellion" eco terrorists.
renewables, - yep it's renewable power cuts.It's come within microwatts of happening in freezing wind free winter months in the same anachronistic UK, but nobody cares.
Australia did the same with the same consequences.
Germany would have the same if it didn't constantly rely on others in the EUROPEAN grid to backup it's own unreliable power sources then 100s of times pay way over the top for buying at peak demand when it can't meet it itself (thanks to shutting down nuclear).
The lunatics are out of the asylum attempting to run vital services.
Nobody questions why.
Anyone else for more insanity "repeating the same experiments expecting a different result?"
On 09 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
Paul-Beds Was reported on BBC 10pm news that power outage came from a wind power station as well as problems at a gas fired station.
On 09 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, E’ly wind, rain starting at 8.30 and continuing right through the day, very heavy at times, max temp 15˚, feeling like late October, rain finally stopped around 7pm and fog moved in big time, the wind abated and turned into a light SW’ly breeze & temp was still 15˚ at 9pm. == Paul, Beds.: the wrong kind of wind? :-)
On 09 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Source: https://www.railforums.co.uk/threads/ecml-mml-major-power-problems-09-08.188171/page-2#post-4145759
On 09 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Been reported on Rail Forums that this afternoons power chaos is due to "a gust of wind maxing out the wind turbines and causing surge protection to kick in"
On 09 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Amazing lightning last night pure electrical between 1 - 2 a.m approx, thunder too but not loud, mostly sheet lightning quite a lot of it with a little fork lightning, not sure if we had as much rain as I thought we would get will check the bucket outside later. Cool breezy 16 deg. with rain just starting again now at 9.08 a.m
On 08 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, overcast, drizzle, NW’ly wind, blowing all day and gradually changing into the NE, brightening up though with a good bit of sunshine, max temp 21˚, but overall an autumnal kind of day feeling much cooler than of late, we’ve been getting a bit spoiled with the (relative) heat we’ve had, the outlook certainly isn’t for more warmth just now, 14˚ at 8.30pm.
On 07 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, sunny & bright for a couple of hours with huge cumulus towering high over us in the west, bringing us about an hour of rain but no thunderstorm, after which we had a clear spell until about 2pm, showers thereafter. NW’ly wind, cooler overall but still a max temp of 20˚, cloudy end to the day, 14˚ at 9.30pm.
On 07 Aug 2019, Fred wrote:
The only places flooding are those that flooded in the past during LIA circulations. We build on flood plains, ancient monasteries leave evidence of dykes built....why because where they were was prone to flooding....before cars and coal and steelworks. Looking ahead....this year is the stepdown year, no doubt about that as cold records tumble and we have a jetstream so far south for summer....it’s worrying. The pedal of acceleration into LIA is squeezing further
On 07 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Some heavy showers the last couple of days torrential on occasion and some dry spells inbetween with some sun to get out to do a few jobs, cabbages in and netted this time, harvested lots of peas for the freezer they seem to be loving this rain as are the pumpkins and squash. Max 18 deg still warm enough to get a sweat up working and humid stormy looking at times. Light rain now at 1.07 a.m
On 06 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, quite sunny and warming up nicely to a max temp of 24˚ during the morning, S’ly breeze with occasional strong gusts, by afternoon there were impressive cumulus towers rising in the west, looking as if they might unleash a thunderstorm but in the end nothing happened - we have a yellow thunderstorm warning for tonight and tomorrow, 16˚ at 9pm.
On 06 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
If anyone is interested in seeing what recird warmth on Greenland looks like you can see it here......https://insite.datatransport.org/insite2/summitcamp/cameras/bighouse-netcam
On 06 Aug 2019, out_east wrote:
An outbreak of ARCTIC weather.
We have snow in URAL tonight with a low of -3C and FROST.
First week of AUGUST!!!!
So much for "hottest year evah".
Sea temp in Baltic states dropped from 25C to 10C in a matter of days, but has now rebounded to about 16C
When I see the swallows chattering on the lines, I know they know more than me.
If it carries on being 10C at night they will fly away, a full 3 weeks early!
On 05 Aug 2019, Mark Hall wrote:
Paul,
If that is the case then the least he should do is stay neutral on these issues. Yet he seems happy to gallop along with doctrines that he has long opposed.
He is now in thrall to the terrible madness of triangulation and
acts like my dog, who always confidently leads the way on our woodland walks. But always backtracks when I change the general direction, never confident about her own ambitions.
And my dog will never become Prime Minister either.
On 05 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, wet from overnight rain, overcast start but brightening up by 8 and turning into another cracking summer’s day with a max temp of 25˚ in a fresh S’ly breeze, more cloud by evening but still 18˚ at 9pm, no complaints. Sowed first batch of corn salad today, we were eating it all through last winter.
On 05 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
My suspicion is that Jeremys personal views on things like climate change may not fully align with his party's. However as he believes in Party democracy I am sure he would regard it unthinkable to undermine the partys settled policy, as he is the leader who represents his party not the owner who controls it.
On 05 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Ron - unlikely from the recent episode that the media and hacktivists are using as 'proof' that we all need to be marched off to the green gulag. Surface melt often refreezes in situ as it lies on top of snow instead of running off into the sea. If anything the sea temps off the southern coast of Greenland have been anomolously high creating a bit of tri-pole (warm - cold - warm) which has been going for a few months now.
On 05 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
Wonder if all the recent melt-water from Greenland will affect North Atlantic weather this winter?
On 05 Aug 2019, Mark Hall wrote:
Craig,
It would be pointless for Piers to try to steer his useless brother in any sensible direction. For he is a politician and every idea and principle is a moveable feast. They do not believe in anything really and certainly wouldn't step out of line if it risked upsetting the Green religion.
Corbyn junior has ducked out on Brexit and on the AGW scam. He will amount to nothing, precisely because of this opportunistic yet strangely gutless modus operandi.
Only the other day he was sitting in a wigwam with some lunatics who are trying to destroy our nascent Fracking industry. The total cobblers he was spouting about the so-called threat to the water table took the breath away.
On 04 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Lovely start with some sunshine before clouds moved in, a shower or 2 then dry enough to finish digging up last early spuds and to hand weed a lane of veg plot ready for winter cabbage to go in. Stormy breeze for a time & a good few nice rumbles of thunder in the distance but no visable lightning around early eve. Some torrential showers then quiet tonight. Dew point of 13deg
On 04 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, sunnyish but soon turning overcast with an hour’s light rain around midday, max temp a respectable 22˚ in spite of the cloud cover and light ESE’ly breeze, 16˚ by 9pm.
On 04 Aug 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paul, here in NW London we have had a lot of dry sunny days since March, but when it has rained we have caught four big storms. A months rain in early June in four days, one and a half inches in early July, then two downpours of one and a half to two inches in late July. so total rainfall in June+July has been well above average, balancing a well below average May.
Previous years we have had serious droughts due to only one or two heavy downpours.
Sod's law says that because I did not plant early potatoes this year due to repeated dry periods April-June, we got two huge downpours just when tubers would most value the rain.
I use a 1 litre plastic jug sat outside on a verandah table to measure rainfall. I tend to confirm by testing how deep the new moisture has penetrated the soul, as it often comes when upper soil is very dry indeed. One and a half inches on baked dry ground penetrates about an inch and a half, a similar amount four days later sees much greater penetration to
On 04 Aug 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
Warmists making hay over the new record temperature in Central Greenland.
On 04 Aug 2019, Geof wrote:
Craig, of course, you're absolutely right and doubtless Jeremy knows this via Piers...The only problem is that his party (and the public at large) aren't yet ready to hear this. Not until the likes of the Bilderberg Group and other secretive HNWI groups give them permission...which, given the money they're all making could be a very long time, indeed!!
On 04 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Be interested to hear Piers views on whether this is a "must buy" book https://www.springer.com/gb/book/9783030168797 Rex J Fleming "The rise and fall of the Carbon Dioxide theory of Climate Change" out on 9th August?
On 04 Aug 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
A cloudy start Thursday but soon clearing to give a nice summer's day, took a chance on it being the better day to take the kids on a trek to the wild Atlantic way, went to Galway to see some fishes then off on the coast road to find a pub to eat some fishes and a beach to swim with some 🐟🦀 great day sun was hot for a time but some cloud at times to give respite around 23deg. Friday some good sunny spells increasing humidity and a good bit of cloud compared to Thursday. Today light showers this morning then dry until late aft/early eve some heavier drizzle then.
On 03 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, misty & still but the sun breaking through giving us a reasonably warm day in a slight N’ly breeze, 23˚ max in the afternoon, quite a bit warmer inland for our picnic, returning to our near coastal home there was more cloud again rolling onshore and leaving us with a grey evening, 14˚ at 9.30pm. == Craig: the Green Gulag, exactly! If it wasn’t for Trump pulling out of the Paris accord we would already be half, if not three quarters of the way there, he created time for more people to wake up.
On 02 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Piers - have a word with Jeremy he's talking utter nonsense on Twitter "The government has known for years that floods are the direct result of global warming, yet it has failed to tackle the causes or prepare for the impact of the climate emergency. Thank you to the emergency services and RAF who have worked to protect people in Whaley Bridge." The AIR Force use the gas of life and freedom to save lives. They sure as hell aren't using prayer wheels. You've been warning of opp. extremes caused by the jetstream for years! Watching the useful stooges pushing the climate emergency & the politicians fluffing them up, well it's disgusting really because we all know the 'emergency' was contrived to create the illusion - in part by brainwashing our kids! - so we are all happy to march off to the green gulag.
I know you are not your brothers keeper, but by heck he is holding onto a tiger's tail here. Give him a heads up. P.S. Let BoJo know too 🤣
On 02 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, overcast with a gentle N’ly breeze, cooler feel but not cold and still warming up to 23˚ when the sun eventually broke through the clouds in the afternoon, by which time the breeze changed into a S’ly direction, cloudier evening, 17˚ at 8.30pm. == Reading Out_East makes me think how lucky we have been up here so far this summer, in spite of the cold May & June.
On 02 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Highly recommend listening to the latest Delingpod (James Delingpole). He interviews ex-NOAA Scientist Dr Rex Fleming who confirms, data fiddling, political influences on science, the grant merry-go-round and the coming cooling from the Sun. === https://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2019/08/02/jamesdelingpole-bombshell-interview-with-ex-noaa-scientist-there-were-people-in-noaa-who-actually-fiddled-with-the-data/
On 02 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
... Richard Toll, who believes in the concensus science - just not the theatrics of doom - did the figures and winter 2018 still killed more people by a large factor === https://weatheraction.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/img_20190802_1418576500949844639495911.jpg === Every time we get heat they gloat "I told you so..." yet they remain silent that Piers predicted this years ago, correctly identifying that we would see great contrasts from a wavy jetstream. As he says on the homepage today "BBC screams HottestUKJulyDay (25July) ignores recent Record Cold across the world. The WILD CHANGES are due to WILD the JetStream, the OPPOSITE of CO2-warming flat JetStream. 1666 London fried in heat blast b4 GreatFire+had MANY LittleIceAge winters."
On 02 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
... It seems to be a hallmark of The Scammers that they are always looking for ways to manipulate the psychology of the situations they create and not ways to actually address the physicality of things. That has become one of the things that makes my “Spidy Sense” tingle. When a movement is clearly more about Street Theatre and making a change in “how people think” (which really means pushing a load of emotive crap down your throat…) that’s a big Flag Setting Moment that calls “Bull ****!” on whatever is being pushed.. .=== https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2019/07/24/climate-emergency-yawn/ === The overkill on Climate does reek of desperation despite the media telling us how effective the theatrics are in their bubble world. Think Brexit, Trump etc and the reality is many people are not falling for it. So we had a very warm burst, are we all alive still? Does heat kill more than cold yet? Did heat even make much diff to death rates last summer? No it didn't....
On 02 Aug 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
In light of the media effluent Chiefio is bang on point ===
So now we’ve got another name. Same old product that isn’t selling, brand new “Sizzle!” name. How can you tell this is a marketing operation and not an actual concern? Because when you are selling a product and the public are staying away in droves one of the Go To behaviours to to “repackage” the product. Add some color and dash to the wrapper, give it a more “exciting” new name…
So we have a product that’s not moving off the shelf fast enough. The GEBs (Greedy Evil Bastards) pushing it are not happy with the $Millions they are creaming off and really really want that $200 BILLION PER YEAR they were promised from the “Paris Agreement” (mostly from the USA…) and they have spanked their minions again about it. So we get an even more Screaming Name.
So what is is now, what have I forgotten from the litany?
Global Warming
Climate Change
Climate Weirding
Carbon Pollution
Climate Disruption
... Cont...
On 02 Aug 2019, C View wrote:
Here we go again it appears the BS tap refuses to to be turned off, not only was June very hot if you ignore the cool and unsettled first half of the month, and now July the hottest globally ever, yes ever ...really!!! every month of 2019 has apparently been very warm(experts say) Despite the data showing North America had it's coldest and wettest October to May evah. The data in support of the counter argument is readily available It just needs more people to push it into the public domain.
On 02 Aug 2019, out_east wrote:
Here we go:-
The first week of Aug, "hottest evah" year.yea!
Forecast for Moscow on monday is 1C during the night with freezing rain.
Forecast for Ural 4C today with a solid fortnight of low temps & pouring rain.
Baltic region inc St Petersburg, cold temps & rain showers for a week with a massive stationary low over the north sea, to be followed by another massive low pressure system from the atlantic, & a stationary high over Scandinavia.
These are precisely the conditions in winter which would have given rise to a massive northern UK snowfall.
Even France has dropped from the crazy high temps generated by a low pressure system dragging hot air up from Africa.
Lyon is now down in the high 20s with a MAX of only 30C for the remainder of the summer, forecast only 18C for mid Aug.One heatwave or two doesn't make a summer.
This summer will go down in a lot of Europe as a washout-preceded by exceptional early heat, & the environment agency's total ineptitude in handling m
On 01 Aug 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, overcast and feeling cool in the N”ly breeze which blew all day, however, temps did go up to 21˚ even though it didn’t quite feel like it; a few bits of sunshine was all we got and 16˚ at 8.30pm. The forecast is for more dull & cool days to follow.
On 01 Aug 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Hi Rhys, forty miles north of you in Bedfordshire it is a very different story, 26.7mm in July at the local online weather station at Clifton and 252mm this year in total
On 31 Jul 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
It has been a mixed bag the last 10 days a few hot days some rain thereafter and mix of cloud and sunny spells humid with a couple of fresher evenings. Today some improvement again and sun got through the cloud, we had a couple of short showers again this time to end the day and 14 deg now at 11.14pm Hopefully a couple of hotter days before more rain forecast.
On 31 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, overcast & still but brightening up after 10 and warming nicely to a max of 26˚ again, light breeze from a roughly NE’ly direction keeping things a bit cooler than of late but still a scorcher, quite cloudy at times but that didn’t detract from the heat, 18˚ at 8.30pm. = The month overall turned out better than expected from Piers’ 30d forecast, at least as far as temps were concerned: although it started cold, by the 10th warmth slowly started creeping in and daytime temps were in the low 20˚s, by 22nd it started to get hot (for our standards) with the max at 27˚ on 4 days. We did have a lot of rain on certain days and the odd clap of thunder, so the ground is certainly well wetted.
On 31 Jul 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Desperate to keep the public - the ignorant ones - in fear of global warming, the MetO have declared the Cambridge temp a record high. It is NOT an official MetO data site and is at best a category 2 site on the WMO scale due to nearby buildings. But if a BBC picture is correct, then a patch of bare soil nearby reduces it to category 4. A site on the outskirts of Cambridge recorded a lower reading to suggest UHI contamination at the record site. Still, when you have no integrity and are desperate to keep your money making scam going, no depth is too low.
On 31 Jul 2019, C View wrote:
Rather alarming phone in programme on Radio Scotland this morning discussing recent heatwaves and AGW. The level of hysteria and bed wetting amongst those worried people calling in was remarkable. One dilusional person said they and their partner had gone vegan and decided not to have children, presumably others have gone this route. So how does not reproducing help the survival of mankind? This proves what many have said about the AGW movement ie it is a death cult.
On 31 Jul 2019, out_east wrote:
A rotten summer in a lot of western Russia this year.
If you had a heatwave in France,Germany, UK this year, Ural & even Moscow had a terrible 4-6 weeks of non stop severe thunderstorms, cold winds & rain.
weather in Baltic/SPB by contrast was superb in June & a couple of hot weeks of beautiful sunshine in July...
As a result the Baltic sea is unusually warm, - sea temps last week being close to those of the mediterranean.
Now a high pressure located close to the pole with a series of severe lows over Siberia is bringing freezing strong winds from the arctic, & rain.
e are feeling the effects already which may entail a very cold, wet August.
This is an interesting development which is far more typical of deep winter.
It remains to be seen, if warm summer weather weather may return in the 2nd half of Aug or simply mark the end of the big summer heat, (which is usually on the borderline of 15th Aug in France).
I suspect the arrival of a late indian summer.
On 31 Jul 2019, M Lewis wrote:
I don't believe that one day of abnormally Highest Ever UK temperature is sufficient justification for man made global warming. Since last Friday the weather has been typical UK summer - wet and windy. Especially up North!
Yesterday a bridge has collapsed as flash flooding hit part of North Yorkshire after almost a month's rain fell in four hours.
The region is braced for more rainfall as the Met Office has issued a yellow warning for rain across much of the north of England.
Some roads remain shut and rail passengers faced disruption after a landslip between Carlisle and Skipton.
The county was pounded by hailstones the size of "pickled onions" as a summer storm swept through and Malham Tarn in the Yorkshire Dales had 3.2 inches (82.2mm) of rain in 24 hours, the majority in the space of four hours.
The monthly average in the area for this time of year is 3.5in (89mm).
On 31 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Rhys, Cripes four inches? Weve only had 32mm (1 1/4 inch) here in Bedfordshire.
On 30 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, brilliantly sunny until midday in a very light S-SE’ly breeze, max temp 26˚, cloudier in the afternoon but still hot and close, 19˚ at 9pm.
On 30 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Another 40-50mm of rain recorded in NW London today - we caught a few very heavy showers. It looks like July rainfall will be 130-150mm, way above the monthly average.
Temperatures finally down below average today, but four inches of rain since the heat wave has not caused potato plants to stand tall again....
On 30 Jul 2019, Summicron wrote:
1. It is POLLUTION, not Co2, which is the hazard : Pollution, from dioxins to microplastics to diesel fumes, is killing us, and the Co2 story is the diversionary tactic to obscure that fact.
2. The Climate Act 2008 and other EU Co2 legislation is killing [or has killed] our manufacturing, [including our steel industry] leaving us dependant on imports from unreliable places - e.g. China. Next up for destruction will be UK farming, leaving us once again dependant on imports and facing a degraded diet.
3. Thousands of Grade 2 UK land is being used for solar farms, dependant on subsidy to be viable, due to fear of Co2 emissions. This is a bonkers policy. That land, if not cultivated, will degrade. Crops are going to be vital in the years ahead. Solar power does have a place; that place is North Africa.
On 30 Jul 2019, Mark Fuller, wrote:
It's mot true to say that there's been no heatwave in northern England. It was exceptionally hot in northern England and Scotland last week. I reject the mainstream globalist agenda on so called man made climate change, but we should be honest about extreme heat when it occurs and provide an alternative explanation, as does Piers.
On 29 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚ at 7.30, foggy start, overcast thereafter, light breeze from a generally E’ly direction, warm & close though and getting up to 23˚, some late sunshine, 18˚ at 9pm.
On 29 Jul 2019, M lewis wrote:
No UK heatwave nor record hottest ever temps up North!
Rush hour commuters faced delays as heavy rain continued to cause disruption to the North West's road and rail network.
Trains were cancelled between Manchester and towns including Wigan and Stalybridge. The A555 Manchester Airport Relief Road remained closed.
The equivalent of half a month's rain fell on the region in the space of 24 hours, said the Met Office.
In Manchester, canal boat owners feared being swept away as water levels rose.
The Environment Agency had 12 flood warnings in place across the North West on Monday morning and said water levels would continue to rise.
There were also flood warnings in Yorkshire and the Midlands.
On 28 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, overcast & mild with a light NE’ly breeze all morning, sudden heavy downpour in two bursts lasting for about 10 mins each around 11, then gradually brightening up to a very sunny afternoon, 24˚ max, albeit with clouds drifting on off the sea, overcast again by evening but still very mild, 18˚ at 9pm. It was a peculiar day weatherwise.
On 28 Jul 2019, C View wrote:
Back in December 2010, the coldest in 100 years correctly predicted by Piers, I happened to be reading a column in the Telegraph written by none other than Boris Johnstone. In it he was discussing the weather and it's impacts and happened to mention a certain Piers Corbyn and how he was saying that weather like we were getting at the time would become more common in future winters. Thus I found out about Piers, his work and I became a cooling convert. One hopes Boris hasn't forgotten about Piers and will continue to quote him and start to roll back some of the climate hysteria.
On 28 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paul - we actually had presumably heavy rain overnight (80-90% of total) and then steady drizzle till mid afternoon. Mercifully, five years of no dig gardening means my soil drains well and as the patch is flat, run off is not an issue.
They say we will get significant rainfall again this week, very welcome.
On 27 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
"The stilling: global wind speeds slowing since 1960" So we go mafdbuilding wind turbines! https://m.phys.org/news/2017-10-stilling-global.html Rhys-hopefully you had the gentle all day rain we had in Bedfordshire, perfect for absorbtion into the soil rather than running off?
On 27 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
18˚C at 7.30, hazy sunshine, clouds drifting in from the sea in the fresh NE-E’ly breeze but still warming up nicely to a max of 25˚, more clouds coming in by mid afternoon to leave a grey though mild evening with 18˚ at 9pm.
On 27 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Overnight rain of 20mm+ means July rainfall for NW London is now over 100mm, a second month in a row of significant- to major amounts above average. Despite that, the long hot sunny spells in between occasional significant rain events means that drought has also stressed vegetables.
Quite happy for another 20mm+ over the weekend to restore moisture to greater depths in the soil.
Just shows that rainfall totals in isolation are far from the full story.
On 26 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paul
There is no doubt London has a significant heat island effect. My nearest station is Northolt, but the data will be similar to Hampstead.
I reckon where I grow summer temps are on average 2C higher than rural Somerset, with average top temps of 23C in July and August vs 21C in Somerset. The stated average minimum for Northolt is around 13C but we have had prolonged spells of 15C+ the past few years.
On 25 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, sun to begin with but then a cloudy/foggy morning with a SE’ly breeze and feeling close. Brightening up by midday but staying hazy, max temp “only” 24˚, still good enough for July for me, more clouds by evening, 18˚ by 9.30pm with a slight shower. == Craig, roll on winter, what? Not here please, ours only stopped a few weeks ago!
On 25 Jul 2019, C View wrote:
Save us from this madness.......please!!!!!!
The London School Of Economics has put forward the idea that heatwaves be given names the same way that storms are given names in order that people ''take extreme heat more seriously''. I remember when we used to call hot sunny days good weather now it is to be seen as something to be scared of. If that is the case why do so many people head off to hot sunny places for their summer holidays?
On 25 Jul 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
... despite recent activity it is not at the level of Pinotubo or most of LIA, but does reflect similar low levels to MWP. (High altitude Volcanic dust reflects sunlight). Joe B always spoke of his triple crown of cooling sun, oceans and volcanoes. If we do get a big eruption in the next few years all bets are off although it will allow the alarmists a get out clause (for some the faith will take a long time to fade, whatever happens) ===
https://youtu.be/m_7mbkyQn4E === // clouded over now as storms approach and feeling yuck. Warm and oppressive without the sun like opening a oven door on a hot day. Roll on winter 😂
On 25 Jul 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Hit 36C about an hour ago and doesn't look like beating that. Locally a Jul record I believe. Was 24C before 9am this morning which was impressive. Its not been too bad as the dew points here have not stayed high, currently 14C. Thank heavens it'll be gone, though out worth a bang. Already Liverpool getting hammered with Hail and a may cell started between LeHavre and Rouen headed for Ken. More on the way as the eve progresses. Reflecting on the comments regarding nite temps started by Rhys I would suggest checking dew points. Here it has been blessed with quite a few cool nites as reflected in DPs below 10C through mid Jul as low as 7C. Refreshing in breeze and shade but when the sun has come out it feels hot fast even with a temp of only 21-23C. Expected this time of year. It takes constant cloud cover to subdue temps properly. Suspicious0bservers has an interesting vid today - volcanic aerosols at v.low levels....
On 25 Jul 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
My phone at 2pm is saying London is 96F but I don't know where that is measured. Patio was 91F at 7pm again but the shaded lounge was warmer than the day before - 27 as opposed to 25C. People have been advised to work from home to avoid spontaneously combusting in the heat. Carry a fire extinguisher with you at all times. And it will all be over by the weekend. They could use Kew Gardens or Syon Park to measure in London. Dr North referred to a Belgian record which was set at what seems to be a USAF base and pixelated on google. As regards Heathrow - what were the temperatures during the 1930s? Oh, yes...it was just fields so we have no comparison.
On 25 Jul 2019, M Lewis wrote:
BBC Weather Meteogroup celebrity presenters are down at Heathrow today with their thermometers set up on the concrete runway next to the aircraft engines. Expect Record Breaking temps - hottest day everrrrrrr..! Oh I Say! As I said before - to get an accurate true scientific temperature reading they should take it at Windsor or Henley.
On 24 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, mild and rainy until around 10, after which it turned bright and hot with a max temp of 27˚ in a fresh and cooling S’ly wind, a bit cloudier towards evening but still another scorcher, still 19˚ at 9.30pm.
On 24 Jul 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
91F at 6pm on my patio thermometer by which time the sun was round on it. Showing 72F in the shade at 8am this morning. Thunderstorm passed over during early hours but not much thunder and I saw no lightning flashes. No doubt there will be some claim of a record that will be shown to be fake at some point but will be stuck in the simple minds of the media just like the French 'record'.
On 23 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, promise of a scorchio day, and so it turned out to be. S’ly breeze, a bit cloudy at times in the morning but already heating up early to a max temp of 27˚ in the afternoon which was brilliantly sunny. We make a song & dance about this up here but our son & family are in France sweltering in 38˚, which they find a bit challenging, fortunately they have a pool where they’re staying. Sunny evening, still 20˚ on the thermometer but the actual temp is probably few degrees below that, the mercury takes a bit of time to move.
On 22 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, strong & warm SW’ly breeze, fabulously warm with a max of 27˚, worth writing home about in our parts, lovely clouds, a perfect day, still 17˚ at 10pm. Bring it on!
On 22 Jul 2019, Istvan ilyes wrote:
The sun appeared today,22 July 2019 at 1600hrs. Not yet the big heatwave as forecast. Meanwhile its cold down in South Africa
I know its their winter, but the locals have been warned
On 22 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Warmer now the sun is out but still surprisingly pleasant in the shade at West Hampstead with a cooling breeze. Judging by the Jetstream map tweeted on Saturday by Piers it would not take much deviance from its expected path for this week not to turn out entirely as mainstreamly expected.
On 22 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
As of now, London Cool and Overcast. Bedfordshire 17C. Both well below current met office forecast figures for next hour and up to 10 C below forecast maxima for today. Wherefore R5?
On 21 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, cooler but still feeling mild on account of no wind, which only got up later as a WSW’ly, sunny and warm morning with temps rising to a max of 24˚, cloudy afternoon like so often lately, cooling down, some light rain in the evening, still 15˚ by 8pm. Tomorrow we’re apparently going to be in for a really warm day. We had our first cucumbers today and have been harvesting climbing French beans from the veg tunnel, later than last year but still very welcome.
On 21 Jul 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Earlier in the week Wednesday & Friday wet then Sat. & Sunday was supposed to be the better day of this week, then a yellow rain warning for some appears this morning, looking like it was just a shower expected here, now 3.25pm its lashing rain and windy is it an R period cos the forecasting is changing regularly and the rain radar looks like we going to get a bucket load of rain and all they keep going on about is how nice n warm the next 2 days are going to be, like an Autumn day here 🤣
On 21 Jul 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
..troot :-) Well the forecasts have struggled this summer, has been funny seeing quoted heatwave on the way then rain on the way then temps of 24 deg on the way, seems they are more unsure than ever, its cool because although I haven't been able to afford to sub with garden revamp this year luckily I've managed to time stuff right so far and follow the flow of weather but I must admit I'm confused now longer term, everytime I think a longer spell of warm weather might be on the cards the lows fire in some rain to cool the idea down, also will we maybe get a sneaky cooler wet September this year to change things up again. Looks like another humid day in store some counties have a yellow rain warning popped up, we look possible to avoid though I wouldn't rule out a small bit of rain before the days out, grey with a warm breeze heres hoping some sun gets through.
On 21 Jul 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Wow 3 weeks have flown by since the start of the children's school hols, the weather up and down but not the worst so far as a good mix of dry cloudy, showery cool showery humid and hotter sunny summer days, some cooler nights and some muggy. Lots of flies too lovin their fav conditions. A good few nice hot days for paddling pool fun and water fights, kids getting some healthy glow & tiny one loves the sprinkler 😁 Grass has been medium growth and veg has been perfect rate to consume fresh with a little extra at times, first tomatoes ripening and cucmbers about to leap into treble production. Courgettes and French beans coming fast now and peas about to pick, summer cabbages nearly there after forgetting to net and a small white butterfly attack, washed them off and netted think the birds had most offenders so hopeful as they are now hearting up. Worked hard juggling but delighted to be growing at least 24 veg types this year, 13 deg at 1.06 a.m hot in the kitchen preserving bee
On 20 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, wet from lots of overnight rain and more of it today, showers from the word go, some heavy, also very muggy with a max temp of 22˚, very light NW’ly breeze which meant that the showers were moving very slowly, only drying up towards evening, 15˚ at 10pm. A day that would do April proud if it wasn’t for the elevated temperature.
On 20 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Difference between Clifton (Beds) and Hampstead mean from 2009 to 2019 inclusive (2019 1st-19th July only). Hampstead figure is the higher figure. +0.1, +0.9, +0.8, +1.0, +1.3, +0.8, +1.0, +1.1, +1.4,+1.1, +1.6. There appears to be a trend to increasing divergence in recent years.
On 20 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Rhys Jagger, M Davis, All. This is IMPORTANT. I have found online weather stations for Hampstead NW3 and Clifton Beds SG17, just over the Hertfordshire border. Min Figures (C) for 1,2,3,4 July as previously reported were 11.5, 8.9, 6.4, 7.1. Min figures for Hampstead NW3 for same days were 14.1,11.2,12.0,10.6. The difference is vast, especially 3rd July when Hampstead minimum temperature was double that of Clifton. These weather stations are only 40 miles apart, separated by the Chilterns. Both have daily records online going back many years. Clifton to year 2000 and Hampstead to 2009. Clifton website is: http://www.cliftonweather.co.uk/ - Hampstead Website is http://nw3weather.co.uk/
On 20 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
1.5 inches of rain in two bursts since Thursday in NW London, breaking the drought temporarily, however cracks in soil now present and likely to worsen with heat wave to come.
Winter squash plants going ballistic in terms of fruit set whereas main crop potato struggling. Suggests adaptation to hotter drier summers should see squash and parsnip replace potato as winter staples, whereas cooler, wetter summers favour potato. So a really valuable product for allotmenters would be summer forecast mid May to mid August by mid February, so they can make correct purchases in late winter.
Ditto French climbing beans vs runner beans as runners fail to set if nights are too warm. Four years this decade runner beans have struggled to set in NW London due to excessively warm nights, major drought or both.
It is arguable you could make similar choices between carrots and brassicas, with carrots fine in dry summers (as long as rain arrives to swell the roots in autumn) and brassicas liking w
On 20 Jul 2019, C View wrote:
MSM going big on “dangerous American heatwave “ Steve Goddard doing a great job dismantling the nonsense. Apparently the world has had it’s hottest June evah
On 19 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, sunny for the whole morning and warming up nicely to a max of 22˚ by midday, WNW’ly breeze at first but gradually turning into the S, cloudier afternoon, wind picking up and by 8pm we had rain, quite a lot more to come judging from the rainfall radar, 15˚ at 9pm. Gone is the stable weather from the first three days of the week; we have a yellow thunderstorm warning for tonight an tomorrow, doesn’t feel very thundery to me, nothing showing up on blitzortung.org.
On 19 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Hello M Lewis, we are north of the Chilterns and south of Bedford. As you can see from my earlier post of 3rd July, a nearby weather station in Clifton recorded 6.4 minimum that morning, only a couple of weeks ago. Their min figures for early july were: July 1,2,3,4 11.5, 8.9, 6.4, 7.1, with the warm muggy nights starting 5th July with a 13.5 minimum. My garden weather station recorded similar temperatures and it was noticably chilly when I left for work at 7am.
On 19 Jul 2019, M Lewis wrote:
Paul. I can't understand your comment about the nights being cool. Where I live just across the border in Hertfordshire on the south side of the Chilterns every night has been warm, humid and muggy for atleast 4 weeks! I assume you live in the northern reaches of Bedfordshire out in the sticks. In fact, we in the Home Counties have had a pretty good summer so far!
On 18 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, everything dripping wet from the overnight rain, SW’ly wind all day in varying strength, sunny start but showers soon setting in and lasting to early afternoon, some of them very heavy, one clap of thunder in the afternoon. Max temp 23˚, bright but cloudy end to the day, 16˚ at 9pm.
On 18 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Rhys, here in Beds we have only got shot of cold nights in the last week or two and bar the odd day it has not been particularly hot with lots of cloud. Is what you are experiencing LIA related or increased urban heat island effects with all the development and population growth in London over the last few years. Going home from central London (less than a mile away from Piers Office) to Beds via West Hampstead (change from Tube to Train) every evening on the train it has been very noticeable how much cooler it is when you get off the train in rural Bedfordshire
On 18 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
So the LIA is again causing NW London to be too hot for runner beans to set (French climbing and dwarf beans now in abundant harvest), soil tomatoes have started harvesting on 17th July, beetroots ready to harvest 9 weeks after sowing and potatoes starting to struggle due to dry heat. Plums harvesting with raspberries and comfrey to have fourth cut next Monday. Climate more skin to 45N than 50N.
After a couple of days of heavy/thundery showers, talk is of 31/19C max/min for a week.
I need some lessons from farmers from the Med....
On 17 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, cloudy but warm and with a light S’ly breeze, occasionally gusty, a few spells of hazy sunshine during the morning, temps rising to 23˚ by midday, thicker cloud thereafter and light showers off & on all afternoon with more persistent rain in the evening, 15˚ at 9pm. A few days of warmth followed by rainy cool, typical Scottish summer weather; still, veg growth is good. == Mark Hall: “But the military insurgency was fomented by the US” - specifically by O’Bomber (and his handlers), he was given this name even before he was elected and lived up to it, being at war every day of his presidency.
On 17 Jul 2019, Mark Hall wrote:
Paul, Craig, Paddy,
No doubt rising food prices in Syria might have been an important backdrop to the civil war that kicked off there in 2011. But the military insurgency was fomented by the US, Saudi Arabia and Qatar who armed and funded various headchopping factions. It was a deliberate response to Assad's refusal to allow a gas pipeline from Qatar to the Mediterranean to pass through Syria. The attempted regime change was nothing to do with democracy. It was all about selling LNG to Europe.
Thank God the Russians stepped in to help, otherwise all the religious minorities in Syria (including Christians) would have been exterminated.
On 16 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, quite sunny with clouds and a light SE’ly breeze, warming up considerably to a max of 26˚ out of the wind, dark clouds amassing on the northern horizon which in a different pressure situation would perhaps produced a thunderstorm, but only gave us a number of showers, some of them very heavy. Brightening up again for the end of the day, still 16˚ at 9pm, light NW’ly breeze. So far, July has been reasonably summery apart from the cold start.
On 15 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚ at 7.30 under a grey sky but the sun soon came out and we had one of these amazing blue sky days which we have almost come not to expect anymore in this cold & wet summer so far. Pretty stiff SE’ly sea breeze after 10am but we still got 24˚ out of the wind, still clear in the evening with 15˚ at 9.30pm.
On 14 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
Saturday: 15˚C at 7.30, overcast with a light NW’ly breeze, max temp 22˚ in one sunny interlude, mostly cloudy with a couple of light showers, 13˚ at midnight when coming home from a gig. Sunday:14˚ at 7.30, cloudy with a light NW’ly breeze, some good sunshine in the morning with a max temp of 21˚, cloudy & cooler in the afternoon, dry though, 13˚ at 9.30pm.
On 14 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Oh Dear. More peer reviewed publishing studies finding inconvenient truths. NO EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE FOR THE SIGNIFICANT ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE, 29 Jun 2019 J. KAUPPINEN AND P. MALMI. Abstract. In this paper we will prove that GCM-models used in IPCC report AR5 fail to calculate the influences of the low cloud cover changes on the global temperature. That is why those models give a very small natural temperature change leaving a very large change for the contribution of the green house gases in the observed temperature. This is the reason why IPCC has to use a very large sensitivity to compensate a too small natural component. Further they have to leave out the strong negative feedback due to the clouds in order to magnify the sensitivity. In addition, this paper proves that the changes in the low cloud cover fraction practically control the global temperature. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.00165.pdf
On 13 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Serious harvest forecast woes in the US. Soya down 24% and grain/corn taking a big hit too due to wetness from Oct to May. https://electroverse.net/historically-cold-and-wet-planting-season-to-slash-soy-stockpile-by-one-fourth-usda/
On 13 Jul 2019, C View wrote:
I see the learned BBC believes that climate change
is causing hurricanes to move more slowly which causes all that extra moisture picked up by our warming atmosphere to cause worse flooding than before. Junk science doesn’t even begin to describe this idea.
On 12 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, light and surprisingly mild NW’ly wind, cloudy with intermittent warm, even hot sunshine and a max temp of 22˚, dry all day and bit cooler in the evening 14˚ at 10pm.
On 11 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, grey, damp & still with a lot of mist around, floating in and out, very muggy with a max temp of 22˚ under the cloud but no sign of the yellow warning thunderstorms, though in early afternoon the western sky was very black and by 4pm we had a short period of rain followed by a little sunshine, mostly light SE’ly breeze, close evening with midges galore and 16˚ at 9.30pm. Happy to say that the cold is at bay for the time being. For thunderstorms this is a good site http://en.blitzortung.org/live_lightning_maps.php?map=10 flagged up by Maria last year (?).
On 11 Jul 2019, M Lewis wrote:
Massive storms and people killed in Northern Greece.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-48945821
On 10 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, raining in a light breeze from a generally SE’ly direction, the rain continuing till midday, after which we had a dry, sunny and hot interlude with a max temp of 25˚ lasting to 4pm by which time cloud had moved in and it started raining quite heavily until 6pm and then off & on till late, 15˚ at 9.30pm. Good growthy weather if you can keep on top of the weeds.
On 10 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
I feel there is more than a whiff of hyprocracy in the wailing about the clearing of part of the Amazon Rainforest. Most of UK and Europe was forest until we Europeans chopped nearly all of it down in the lalast few thousand years. Wonder how many of these protesters are willing to demolish their own house/factory/farm and have the land taken out of economic use and planted with oak and other indigenous hardwood in perpetuity?
On 10 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Rhys, not just any old evidence but Peer Reviewed Evidence "Oscillations of the Baseline of Solar Magnetic Field and Solar Irradiance on a Millennial Timescale’" Valentina Zharkova et al. Online at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-45584-3
On 10 Jul 2019, Andy B 45D wrote:
M Lewis I don't believe the Amazon forests have that much effect globally as there was huge areas cultivated in previous civilisations as shown by the earth works that have appeared in recently cleared areas
On 10 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paul, Beds: where is any remote evidence for a Maunder Minimum? Please document how you even know what to look for, as solar observations back then were extremely primitive. Evidence is more cogent for a Dalton-style minimum.
I am a professed skeptic but I have no time for ice age scaremongering either. I believe things will get cooler up to 2035, but we as a species survived 1940-975 somehow or other when temperatures were lower than today.
If there really are detailed physical models of the solar dynamo with 50 years of prospective predictions out there, point me to them.
But until then think 1810 as a benchmark, not 1684.....
On 10 Jul 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
GERRY 45D: indeed Gerry, I quite often go to the Norwegian Weather Service reports and knew about the recent cold spell and fresh snows, but of course it didn't feature in the MSM sources.
On 10 Jul 2019, M Lewis wrote:
Well the BBC has produced an excellent report on the rape and destruction of the Amazon Rainforest by the Brazil Government and big greedy corporate business. This is the major driver of increased CO2 levels across our Planet Earth!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-48870920
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/science-environment-48917148/climate-change-how-important-is-the-rainforest-in-limiting-global-warming
On 09 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Craig I don't think there is much doubt that rising food prices
resulting from the 2006-11 drought, coupled with extraordinary population growth and a resultant young population together with the crash in oil price during the economic crises of 2008-9 hobbling the governments finances explain the tinderbox situation in Syria. What actually ignited the flames and whether the drought was due to man made climate change as lazily claimed in many quarters is another matter. The maunder level minimum forecast from 2020-2055 and the effect of that on food prices will be far more severe. By 2055 when serious (natural) warming resumes, I suspect the man made climate change brigade will stand utterly discredited and ridiculed but alas there will be far more pressing issues to real with in the intervening years if historical accounts of what happened in the maunder minimum are anything to go by. We will be lucky if we avoid biblical levels of famine, especially if major volcanic eruptionsoccu
On 09 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, light rain, SE’ly breeze which gradually turned into the SW & W, rain continuous until 4pm but nice & mild with a top temp of 18˚, still 16˚ at 9.30pm. We have warmth & humidity so that should keep the veg growing nicely. == Paul, re depopulation, I don’t think the consequence is unintended. Although not related to climate, what the Chinese are doing to the Uigurs is nothing short of genocide. Climate change is part of Project Fear, fearful people are far more controllable.
On 09 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Well, well, well.. https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1151287/Freak-weather-Europe-Spain-snow-hail-heatwave
On 09 Jul 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Paul you'll most likely find the Syrian civil war was plain old interference by foreign governments and NGOs stirring the pit (in the context of the Arab revolutions of the time) and nothing to do with the climate. === https://notrickszone.com/2018/10/20/syria-war-has-little-to-do-with-manmade-climate-change-recent-publications-show/ === It's pushed by the same whack jobs who claim everything is climate, like the recent European heatwave which Piers not they forecast long in advance, but not even their models can back cast it === https://cliscep.com/2019/07/07/what-the-media-didnt-tell-you-about-the-man-made-june-2019-european-mini-heatwave-climate-models-failed-to-make-the-link/ === they are the Enron of the science world. Money grabbing fraudsters.
On 09 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
I think they just want their comforts and their position at the leading edge of society (as they see it) to be maintained and disproportionally fear anything that will peturb that. The little people are of no consequence other than to be appeased with bred and circuses to keep them quiescent. If we head into a mini ice age then those with much have a lot further to fall than the man in the street. Is it a coincidence that the French Revolution came at the beginning of the Dalton Minimum? I read a while back that a major trigger of the insurrection against the government that sparked the Syrian civil war was rising food prices. Similarly is the unrest in Hong Kong and the high price of vegetables this year in China due to excessive cold decimating crops entirely unrelated?
On 09 Jul 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Paddy - I think most of them are just ignorant with a bit of stupidity added on. That their measures to 'combat' global warming will deliver on depopulation is an unforeseen consequence. The main aim is definitely a UN World government of left wing commissars. Ron - The Norwegians closed a couple of passes recently because of snow and the risk of stranding and these were in mid Norway not up north. And it seems that the forecast for the northern UK is in line with Piers with warnings being issued.
On 08 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚C overnight, 10˚ at 7.30, a day of mostly brilliant sunshine and blue skies with a max temp of 22˚, lighter winds today starting of NW’ly & gradually turning into the SE and S and getting colder again, 12˚ by 9.30pm, a lot of rain forecast for tomorrow. == Paul, Beds, tell me if I’m wrong but I think the CO2 scam is in part designed to make us all ill prepared for what’s coming so that a maximum number of people die - depopulation agenda.
On 08 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Looks like this is what we might be in for in the coming decades https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=HqNyDwAAQBAJ&pg=PT36&source=gbs_selected_pages&cad=2#v=onepage&q&f=true Natures Mutiny, the little ice age
On 08 Jul 2019, Richard Bruce wrote:
I have been monitoring the Met Office forecast and at the end of last week, the period 8-12th July was going to be dry. Now suddenly it has changed to become wet on Tuesday with the threat of thunderstorms on Thursday (11th).The correlation with the R5 period of 8-11th seems uncanny.
On 08 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
A chilly cloudy breezy 12°C in Beds this morning. Warmer and sunnier in central London.
On 07 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, brrr, even in the sun because of the cold N’ly wind which blew all day, cloudy morning with intermittent sunny spells during which it got quite warm for a very brief moment and then stone cold again, quite a few light showers in the morning, brightening up during the afternoon with a max temp of 17˚ for a few seconds, cool but sunny end to the day, 12˚ at 9pm.
On 07 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
13° overcast and a chilly breeze this morning replacing the humididity. Agree with Paddy that it is distinctly autumnal. Last night the evening light under the deep clouds had a sinister yellow tint. We await this weeks events.....
On 06 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
Saturday night video spot, 23 mins: https://bit.ly/2RXZJ1b World In Midst of Carbon Drought (w/ Prof. William Happer, Princeton University). It’s from 2015 and still relevant, of course. Happer is cool & cogent, good one to pass on to those who need it :-)
On 06 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, cold N’ly wind, some bright spots during the morning when temps rose to 17˚ but then a pretty cloudy & dry afternoon, with some light rain late evening. While out for a walk wife & I said to each other simultaneously that there was an autumnal nip in the air; stoicism is and advantage in this kind of July weather, while our French & Swiss relatives swelter in 35˚+! 11˚ again by 9.30pm, the stove has been on more often than not so far this summer.
On 06 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
RIP Christopher 'Barkworth' Booker.
On 05 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, sunny start but we had a mostly cloudy day with a few sunny spots in between with light winds from variable quarters, it got to a max of 21˚ but only for the briefest moment, not nearly as warm overall as forecast by Vimtobeeb, short bit of rain after 4pm, somewhat sunny again in the evening and still 17˚ at 9pm. The lame stream forecast is not showing any warming soon and I’m beginning to think that last weekend’s warmth might indeed have been our summer; and I know a man who knows about these things.
On 05 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
A warm sticky night and 15.4 at 6AM. More like normal weather, but sfter a half decent 24 today the Met Office forecasting a max high of 20 at best for the next week. Minima of 12-13 forecast but we shall see.
On 04 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, overcast with a light SW’ly breeze, light rain starting up at 7 and not stopping till early evening with occasional heavier falls, max temp 16˚, down to 13˚ by 9pm. Typical July weather now, better get used to it, warmth forecast for tomorrow though, just for the day.
On 04 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
-1.6 ground frost in eastern Holland this morning, breaking the record for the coldest ever July temperature. https://electroverse.net/east-netherlands-records-its-coldest-ever-july-temperature/
On 03 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C overnight, 12˚ at 7.30, a mostly cloudy day with few sunny intervals, very light NW’ly breeze so we had an occasional muggy spell, max temp 20˚, down to 15˚ by 10.30pm, lots of rain forecast for tomorrow. Luckily, our neighbour got his hay baled tonight; veg growing reasonably well though all depends now on reasonable warmth and light for the rest of the summer, as soon enough we will notice the nights coming in earlier.
On 03 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Meanwhile Zharkova et al have published a scientic paper warning of several centuries of solar caused warming, of 0.5-1C per century. However before warmists get too excited it dosent start until 2055. From 2020-2055 a grand 'Maunder' minimum awaits which we seem to be seeing the first autumn breezes of. No doubt warmists will try and blame C02 but as the cold and food shortages kick in they will become discredited long before its over in 2055. https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2019/06/25/zharkova-uses-solar-planetary-theory-in-new-paper-predicting-earth-temperature-rise-to-2600-following-imminent-grand-solar-minimum/
On 03 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Agreed Paddy, the margin for error just goes. I think we will come to be very grateful for plastic ie polytunnels in the next few years. 6.5 At 04.34 at local amateur station at Clifton. When I got up at 6AM there was a nasty cold blast from the north coming through the kitchen window which I had ieft open. More like late September tban July. And it seems this is just the beginning. Food growing is going to take a lot of skill. Wonder how the west (and rest) will cope with high food prices and shortages. 1/2
On 02 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, totally still and quite sunny to begin with but then a fresh NW’ly wind got up which lasted all day, a few showers in the morning but otherwise dry and quite sunny, max temp 21˚, back down to 12˚ by 10pm. == Paul Beds., I agree and we’ll have to make use of all the help we can get, i.e. propagators, poly tunnels & fleece etc. I was too busy with other things this spring, so wasn’t always on the ball re sowing early enough, regret it now. How we will cope with this on a bigger scale remains to be seen.
On 02 Jul 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
11.7 this morning at 7am and chilly. It is this sort of thing that worries me, it slow growth, make plants like courgettes more vulnerable to pests and shorten the cropping season. How hot it gets this afternoon is far less of an issue. And we are barely into this minimum
On 01 Jul 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, mostly cloudy with a strong W’ly wind which only abated somewhat by evening, not much sunshine but the occasional ray produced quite some warmth, only for the cold to return as soon as it disappeared behind the clouds, this sudden chilling is a phenomenon that many of us have observed over the last few years; max temp 18, down to 12˚ by 9.30pm.
On 01 Jul 2019, DaveT wrote:
Does anybody know when Piers will release the July forecast for Europe? We are off to France on the 5th.
On 01 Jul 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Paul
there have certainly been a few dry springs the past seven years or so in NW London, but you could have said the same in the mid 1980s with a few roasting hot summers back to back.
There is currently plenty margin of safety on crops like potatoes, carrots, beetroot, leeks, parsnip, onion etc. Imagine a 2C cooling in the SE and we could still grow what Scotland grows, even if squash, tomatoes, French climbing beans might have to be sacrificed.
The real challenge is optimising soil to ensure optimal water retention and plant growth. That is climate-independent....
On 01 Jul 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
GERRY: Aye, interesting about the recent volcanic activity (also reported in Iceagenow) and predicted by Piers for some time ahead. Also note your comments on the snowpack situation, which is all the more interesting in respect of the reports in the Norwegian Weather Service site ( a warmist one at that) of the long cold period in the Nordic countries this summer, including fresh snowfalls.
On 01 Jul 2019, Bill S (N E Wales) wrote:
June ends warm although it was for the main part cool and often cloudy here. Total of 180 mm rain in the month ended June with 8th being wettest with over 40 mm. Cool and breezy today
On 01 Jul 2019, Steve Devine wrote:
Hi Paul. Yes indeed this will become an increasingly desperate situation. A friend of mine on Twitter is an avid follower of Piers and does his own research based on solar and oceanic activity. He predicts widespread cold, shortening growing seasons and inevitable food shortages from 2027-2035 especially. This is just the beginning...
On 30 Jun 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, brilliantly sunny with a light W’ly breeze which beefed up considerably during the day, bringing in cooler air, got up to a respectable 24˚ nevertheless, we had a great time lying in the sun (in shelter) on the beach & having supper in the garden, just. It got rather cooler by 8pm and tomorrow looks like a cool one, maybe these last three days were our summer, haha, 14˚ at 9pm. Quite a bunch of thunderstorms last night with two pulses of heavy rain, neighbour got his haylage all baled but hay still lying. == Anybody here catch this? Way over my head, Massive Wave of Energy Strikes the Earth/Unknown Origin https://bit.ly/2XnmlOM
On 30 Jun 2019, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
I'm sure your brother can confirm this Piers, but vegetable growing has got harder in the last few years. Since ~2010 summer rain has become more irregular, with a trend towards periods of feast and famine rather than steady/regular. The main factor though is chillier weather in evenings, nights and mornings in late spring and early autumn squeezing the season at both ends. If this is going to get worse in a minimum, I can see real problems with food shortages and real skill is going to be needed to get crops to harvest.
On 30 Jun 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:
It was found when the greenies were wetting themselves that the UK had been coal-free for 2 whole weeks that the truth was somewhat different. Most people think of France when it comes to the power interconnector but there is also one to the Netherlands. During this magical 2 weeks this interconnector was in full flow. Sitting at the end of it is.......a coal-fired power station. In the crazy world that is now the UK, it is cheaper to import coal power than it is to use our own remaining stations. Much cooler today so far. Hit 84F just after 1pm yesterday with the thermometer in the shade. Went up to 90F later. The legacy media are ignoring all the snowpack, snowfall and cold going on around the world. Four volcanoes have now fired off in a number of days so welcome to solar minimum.
On 30 Jun 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Nice to hear a little thunder yesterday and see a flash or 2 of lightning but although we were on an Orange thunderstorm warning it was only really a few hours with the rumbling mostly in the distance on n off and a few thunder style rain showers so we didnt get the brunt of it here. Friday also was not as hot as predicted and remained mostly cloudy and humid all day with a few sneak peaks of sunshine. Yesterday though ended up being warmer than Friday and although only showing 24 deg there were some intense bursts of sunshine & heat, the tunnel doors had both been open all day and by afternoon it was hard to keep cooler than 35 deg, must get a shade net sorted. Cooler last night as a light breeze present. After a sunny ish start cloudy and 16 deg now at 10 a.m looks like showers possible.
On 29 Jun 2019, Bill S ( N E Wales) wrote:
Muggy start 18.5 c at 630. Funny old day, peculiar clouds early on. Predominantly cloudy but some sunny spells around lunch time and early afternoon,temperature lifted quite well. Max 30.3c at 2-3pm generally mid 20s though for most of the day. Shower late afternoon dropping temp by about 8-10c 17c in cool westerly this evening.
On 29 Jun 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
19˚C at 7.30, that must be a record for quite a number of years for us here, a mere trifle compared to 45˚ in France yesterday! Temps rising steadily to a sweltering (for us) 28˚, at one moment it looked like it was going to rain but didn’t. SW’ly breeze all day, writing this at 6pm as we are having serious thunderstorms approaching for the last hour & I’ll have to switch off my computer if I don’t want to get it fried as has happened before, still 21˚ now. Tropical downpour now.
On 29 Jun 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
Knew it went to bed feeling sick at 1.30 a.m and woke at 6.30 a.m to the sound of rumbling thunder 😁 nice way to wake up
On 28 Jun 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, foggy until 9 when the sun started to appear through the low clouds drifting in of the sea in a strong SE’ly breeze which kept going all day, coolish in the wind but max temp still 22˚ in more sheltered parts of the farm, in the evening we could see the haar lurking over the sea but it never made it inland, just cloudy, 14˚ by 9pm. Happy to report that the cucumbers in our veg tunnel are now picking up and the climbing French beans are shooting up while we have an abundance of strawberries. == Susan Cruse, here is a link to a critical short video on Irelands own Green New Deal that you described recently https://bit.ly/2YiiBdy
On 28 Jun 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
It was actually hot today, too hot for the tiny one to scoot about outside and she did not seem happy today with the heat, even in the carrier picking dinner out the garden one of her favourite jobs next to watering, thankfully she cheered up this evening when we got back outside where she loves it most, had a munch on a big fat juicy peach outta my hand and roamed around with nature moving fast across the grass checking out all her favourite places, a lovely breeze and a gr8 eve playing outside :-) 18 deg with a real feel of 16 now at midnight.
On 27 Jun 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, glorious sunshine in a light SE’ly breeze which inevitably got stronger during the day, i.e. a proper sea breeze, went down to Dundee in the morning where it was quite windy in the town. As we drove back we noticed more clouds moving in off the sea but we still had a brilliant afternoon with a max temp of 22˚ again and only in the early evening did the haar move in. Our neighbours are making hay, so here’s hoping that it’ll lift again tomorrow morning, haar is the bane of the east cost in HP weather,
13˚ at 9pm.
On 26 Jun 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:
We've had some greatly improved weather to enjoy and work with this last few days & although much warmer today there was still a chill wind and the kind of wind this evening that warns of instability in the weather. ( Side note a fab funnel cloud pic on Irish Weather Online fb page a day or 2 ago in Galway I think it was) Max temps between 19 - 22 deg 14 - 15 by night A couple of even warmer days possible with a thundery showery weekend forecast as cooler air moves East. // Siouxzi you summed up spot on and can relate to what you feel and say.
On 26 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
Basically, this Co2 agenda appears to uphold rampant CONsumerism in the guise of environmentalism. They scared people by saying that our children will not know what snow looks like. (How quaint.) My concern is that if we continue with these Co2 reduction agendas. Our children won't know what a tree looks like!
Hopi Prophecy Rock. When technology advances without wisdom, the path will end.
Ironic really.
On 26 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
Either way, we need to widen our focus, look at the big picture and stop seeing these issues as seperate from the other issues around us because it is all tied in together. When we rely on trade to ensure peace (protection racket comes to mind) then mother earth becomes a resource, and corporations are required to make goods to trade with. The moral focus is on peace. This then becomes the justification for all other actions.
Use less resources in the product and call it sustainable. Co2 friendly too. When your flimsy product breaks down in three years time, we can sell you another one. We will stop using coal and clean the air and look like we are against raping the planet of her resources. We will use nuclear power as it is considered clean. No one will question us about the uranium it uses, being taken from the Australian outback, polluting the water, soil etc. It's handy cos it's killing off the Aboriginals too, that know how we should be living and the consequence of our actions
On 26 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
We need to use our deepest wisdom, at this juncture because whether this is some cabalistic dark agenda with all it's usual trappings of half truths that create division. Create a problem, keep creating fear and repeating the same rhitoric until the people look to you to save them and will happily give away their power and freedom, to stay safe. Then mend the problem. ("Ooh that's handy, when a little ice age hits, we can say that our methods worked. By the time they realise that we were not really looking after the planet it will be too late. They are already trapped in the system. So glad that clever scientist at Oxford Uni, invented that appliance that is even better than trees. (That's real, look it up.) How much shall we charge for air I wonder?") Or maybe we are a whole bunch of people clinging onto this rock, we call home. With just a couple of hundred years of climate data, a few ice cores and some bedrock and a whole lot of questions and doing our best to find solutions.
On 26 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
As an environmentalist, I smell a very big rat and it's not coming from the "deniers" camp. The focus on Co2, appears to be a wolf in sheep's clothing. It keeps our focus off the real issue, which is to work in balance, harmony and respect with nature/ mother earth. This is where our power and servival really lay. This would necessitate us to be less consumer driven and would require goods to be made to a high quality and last much longer, ensuring we move away from being a throw away society. Our focus would be on mother earth. The Co2 green agenda that we are currently pursuing is based primarily on our own servival with enough faux ecological solutions in there to make it look like we are helping the planet and all her beings. This is why it is working to get so many people to beg for a blank cheque, to deal with Co2, at any cost. Unfortunately, from what I can see, it will cost us the very earth that many want to save. We need to widen our focus/ debate. Look much deeper.
On 26 Jun 2019, Piers corbyn wrote:
WeatherAction.com extreme Weather warning.
The end June - early July heatwave in west Europe and Britain-Ireland was warned by WeatherAction 13 weeks ahead.
After that a very important Solar activity and "RedWeather" period follows.
From around 4 or 5 July we expect the first new sunspots / important activity for about 40days to appear on the Solar disc and be followed by a "RedWeather" extreme period ~8-11July of intense storms, hail, thunder, tornadoes, Tropical storm formation and floods in many places around the world (Specific longrange forecasts for Europe, Br & Ireland and Usa available via www.WeatherAction.com)
We also predict MAJOR EARTHQUAKES AND EXTRA VOLCANISM IN/AROUND THAT PERIOD.
These events have nothing to do with CO2 or #ClimateEmergency / #ExtinctionRebellion propaganda which is orchestrated by the MSM, mega corporations and the super-rich - and is not to control climate but to control you.
We encourage all followers of WeatherAction / @piers_corbyn to
On 25 Jun 2019, Bill S (N E Wales) wrote:
Last 2 days see lots of gas and coal ( what’s left of it) running to make up for the shortfall in wind and solar ( lack of). See if bbc report that. The cloudy June weather continues.
On 25 Jun 2019, Ron Greer wrote:
GFS very shy about doing a full run prediction whereas Piers was getting his in ( accurately) from a long way off.
On 25 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
Cont.
Many of these green solutions and policies are extremely damaging to the environment and the wildlife, including us! The focus on Co2, if anything, detracts from the environment. This whole green fiasco for profit, is probably doing more damage to the environment than not doing anything at all. It just keeps the profit wheels turning, replacing working products, with environmentally friendly (not) ones that lower Co2 just keep using more resources, create more junk, use more power to create. All under the disguise of being the right thing to do. This is not working with nature but against it. I just wish people would wake up to this. We are all in this together and we will all feel the brunt of the ridiculous policies that are being pushed on us. We really do need people from all sides of the debate to get together and have a mature discussion and I wish environmentalist would see that this is what Piers is trying to do. So yet again Piers, thank you so much for all you do.
On 25 Jun 2019, Siouxzi wrote:
Occasional subscriber, in snow season.
Hi Piers, I just want to say a huge big thank you for all the wonderful work you do. I am an avid green environmentalist and spent years doing environmental workshops with young people, teaching about global warming and promoting agenda 21. However, I like to look at an issue from all angles, to see the bigger picture from a (hopefully) more balanced perspective. As a result of lurking on your site for many years, I realized that "non believers" were not fascists, ignorant, uncaring, self servers, but we're intelligent, free thinking, educated, caring people, with the credible facts to back up their logic. I no longer believe the Co2 myth. "I have seen the light" Haha. I care deeply about our planet and all her creatures. I agree with the native American Indians and other indigenous peoples perspective, that humans are the guardians of our planet and her wildlife because if we aren't, we end up in the mess we are in now.
|
